IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qingci-games" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35240:1" rel="noopener">Qingci Games (6633 HK)</a> is a mobile game developer and publisher in China. It aims to raise net proceeds of US$125.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>The past is perfect and characterised by exponential growth and rising margins. However, the future is tense with a material decline in profitability flagged for 2H21.  </li>
<li>It is uncertain if the declining trends in the key title can be offset by a new blockbuster title. We discuss valuation in our next note. </li>
</ul>



Qingci Games (6633 HK) is a mobile game developer and publisher in China. It aims to raise net proceeds of US$125.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range.
The past is perfect and characterised by exponential growth and rising margins. However, the future is tense with a material decline in profitability flagged for 2H21.  
It is uncertain if the declining trends in the key title can be offset by a new blockbuster title. We discuss valuation in our next note. 


Qingci Games IPO: Future, Imperfect and Tense

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Weibo raised around US$440m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>We have covered most aspects of the deal in our previous notes, see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/weibo-secondary-listing-needs-to-come-at-a-discount" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/weibo-secondary-listing-going-down-the-autohome-route" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the allocation results and the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Weibo raised around US$440m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong.
We have covered most aspects of the deal in our previous notes, see here and here.
In this note, we'll talk about the allocation results and the trading dynamics.


Weibo Secondary Trading - Delivered a Good Correction but Got Caught in the Wider Rout

<ul>
<li>Kanzhun, an online recruitment platform in China, raised around US$1bn in its US IPO in Jun 2021.</li>
<li>The company is backed by Tencent and pre-IPO financial investors own over 50% of the company.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the updates since listing and the impact of the upcoming lock-up expiry.</li>
</ul>


Kanzhun, an online recruitment platform in China, raised around US$1bn in its US IPO in Jun 2021.
The company is backed by Tencent and pre-IPO financial investors own over 50% of the company.
In this note, we look at the updates since listing and the impact of the upcoming lock-up expiry.


Kanzhun Lock-Up - Has Held up Remarkably Well with All Pre-IPO Shareholders Well in the Money

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qingci-games" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35240:1" rel="noopener">Qingci Games (QCG HK)</a> is looking to raise US$150m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>The company is currently just riding on the success of one game, The Marvelous Snail, which accounted for 95% and 68% of FY20 and 1H21 revenue, respectively.</li>
<li>The problem is further accentuated by the fact that QCG doesn’t have much of a track record and its pipeline games don’t seem impressive.</li>
</ul>



Qingci Games (QCG HK) is looking to raise US$150m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
The company is currently just riding on the success of one game, The Marvelous Snail, which accounted for 95% and 68% of FY20 and 1H21 revenue, respectively.
The problem is further accentuated by the fact that QCG doesn’t have much of a track record and its pipeline games don’t seem impressive.


Qingci Games (青瓷游戏) Pre-IPO - One-Hit Wonder

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Cloud Village raised net proceeds of HK$3,124m (US$406.1m) at HK$205 per share, which is the midpoint of the IPO price range of HK$190-220 per share.</li>
<li>At the IPO price of HK$205 per share, CV will have a market capitalisation of HK$42.6bn and a post-money EV of HK$34.5bn.</li>
<li>The HK offer and the international offer were oversubscribed by 8.92x and 1.7x respectively. Cornerstone investment accounted for 83.15% of the total shares offered at the IPO.</li>
</ul>


Cloud Village raised net proceeds of HK$3,124m (US$406.1m) at HK$205 per share, which is the midpoint of the IPO price range of HK$190-220 per share.
At the IPO price of HK$205 per share, CV will have a market capitalisation of HK$42.6bn and a post-money EV of HK$34.5bn.
The HK offer and the international offer were oversubscribed by 8.92x and 1.7x respectively. Cornerstone investment accounted for 83.15% of the total shares offered at the IPO.


Cloud Village IPO: Thoughts on First Day Trading

China

Bilibili Inc. provides online entertainment services. The Company offers a platform that covers a wide array of genres and media formats, including videos, live broadcasting, mobile games, animation, and comics. Bilibili serves customers in China.

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Bilibili (BILI US)

Qingci Games IPO: Future, Imperfect and Tense

Qingci aims to raise net proceeds of US$125.5 million at the mid-point of the IPO price range. Overall, we believe the negatives outweigh the...

Arun George

Weibo Secondary Trading - Delivered a Good Correction but Got Caught in the Wider Rout

Weibo raised around US$440m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we look at the allocation results and talk about the trading...

Sumeet Singh

Kanzhun Lock-Up - Has Held up Remarkably Well with All Pre-IPO Shareholders Well in the Money

Kanzhun, an online recruitment platform in China, raised around US$1bn in its US IPO in Jun 2021. In this note, we will talk about the upcoming...

Sumeet Singh

Qingci Games (青瓷游戏) Pre-IPO - One-Hit Wonder

Qingci Games (QCG HK) is looking to raise US$150m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The company is currently just riding on the success of one game,...

Sumeet Singh

Cloud Village IPO: Thoughts on First Day Trading

CV raised net proceeds of HK$3,124m (US$406.1m) at HK$205 per share, which is the midpoint of the IPO price range. CV's IPO is overvalued and we...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

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