Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Today is the base date for the June 2024 index review. We expect five changes and some of these names are different from our previous set of expected ADDs/DELs.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way flow to be around US$1.3bn which translates to a turnover of around 20%.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2024 index rebal event.
Today is the base date for the June 2024 index review. We expect five changes and some of these names are different from our previous set of expected ADDs/DELs.
We estimate one-way flow to be around US$1.3bn which translates to a turnover of around 20%.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: Five Changes Likely; US$1.3bn One-Way

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 24th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD100.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Asustek Computer, Realtek Semi, Evergreen Marine, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai, Yang Ming Marine, Pharmaessentia.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of May 24th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD100.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Asustek Computer, Realtek Semi, Evergreen Marine, Quanta Computer, Hon Hai, Yang Ming Marine, Pharmaessentia.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 24th): Asustek Computer, Realtek Semi, Evergreen Marine

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC's Latest 2024E Industry Guidance Provided at Symposium in Taiwan</li>
<li>More Potential Details on Nvidia &amp; Mediatek's AI PC Chip to Compete with Qualcomm &amp; Intel</li>
<li>Samsung's HBM DRAM Chips Face Challenges in Meeting Nvidia's AI Requirements</li>
</ul>


TSMC's Latest 2024E Industry Guidance Provided at Symposium in Taiwan
More Potential Details on Nvidia &amp; Mediatek's AI PC Chip to Compete with Qualcomm &amp; Intel
Samsung's HBM DRAM Chips Face Challenges in Meeting Nvidia's AI Requirements


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC's Latest Sub-Industry Guidance; PC Names Strong; Computex & Apple WDC Ahead

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Using data from the close on 17 May, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.</li>
<li>There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 12.6% and a one-way trade of US$1.13bn.</li>
<li>Shorts have increased on the potential adds and potential deletes and covering will lead to rally in some stocks while providing support in others at rebalance implementation.</li>
</ul>


Using data from the close on 17 May, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.
There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 12.6% and a one-way trade of US$1.13bn.
Shorts have increased on the potential adds and potential deletes and covering will lead to rally in some stocks while providing support in others at rebalance implementation.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 13% One-Way Turnover & US$2.27bn Trade

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Keisei Electric Railway Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The CSRC has announced five capital market cooperation measures for the Hong Kong Southbound Connect programs including  RMB dual counters and REITs. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-cycle-carriage-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:347:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)</a>'s current implied stub value and simple ratio are both highly elevated.</li>
<li>A simple <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)</a>model says "this doesn't present me with enough upside to warrant it unless I am also really bullish <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-land-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13517:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Land (4661 JP)</a>."</li>
</ul>


The CSRC has announced five capital market cooperation measures for the Hong Kong Southbound Connect programs including  RMB dual counters and REITs. 

Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP)'s current implied stub value and simple ratio are both highly elevated.
A simple Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)model says "this doesn't present me with enough upside to warrant it unless I am also really bullish Oriental Land (4661 JP)."


Last Week in Event SPACE: HK Southbound, Jardine Cycle, Keisei/Oriental Land, BHP/Anglo American

Taiwan

Bizlink Holding Inc., manufactures connectors, cable assemblies, as well as wire harnesses. Their main products include HDMI connectors, display port connectors, solar cables, as well as halogen-free power cords.

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Bizlink Holding (3665 TT)

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: Five Changes Likely; US$1.3bn One-Way

Based on current estimates, there could be five inflow names and six outflow names with more than five days of volume to trade during the June 2024...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 24th): Asustek Computer, Realtek Semi, Evergreen Marine

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Asustek Computer, Realtek Semi, Evergreen...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC's Latest Sub-Industry Guidance; PC Names Strong; Computex & Apple WDC Ahead

TSMC provides industry guidance for 2024E, more detail on Nvidia and Mediatek developing AI PC chip to rival Qualcomm and Intel, Samsung's HBM...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 13% One-Way Turnover & US$2.27bn Trade

The ETF could have 5 constituent changes in June. There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 12.6% and a...

Brian Freitas

Last Week in Event SPACE: HK Southbound, Jardine Cycle, Keisei/Oriental Land, BHP/Anglo American

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: Five Changes Likely; US$1.3bn One-Way

Based on current estimates, there could be five inflow names and six outflow names with more than five days of volume to trade during the June 2024...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (May 24th): Asustek Computer, Realtek Semi, Evergreen Marine

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Asustek Computer, Realtek Semi, Evergreen...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC's Latest Sub-Industry Guidance; PC Names Strong; Computex & Apple WDC Ahead

​TSMC provides industry guidance for 2024E, more detail on Nvidia and Mediatek developing AI PC chip to rival Qualcomm and Intel, Samsung's HBM...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 13% One-Way Turnover & US$2.27bn Trade

The ETF could have 5 constituent changes in June. There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 12.6% and a...

Brian Freitas

Last Week in Event SPACE: HK Southbound, Jardine Cycle, Keisei/Oriental Land, BHP/Anglo American

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

TSMC provides industry guidance for 2024E, more detail on Nvidia and Mediatek developing AI PC chip to rival Qualcomm and Intel, Samsung's HBM...

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 13% One-Way Turnover & US$2.27bn Trade