IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinarmas-land-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1144:1" rel="noopener">Sinarmas Land (SML SP)</a> IFA opined that the Widjaja family's S$0.31 offer is NOT fair but reasonable, as it is below the valuation range of S$0.350 to S$0.361.</li>
<li>The independent directors have recommended that shareholders accept. Due to a breach of the 10% free float requirement, the shares will be suspended at the close of the offer. </li>
<li>There are four possible outcomes with a medium probability that Sinarmas will follow the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boustead-projects-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26785:1" rel="noopener">Boustead Projects (BOCJ SP)</a> playbook.</li>
</ul>



Sinarmas Land (SML SP) IFA opined that the Widjaja family's S$0.31 offer is NOT fair but reasonable, as it is below the valuation range of S$0.350 to S$0.361.
The independent directors have recommended that shareholders accept. Due to a breach of the 10% free float requirement, the shares will be suspended at the close of the offer. 
There are four possible outcomes with a medium probability that Sinarmas will follow the Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP) and Boustead Projects (BOCJ SP) playbook.


Sinarmas Land (SML SP): Potential Outcomes as IFA Says NOT Fair but Reasonable

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Malaysia Airports Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 15th May, a consortium (Khazanah Nasional, EPF, the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, and Global Infrastructure Partners) collectively holding 41.22%, launched an Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK).</a>
</li>
<li>After some political gymnastics, MAHB squared away the necessary regulatory approvals, and a firm Offer was made on the 15th November. The Offer Doc dispatched on the 6th December. </li>
<li>In the Circular on Friday, the IFA said NOT fair - with reference to a SOTP; but reasonable referencing historical market pricing and that no competing Offer will emerge. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 15th May, a consortium (Khazanah Nasional, EPF, the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, and Global Infrastructure Partners) collectively holding 41.22%, launched an Offer for Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK).

After some political gymnastics, MAHB squared away the necessary regulatory approvals, and a firm Offer was made on the 15th November. The Offer Doc dispatched on the 6th December. 
In the Circular on Friday, the IFA said NOT fair - with reference to a SOTP; but reasonable referencing historical market pricing and that no competing Offer will emerge. 


Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK): IFA Says NOT Fair, But Reasonable; And To Accept Terms

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a> IFA opines that the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oversea-chinese-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:114:1" rel="noopener">OCBC (OCBC SP)</a> S$25.60 offer is NOT fair but reasonable as it is below the valuation range of S$28.87-S$36.19 per share.</li>
<li>In response, OCBC declared the price final, and the final closing date is 12 July. Great Eastern will likely breach free float requirements and be suspended when the offer closes.</li>
<li>The offer will likely follow the Boustead Projects/Boustead Singapore blueprint, where SGX RegCo eventually (took seven months) enabled dissenters to receive a fair offer with a 24% uplift. </li>
</ul>



Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP) IFA opines that the OCBC (OCBC SP) S$25.60 offer is NOT fair but reasonable as it is below the valuation range of S$28.87-S$36.19 per share.
In response, OCBC declared the price final, and the final closing date is 12 July. Great Eastern will likely breach free float requirements and be suspended when the offer closes.
The offer will likely follow the Boustead Projects/Boustead Singapore blueprint, where SGX RegCo eventually (took seven months) enabled dissenters to receive a fair offer with a 24% uplift. 


Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP): Playbook as OCBC Offer Declared Final, IFA Opines NOT Fair

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amara-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2692:1" rel="noopener">Amara Holdings (AMA SP)</a> has disclosed a voluntary unconditional offer from Dymon Asia and the Albert Teo Family at S$0.60 per share, a 30.4% premium to the last close price. </li>
<li>On 17 June, Amara received a written notification from Mr Albert Teo Hock Chuan (CEO) and Ms Susan Teo Geok Tin (Company Secretary) that they are mulling an offer. </li>
<li>The offer price is final. The offer is attractive and marginally below the ten-year high. Hitting the 90% compulsory acquisition threshold implies a minority acceptance rate of 79.3%.</li>
</ul>



Amara Holdings (AMA SP) has disclosed a voluntary unconditional offer from Dymon Asia and the Albert Teo Family at S$0.60 per share, a 30.4% premium to the last close price. 
On 17 June, Amara received a written notification from Mr Albert Teo Hock Chuan (CEO) and Ms Susan Teo Geok Tin (Company Secretary) that they are mulling an offer. 
The offer price is final. The offer is attractive and marginally below the ten-year high. Hitting the 90% compulsory acquisition threshold implies a minority acceptance rate of 79.3%.


Amara Holdings (AMA SP): Albert Teo Family/Dymon Asia’s Unconditional S$0.60 Offer

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amara-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2692:1" rel="noopener">Amara Holdings (AMA SP)</a> received a written notification from Mr Albert Teo Hock Chuan (CEO) and Ms Susan Teo Geok Tin (Company Secretary) that they mulling an offer. </li>
<li>The shares entered a trading halt on 16 June as the share price increased 23.9% from S$0.355 on 14 June to S$0.440 per share on 16 June.</li>
<li>Recent SGX privatisation proposals have shown that offerors tend to be miserly with their premiums. The sharp share price rally makes it challenging to launch an offer.</li>
</ul>



Amara Holdings (AMA SP) received a written notification from Mr Albert Teo Hock Chuan (CEO) and Ms Susan Teo Geok Tin (Company Secretary) that they mulling an offer. 
The shares entered a trading halt on 16 June as the share price increased 23.9% from S$0.355 on 14 June to S$0.440 per share on 16 June.
Recent SGX privatisation proposals have shown that offerors tend to be miserly with their premiums. The sharp share price rally makes it challenging to launch an offer.


Amara Holdings (AMA SP): Key Shareholders Ponder an Offer

Singapore

Boustead Projects Limited is a leading provider of innovative real estate solutions with core engineering expertise in the design-and-build and development of smart eco-sustainable business park and industrial developments, and has an international presence across Singapore, China, Malaysia and Vietnam.

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Boustead Projects (BOCJ SP)

Sinarmas Land (SML SP): Potential Outcomes as IFA Says NOT Fair but Reasonable

There are four possible outcomes with a medium probability that Sinarmas will follow the Great Eastern and Boustead Projects playbook. Head for the...

Arun George

Malaysia Airports (MAHB MK): IFA Says NOT Fair, But Reasonable; And To Accept Terms

A "not fair, but reasonable" conclusion has generally not proven to be an impediment to securing shareholder support. If late-Jan payment, trading...

David Blennerhassett

Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP): Playbook as OCBC Offer Declared Final, IFA Opines NOT Fair

Shares will likely breach float requirements and be suspended at offer close. While trading through terms, recent precedent suggests that investors...

Arun George

Amara Holdings (AMA SP): Albert Teo Family/Dymon Asia’s Unconditional S$0.60 Offer

The offer price is final. The offer is attractive and marginally below the ten-year high. At the last close, the gross spread was 30.4%.

Arun George

Amara Holdings (AMA SP): Key Shareholders Ponder an Offer

Recent SGX privatisation proposals have shown that offerors tend to be miserly with their premiums. The sharp share price rally makes it...

Arun George

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