Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

A chartered management accountant with more than 10 years of rich experience in investment research and financial analysis. Worked as an equity analyst for one of the world's largest asset managers with USD2.5trn in AUM covering numerous sectors including chemicals, retail, tech, autos, telco, real-estate and banks, globally. Experienced in fundamental equity research, industry research, commodity studies, forensic accounting, and due diligence reviews.

Equity Analyst

Xiaomi 4Q: Good Results Despite a Challenging Environment

Ferretti IPO: Things Have Gotten Worse Since Previous Attempt to List in Milan

Tencent 4Q2021: Disappointing Earnings but Expected

TME: Earnings Growth Slowing Down; Entertainment Under Pressure Due to Regulation and Competition

Tencent: Possible Record Fine for Anti-Money Laundering

TME: ByteDance’s Entry into Music Streaming to Further Threaten TME’s Dominance

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TME reported 4Q2021 results on Monday. Revenue for the quarter decreased 8.7% YoY to RMB7.61bn (vs consensus RMB7.66bn) and reported OP decreased 47.3% YoY to RMB682m (vs consensus RMB1.3bn).</li>
<li>Revenue from Online music services grew single digit (4%) for the first time while revenue from Social Entertainment services dropped further during the quarter.</li>
<li>TME expects its revenues to decline in 2022 as it expects the social entertainment services business to remain under pressure due to competition and regulatory pressure.</li>
</ul>


TME reported 4Q2021 results on Monday. Revenue for the quarter decreased 8.7% YoY to RMB7.61bn (vs consensus RMB7.66bn) and reported OP decreased 47.3% YoY to RMB682m (vs consensus RMB1.3bn).
Revenue from Online music services grew single digit (4%) for the first time while revenue from Social Entertainment services dropped further during the quarter.
TME expects its revenues to decline in 2022 as it expects the social entertainment services business to remain under pressure due to competition and regulatory pressure.


TME 4Q Results: Earnings Continue to Weaken

Tencent Music

TME 4Q Results: Earnings Continue to Weaken