Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Booking Holdings has made a robust start to 2024 by posting strong first quarter results.</li><li>The company revealed that travelers booked nearly 300 million room nights across its platforms in Q1, exceeding its expectations and showing growth of 9% YoY. Moreover, revenue for Q1 stood at $4.4 billion, reflecting a growth of 17%, while adjusted EBITDA was approximately $900 million, climbing Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li><li>In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.</li></ul>

Booking Holdings has made a robust start to 2024 by posting strong first quarter results.The company revealed that travelers booked nearly 300 million room nights across its platforms in Q1, exceeding its expectations and showing growth of 9% YoY. Moreover, revenue for Q1 stood at $4.4 billion, reflecting a growth of 17%, while adjusted EBITDA was approximately $900 million, climbing Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.In this report, we have carried out a fundamental analysis of the historical financial statements of the company.

Booking Holdings Inc.: Expanding Beyond Traditional Accommodations & How AI Is Helping Them Change The Game! - Major Drivers

Global Mobility/Transport, Equity Long-Short

Mohshin Aziz

<ul>
<li>4Q23 results beat expectations with record revenues and profits and announced a maiden cash dividend of USD8.75/share (0.35% yield)</li>
<li>But, share price plunged by 10% on soft guidance of 4-6% YoY growth in room-night booked in 1Q24, due to the impact of high-interest rates and the ongoing wars </li>
<li>Good opportunity to buy on dips, stock trading at ~20x FY24 PE, ~18% discount to LT mean. Plus, there is a balance USD7.5b (6.1% shares in issue) of share buybacks  </li>
</ul>


4Q23 results beat expectations with record revenues and profits and announced a maiden cash dividend of USD8.75/share (0.35% yield)
But, share price plunged by 10% on soft guidance of 4-6% YoY growth in room-night booked in 1Q24, due to the impact of high-interest rates and the ongoing wars 
Good opportunity to buy on dips, stock trading at ~20x FY24 PE, ~18% discount to LT mean. Plus, there is a balance USD7.5b (6.1% shares in issue) of share buybacks  


Booking.com (BKNG US): Buying Back Shares Until There Is None Left

<ul><li>Booking Holdings recently reported solid Q4 and full-year 2023 results due to global leisure travel demand resilience.</li><li>Room nights grew by 9% YoY, and revenue of $4.8 billion alongside adjusted EBITDA of $1.5 billion exceeded expectations.</li><li>Non-GAAP earnings per share also grew by 29% YoY, attributed to a reduced share count from the previous year.</li></ul>

Booking Holdings recently reported solid Q4 and full-year 2023 results due to global leisure travel demand resilience.Room nights grew by 9% YoY, and revenue of $4.8 billion alongside adjusted EBITDA of $1.5 billion exceeded expectations.Non-GAAP earnings per share also grew by 29% YoY, attributed to a reduced share count from the previous year.

Booking Holdings Inc: Leveraging Technology & AI For Growth! - Major Drivers

<ul><li>Booking Holdings Inc. exceeded Wall Street's expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings, marking a notable milestone.</li><li>Their valued customers booked a significant 276 million room nights, reflecting a robust 15% year-over-year increase.</li><li>Notably, the Q3 room night expansion of 24% from 2019 exceeded expectations, underscoring the company's resilience and adaptability.</li></ul>

Booking Holdings Inc. exceeded Wall Street's expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings, marking a notable milestone.Their valued customers booked a significant 276 million room nights, reflecting a robust 15% year-over-year increase.Notably, the Q3 room night expansion of 24% from 2019 exceeded expectations, underscoring the company's resilience and adaptability.

Booking Holdings Inc.: Will Cruises As A New Travel Segment Bring A New Upside? - Major Drivers

<ul><li>Booking Holdings Inc. managed to exceed analyst expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings.</li><li>The 268 million hotel nights booked in the second quarter increased by 9% year over year, and the $39.7 billion in gross bookings, the largest quarterly total ever, surged by 15% year over year.</li><li>The positive demand environment caused hotel nights and revenue bookings to surpass the company's previous projections.</li></ul>

Booking Holdings Inc. managed to exceed analyst expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings.The 268 million hotel nights booked in the second quarter increased by 9% year over year, and the $39.7 billion in gross bookings, the largest quarterly total ever, surged by 15% year over year.The positive demand environment caused hotel nights and revenue bookings to surpass the company's previous projections.

Booking Holdings Inc.: The Margin Expansion Story Continues! What's Their Secret Sauce? - Major Drivers

United States

Expedia Group, Inc. provides branded online travel services for leisure and small business travelers. The Company offers a wide range of travel shopping and reservation services, providing real-time access to schedule, pricing and availability information for airlines, hotels, and car rental companies.

Etsy, Inc. provides e-commerce services. The Company offers handmade and vintage items, art, and supplies, as well as regular items such as clothing, housewares, paper goods, candles, bags and purses, music, and wood working items. Etsy serves users throughout the United States.

Wayfair Inc. retails household goods online. The Company offers bedroom, living room, kitchen and dining, home entertainment, home office, game room and bar, patio, hallway and entryway, and bathroom furniture. Wayfair offers products and services in the United States.

TripAdvisor Inc. is an online travel research company. The Company's travel research platform aggregates reviews and opinions of members about destinations, accommodations (including hotels, bed and breakfasts ("B&Bs"), specialty lodging and vacation rentals), restaurants and activities throughout the world.

Overstock.com, Inc. offers discounted brand-name merchandise for sale over the Internet. Products include bed-and-bath goods, kitchenware, jewelry, sporting goods, electronics, and designer accessories.

1-800-FLOWERS.COM, Inc. is an e-commerce provider of floral products and gifts. The Company's product offerings, including fresh-cut and seasonal flowers, plants, floral arrangements, and home and garden merchandise, can be purchased online or by calling its toll-free telephone number.

Lands' End, Inc. manufactures men's, women's and children's apparel and accessories. The Company produces and distributes swimwear, clothing, bedding, totes, furniture, bath accessories, uniforms, outter wear and various related products. Lands' End offers its products through its catalog and website around the world.

Stitch Fix, Inc. operates as an online subscription and personal shopping platform. The Company offers shirts, jackets, sweaters, blazers, leggings, vests, scarfs, jeans, loafers, and boots for men and women. Stitch Fix serves customers in the United States.

Porter Holding International, Inc. operates online to offline (O2O) business platforms for consumer manufacturing enterprises. The Company operates cloud platforms that provide Internet-based intelligent e-commerce information services.

Qurate Retail, Inc. provides e-commerce services. The Company engages in the video and digital commerce via television networks and e-commerce sites, social pages, mobile application, print catalogs, and in-store destinations. Qurate Retail serves customers worldwide.

Trip.com Group Ltd. provides online travel agency services. The Company offers mobile applications, hotel reservations, flight ticketing, package tours, corporate travel management, and train ticketing services.

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

Zomato Limited is an online restaurant guide and food ordering platform. The Company offers platform connects customers, restaurant partners and delivery partners to search and discover restaurants, read and write customer generated reviews, order food delivery, book a table, and make payments while dining-out at restaurants. Zomato serves customers worldwide.

Vipshop Holdings Ltd. retails branded products at discount over the Internet. The Company retails through flash sales, in which limited quantities of an item are sold at deep discount for a specified period of time.

ZOZO Inc operates internet shopping sites for apparel.  The Company also provides communication services relating to apparel such as blogs by fashion moguls and internet chat room for users.

Mango Excellent Media Co.,Ltd. offers television based services. The Company provides television shopping, online shopping, outbound shopping, and other services. Mango Excellent Media also operates new media platform operation.

Momo.com Inc is an e-commerce services company. The Company offers TV shopping and Internet shopping services, including beauty products, clothing, leather goods and food shops.

Webjet Limited provides branded online travel services for travelers.  The Company offers one-stop travel shopping and reservation services, providing real-time access to schedule, pricing, and availability information for airlines hotels, and major car rental companies.

Ocado Group PLC distributes a wide range of retail consumer products.  The Company provides home delivery of a wide range of products including food and drink, toiletries and baby, household, pet care, and holiday products.

zooplus AG retails pet supplies over the Internet.

Booking Holdings Inc. operates as an online travel company. The Company offers a platform that allows to make travel reservations with providers of travel services, as well as provides accommodation reservations, rentals cars, airline tickets, and vacation packages. Booking Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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Booking Holdings (BKNG US)

Booking Holdings Inc.: Expanding Beyond Traditional Accommodations & How AI Is Helping Them Change The Game! - Major Drivers

Booking Holdings has made a robust start to 2024 by posting strong first quarter results. The company revealed that travelers booked nearly 300...

Baptista Research

Booking.com (BKNG US): Buying Back Shares Until There Is None Left

Booking.com's record 2023 results and cash dividend announcement was overshadowed by soft guidance, leading to a 10% share price drop. However,...

Mohshin Aziz

Booking Holdings Inc: Leveraging Technology & AI For Growth! - Major Drivers

Booking Holdings recently reported solid Q4 and full-year 2023 results due to global leisure travel demand resilience. Room nights grew by 9% YoY,...

Baptista Research

Booking Holdings Inc.: Will Cruises As A New Travel Segment Bring A New Upside? - Major Drivers

Booking Holdings Inc. exceeded Wall Street's expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings, marking a notable milestone. Their valued...

Baptista Research

Booking Holdings Inc.: The Margin Expansion Story Continues! What's Their Secret Sauce? - Major Drivers

Booking Holdings Inc. managed to exceed analyst expectations in terms of revenue as well as earnings. The 268 million hotel nights booked in the...

Baptista Research

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