HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The strength about Giant Biogene is that the founders have R&amp;D background, which helps build trust. Meanwhile, the financial performance was good, with three years of consistent high margins.</li>
<li>The sustainability of high-profit model will face pressure due to increasing competition. The establishment of long-term core competitiveness and second growth point is important. Complex related-party transaction is another concern.</li>
<li>Giant Biogene is in an industry that has a large potential for future growth in valuation. Its valuation should be lower than that of Bloomage and Imeik.</li>
</ul>


The strength about Giant Biogene is that the founders have R&amp;D background, which helps build trust. Meanwhile, the financial performance was good, with three years of consistent high margins.
The sustainability of high-profit model will face pressure due to increasing competition. The establishment of long-term core competitiveness and second growth point is important. Complex related-party transaction is another concern.
Giant Biogene is in an industry that has a large potential for future growth in valuation. Its valuation should be lower than that of Bloomage and Imeik.


Pre-IPO Giant Biogene - The Strength and the Concerns

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giant-biogene-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35950:1" rel="noopener">Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK)</a>, a leading professional skin care product manufacturer, has started pre-marketing a US$500 million HKEx IPO.  </li>
<li>In <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/giant-biogene-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:81963" rel="noopener">Giant Biogene IPO: The Bull Case</a></strong></em>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.  </li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on a worrying performance of Collgene (the second flagship brand), an inexorable rise in S&amp;M expenses and margins on a downward trajectory.</li>
</ul>



Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK), a leading professional skin care product manufacturer, has started pre-marketing a US$500 million HKEx IPO.  
In Giant Biogene IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.  
The key elements of the bear case rest on a worrying performance of Collgene (the second flagship brand), an inexorable rise in S&amp;M expenses and margins on a downward trajectory.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giant-biogene-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35950:1" rel="noopener">Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK)</a>, a leading professional skin care product manufacturer, has started pre-marketing a US$500 million HKEx IPO.  </li>
<li>According to Frost &amp; Sullivan, Biogene was China's second-largest professional skin treatment product company by retail sales in 2021.  </li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on a large and growing addressable market, regulatory tailwinds, the core brand’s stellar performance and high cash generation. </li>
</ul>



Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK), a leading professional skin care product manufacturer, has started pre-marketing a US$500 million HKEx IPO.  
According to Frost &amp; Sullivan, Biogene was China's second-largest professional skin treatment product company by retail sales in 2021.  
The key elements of the bull case rest on a large and growing addressable market, regulatory tailwinds, the core brand’s stellar performance and high cash generation. 


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giant-biogene-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35950:1" rel="noopener">Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK)</a> aims to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.</li>
<li>We had looked at the company’s past performance in  our previous notes. In this note, we’ll talk about its PHIP updates.</li>
</ul>



Giant Biogene Holding (GBH HK) aims to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO.
GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.
We had looked at the company’s past performance in  our previous notes. In this note, we’ll talk about its PHIP updates.


Giant Biogene Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Sales Growing Faster but so Have Marketing Spends

Equity Bottom-Up

Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. / Equity Bottom-Up

Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.

<ul>
<li>Due to the lockdown/pandemic, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhangzhou-pientzehuang-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15709:1" rel="noopener">Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical</a>’s 2022H1 performance slowed down. Considering the economic downturn and people's cutting back spending on non-rigid consumption, the full-year revenue growth could be around 10%-20%.</li>
<li>The Company's key challenge lies in revenue growth. However, it is not easy to increase sales largely due to the scarcity of raw materials, which limits the expansion of production.</li>
<li>Pien Tze Huang is overvalued. Share price could continue to fall,but it will bounce back due to its high moat. 2022 is a good time for bottom fishing this stock.</li>
</ul>


Due to the lockdown/pandemic, Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical’s 2022H1 performance slowed down. Considering the economic downturn and people's cutting back spending on non-rigid consumption, the full-year revenue growth could be around 10%-20%.
The Company's key challenge lies in revenue growth. However, it is not easy to increase sales largely due to the scarcity of raw materials, which limits the expansion of production.
Pien Tze Huang is overvalued. Share price could continue to fall,but it will bounce back due to its high moat. 2022 is a good time for bottom fishing this stock.


Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical (600436CH) 22H1- 2022 Is Stressful but Shares Will Bounce Back

China

Bloomage Biotechnology Corporation Limited develops and manufactures medical products. The Company produces fillers, mesotherapy products, bio reactive hyaluronic acids, repair soothing skin care products, and other products. Bloomage Biotechnology supplies its products in medicine, cosmetics, food manufacturing companies, medical institutions, and other fields.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Bloomage Biotechnology Lt (688363 CH)

Pre-IPO Giant Biogene - The Strength and the Concerns

Giant Biogene is in an industry that has big potential for growth in valuation. How to build long-term system advantage/core competitiveness is an...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Giant Biogene IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on a worrying performance of Collgene (the second flagship brand), an inexorable rise in S&M expenses and...

Arun George

Giant Biogene IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on a large and growing addressable market, regulatory tailwinds, the core brand’s stellar performance and...

Arun George

Giant Biogene Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Sales Growing Faster but so Have Marketing Spends

Giant Biogene aims to raise around US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO. The company is one of the leaders in the bioactive ingredient-based professional...

Sumeet Singh

Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical (600436CH) 22H1- 2022 Is Stressful but Shares Will Bounce Back

Pien Tze Huang's performance slows down this year. Shares could continue to fall due to overvaluation, but will bounce back due to its high moat....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)