Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

Booking Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Despite the emergence of the Omicron variant in late November and its rapid spread throughout Europe, the United States, and other parts of the world, Booking Holdings ended 2021 on a fairly decent note.</li><li>The management saw a consistently higher mix of its customers booking directly with Booking Holdings in the fourth quarter and for the full year than in 2019 which is a positive sign.</li><li>Moreover, its direct mix improved even as the company leaned into performance marketing channels during the year.</li></ul>

Despite the emergence of the Omicron variant in late November and its rapid spread throughout Europe, the United States, and other parts of the world, Booking Holdings ended 2021 on a fairly decent note.The management saw a consistently higher mix of its customers booking directly with Booking Holdings in the fourth quarter and for the full year than in 2019 which is a positive sign.Moreover, its direct mix improved even as the company leaned into performance marketing channels during the year.

Booking Holdings: Financial & Price Forecasts

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Large-Cap indexes are approaching critical support levels, including 4257 on the S&amp;P 500, $334 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and 33,250 on the DJIA. These are our "lines-in-the-sand" moving forward.</li>
<li>We expect for supports to hold, but breakdowns below these levels would not be surprising and would likely mean an additional 8-15% downside based on measured moves.</li>
<li>Charts Highlighted: S&amp;P 500, QQQ, DJIA, Bitcoin, XLP, XLU, IWM, IJR, BKNG, EXPE, SABR, DESP, NEM, GOLD, FNV, AEM, RGLD, GFI, SBSW, and AU.</li>
</ul>


Large-Cap indexes are approaching critical support levels, including 4257 on the S&amp;P 500, $334 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and 33,250 on the DJIA. These are our "lines-in-the-sand" moving forward.
We expect for supports to hold, but breakdowns below these levels would not be surprising and would likely mean an additional 8-15% downside based on measured moves.
Charts Highlighted: S&amp;P 500, QQQ, DJIA, Bitcoin, XLP, XLU, IWM, IJR, BKNG, EXPE, SABR, DESP, NEM, GOLD, FNV, AEM, RGLD, GFI, SBSW, and AU.


S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA Testing Support; Buying Gold Miners and Online Travel

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oyo-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28861:1" rel="noopener">Oyo (1698548D IN)</a> is a leading hospitality technology platform. Its DRHP aimed for a $1.2 billion raise although <a href="https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/tech/startups/oyo-may-reduce-ipo-size-valuation-may-be-readjusted-too/articleshow/89463277.cms" target="_blank" rel="noopener">recent reports</a> point to a less than $1 billion raise.</li>
<li>The fundamentals are mixed as it remains uncertain if it can deliver profits or cash generation with a return to growth (due to gradual lifting of travel restrictions).</li>
<li>Based on the information in the DRHP, we believe the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give the IPO a pass.</li>
</ul>



Oyo (1698548D IN) is a leading hospitality technology platform. Its DRHP aimed for a $1.2 billion raise although recent reports point to a less than $1 billion raise.
The fundamentals are mixed as it remains uncertain if it can deliver profits or cash generation with a return to growth (due to gradual lifting of travel restrictions).
Based on the information in the DRHP, we believe the negatives outweigh the positives and we would give the IPO a pass.


OYO (Oravel Stays) IPO Initiation: Tripped Up

Credit

<ul><li>Booking Holdings delivered strong results prior to the onset of the Omicron variant and has a particularly decent performance in Europe, which benefited from strong cross-border travel within the region.</li><li>Booking Holdings’ management has executed well and produced strong results during their peak travel season.</li><li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different credit strengths and credit risks of Booking Holdings as well as a line-by-line analysis of the financial statements of the company for the past four years.</li></ul>

Booking Holdings delivered strong results prior to the onset of the Omicron variant and has a particularly decent performance in Europe, which benefited from strong cross-border travel within the region.Booking Holdings’ management has executed well and produced strong results during their peak travel season.Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different credit strengths and credit risks of Booking Holdings as well as a line-by-line analysis of the financial statements of the company for the past four years.

Booking Holdings Inc: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report (01/2022)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 6 inclusions and 6 exclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nasdaq-100-stock-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26197:1" rel="noopener">Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX)</a> at the annual December reconstitution. The estimated one-way trade is US$11.05bn.</li>
<li>Impact on the inclusions ranges from 0.25-2.22 days of ADV to buy, while the impact on the deletions varies from 1.4-3.38 days of ADV to sell.</li>
<li>There will be large inflows on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Meta Platforms (FB US)</a> and large outflows on Tesla, Apple, NVidia, Amazon and Google.</li>
</ul>


There are 6 inclusions and 6 exclusions for the Nasdaq-100 Stock Index (NDX INDEX) at the annual December reconstitution. The estimated one-way trade is US$11.05bn.
Impact on the inclusions ranges from 0.25-2.22 days of ADV to buy, while the impact on the deletions varies from 1.4-3.38 days of ADV to sell.
There will be large inflows on Meta Platforms (FB US) and large outflows on Tesla, Apple, NVidia, Amazon and Google.


NASDAQ 100 Index Rebalance: Six Changes at the Annual Reconstitution

United States

Booking Holdings Inc. operates as an online travel company. The Company offers a platform that allows to make travel reservations with providers of travel services, as well as provides accommodation reservations, rentals cars, airline tickets, and vacation packages. Booking Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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Booking Holdings (BKNG US)

Booking Holdings: Financial & Price Forecasts

Despite the emergence of the Omicron variant in late November and its rapid spread throughout Europe, the United States, and other parts of the...

Baptista Research

S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, DJIA Testing Support; Buying Gold Miners and Online Travel

Large-cap indexes are approaching critical support levels of 4257 on S&P 500, $334 on Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and 33,250 on DJIA. These are our "lines in...

Vermilion Research

OYO (Oravel Stays) IPO Initiation: Tripped Up

OYO is rumoured to be seeking a lower raise (<$1 bn vs $1.2 bn) at a lower valuation ($7 bn vs $9-12 bn) due to market conditions. The fundamentals...

Arun George

Booking Holdings Inc: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report (01/2022)

Booking Holdings delivered strong results prior to the onset of the Omicron variant and has a particularly decent performance in Europe, which...

Baptista Research

NASDAQ 100 Index Rebalance: Six Changes at the Annual Reconstitution

There are 6 changes for the NASDAQ-100 index at the annual December reconstitution. Apart from the flows on the adds and deletes, there will be...

Brian Freitas

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