Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cheerwin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31314:1" rel="noopener">Cheerwin (6601 HK)</a>  is a leading one-stop multi category household care and personal care platform in China. The company has set the terms for its IPO where it plans to raise HK$2.0-2.4bn (approx. US$265-313m) at an indicative IPO price range of HK$7.8-9.2 per share.</p><p>In our previous insight, we discussed Cheerwin’s business model, segments and financials. Refer the extract below from our previous insight:</p><div class="content-highlight"><p><em>The household care market in China is forecasted to grow steadily over the next few years driven by increased urbanisation, growing per capita disposable income, segmentation of product categories and growing innovation. In addition, the Covid-19 outbreak also has accelerated the demand for household care products, especially disinfectants, hand sanitizers and other personal hygiene products. Though the company’s revenues have been growing at lower single digits, we believe strong growth prospects attached to the Chinese household care market alongside diversifying into other verticals such as pet care and personal care markets should help Cheerwin generate stable revenues</em></p></div>

Cheerwin (6601 HK)  is a leading one-stop multi category household care and personal care platform in China. The company has set the terms for its IPO where it plans to raise HK$2.0-2.4bn (approx. US$265-313m) at an indicative IPO price range of HK$7.8-9.2 per share.In our previous insight, we discussed Cheerwin’s business model, segments and financials. Refer the extract below from our previous insight:The household care market in China is forecasted to grow steadily over the next few years driven by increased urbanisation, growing per capita disposable income, segmentation of product categories and growing innovation. In addition, the Covid-19 outbreak also has accelerated the demand for household care products, especially disinfectants, hand sanitizers and other personal hygiene products. Though the company’s revenues have been growing at lower single digits, we believe strong growth prospects attached to the Chinese household care market alongside diversifying into other verticals such as pet care and personal care markets should help Cheerwin generate stable revenues

Cheerwin IPO: Fairly Valued Compared to Recent IPOs in the Household, Personal and Pet Care Markets

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<p>The Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited (HSIL) announced the results of its review of the Hang Seng Family of Indexes post market close on 26 February. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 12 March.</p><p>For the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) there are 36 inclusions and 29 deletions, taking the number of index constituents up to 500.</p><p>Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors. Secondary Listings are not eligible for inclusion in the Stock Connect program.</p><p>Of the 36 inclusions, 4 are already a part of Stock Connect by virtue of having listed A-shares, 2 are Secondary listings and will not be included in Stock Connect, 9 will be added to Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Connect, while 21 stocks will only be added to Shenzhen Stock Connect.</p><p>Of the 29 index deletions, 13 are not a part of Stock Connect, 7 will continue to remain a part of Stock Connect by virtue of having listed A-shares, while 9 will be deleted from the Stock Connect program.</p><p>We identify 4 stocks that could sell off ahead of their removal from the Stock Connect Buy list, while Biotech stocks could be in focus ahead of their inclusion in the Stock Connect Buy and Sell list.</p>

The Hang Seng Indexes Company Limited (HSIL) announced the results of its review of the Hang Seng Family of Indexes post market close on 26 February. The constituent changes will be effective after the close of trading on 12 March.For the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) there are 36 inclusions and 29 deletions, taking the number of index constituents up to 500.Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors. Secondary Listings are not eligible for inclusion in the Stock Connect program.Of the 36 inclusions, 4 are already a part of Stock Connect by virtue of having listed A-shares, 2 are Secondary listings and will not be included in Stock Connect, 9 will be added to Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Connect, while 21 stocks will only be added to Shenzhen Stock Connect.Of the 29 index deletions, 13 are not a part of Stock Connect, 7 will continue to remain a part of Stock Connect by virtue of having listed A-shares, while 9 will be deleted from the Stock Connect program.We identify 4 stocks that could sell off ahead of their removal from the Stock Connect Buy list, while Biotech stocks could be in focus ahead of their inclusion in the Stock Connect Buy and Sell list.

HSCI Index Rebalance & Stock Connect: Inclusions & Exclusions

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cheerwin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31314:1" rel="noopener">Cheerwin (6601 HK)</a> is a leading consumer household care company in China that develops and manufactures a variety of household care, personal care and pet care products. At the proposed IPO price range of HK$7.80-9.20 per share, Cheerwin will have a market cap of HK$10,400.0-12,266.7 million ($1.3-1.6 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are HK$2,663.9 million ($343 million). </p></div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cheerwin-group-ipo-initiation-the-itch-of-fate" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:48373" rel="noopener">Cheerwin Group IPO Initiation: The Itch of Fate</a>, we opined that Cheerwin has the right ingredients to offer investors a play on another subsegment of China’s household care industry. We concluded that Cheerwin’s fundamentals are attractive. Despite the lack of cornerstone support, we would participate in the IPO due to a reasonable IPO price range. Our base-case DCF valuation is HK$10.04 per share. </p></div></div>

Cheerwin (6601 HK) is a leading consumer household care company in China that develops and manufactures a variety of household care, personal care and pet care products. At the proposed IPO price range of HK$7.80-9.20 per share, Cheerwin will have a market cap of HK$10,400.0-12,266.7 million ($1.3-1.6 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are HK$2,663.9 million ($343 million). In Cheerwin Group IPO Initiation: The Itch of Fate, we opined that Cheerwin has the right ingredients to offer investors a play on another subsegment of China’s household care industry. We concluded that Cheerwin’s fundamentals are attractive. Despite the lack of cornerstone support, we would participate in the IPO due to a reasonable IPO price range. Our base-case DCF valuation is HK$10.04 per share. 

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cheerwin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31314:1" rel="noopener">Cheerwin (CHEER HK)</a> , a leading one-stop multi category household care and personal care platform in China has filed for an IPO to list its shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and according to news media outlets, the company expects to raise about US$400m.</p><p>The company manufactures a wide variety of household care, personal care and pet care products which the company sells through offline distributors, online retail channels and others.</p><p>The household care market in China is forecasted to grow steadily over the next few years driven by increased urbanisation, growing per capita disposable income, segmentation of product categories and growing innovation. In addition, the Covid-19 outbreak also has accelerated the demand for household care products, especially disinfectants, hand sanitizers and other personal hygiene products.</p><p>Though the company’s revenues have been growing at lower single-digits, we believe strong growth prospects attached to the Chinese household care market alongside diversifying into other verticals such as pet care and personal care markets should help Cheerwin generate stable revenues.</p>

Cheerwin (CHEER HK) , a leading one-stop multi category household care and personal care platform in China has filed for an IPO to list its shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and according to news media outlets, the company expects to raise about US$400m.The company manufactures a wide variety of household care, personal care and pet care products which the company sells through offline distributors, online retail channels and others.The household care market in China is forecasted to grow steadily over the next few years driven by increased urbanisation, growing per capita disposable income, segmentation of product categories and growing innovation. In addition, the Covid-19 outbreak also has accelerated the demand for household care products, especially disinfectants, hand sanitizers and other personal hygiene products.Though the company’s revenues have been growing at lower single-digits, we believe strong growth prospects attached to the Chinese household care market alongside diversifying into other verticals such as pet care and personal care markets should help Cheerwin generate stable revenues.

Cheerwin Group IPO: Doing Its Best to Innovate, Diversify and Grow in a Mature Market

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cheerwin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31314:1" rel="noopener">Cheerwin (CHEER HK)</a> is a leading consumer household care company in China that develops and manufactures a variety of household care, personal care and pet care products. It is pre-marketing for a Hong Kong IPO to raise up to $400 million, according to press reports.</p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/cheerwin-group-ipo-initiation-the-itch-of-fate" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:48373" rel="noopener">Cheerwin Group IPO Initiation: The Itch of Fate</a>, we opined that Cheerwin has the right ingredients to offer investors a play on another subsegment of China’s household care industry. We concluded that Cheerwin’s fundamentals are attractive. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Cheerwin's valuation. </p></div></div></div>

Cheerwin (CHEER HK) is a leading consumer household care company in China that develops and manufactures a variety of household care, personal care and pet care products. It is pre-marketing for a Hong Kong IPO to raise up to $400 million, according to press reports.In Cheerwin Group IPO Initiation: The Itch of Fate, we opined that Cheerwin has the right ingredients to offer investors a play on another subsegment of China’s household care industry. We concluded that Cheerwin’s fundamentals are attractive. In this note, we present our forecasts and take the first look at Cheerwin's valuation. 

China

Blue Moon Group Holdings Limited operates as a household care company. The Company produces liquid laundry detergents, liquid soaps, concentrated liquid laundry detergents, and other products. Blue Moon Group Holdings markets its products throughout China.

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Blue Moon Group Holdings (6993 HK)

Cheerwin IPO: Fairly Valued Compared to Recent IPOs in the Household, Personal and Pet Care Markets

Cheerwin is a leading one-stop multi category household care and personal care platform in China. The company has set the terms for its IPO where...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

HSCI Index Rebalance & Stock Connect: Inclusions & Exclusions

There are 36 inclusions/ 29 exclusions for the Hang Seng Composite Index. 9 stocks will be deleted from the Stock Connect Buy list & there are a...

Brian Freitas

Cheerwin Group IPO: Valuation Insights

Cheerwin has launched its HK IPO to raise net proceeds of $343m at the mid-point of the HK$7.80-9.20 price range. The price range is attractive...

Arun George

Cheerwin Group IPO: Doing Its Best to Innovate, Diversify and Grow in a Mature Market

Cheerwin, a leading one-stop multi category household care and personal care platform in China has filed for an IPO to list its shares on HKEX and...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Cheerwin Group IPO: Valuation First Look

Cheerwin is pre-marketing for an HK IPO to raise up to $400 million, according to press reports. In this note, we present our forecasts and take...

Arun George

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