Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We take a look at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19029:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro Co Ltd (086520 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kum-yang-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10364:1" rel="noopener">Kum Yang (001570 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jyp-entertainment-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17598:1" rel="noopener">Jyp Entertainment (035900 KS)</a> since they appear to be on investor radars.</li>
<li>Foreign investors have been buyers while retail have been sellers in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19029:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro Co</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kum-yang-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10364:1" rel="noopener">Kum Yang</a> over the last month, while foreign investors have continued to buy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jyp-entertainment-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17598:1" rel="noopener">Jyp Entertainment</a>.</li>
<li>Short interest on all stocks has dropped over the last month, though there has been a recent tick up in shorts on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jyp-entertainment-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17598:1" rel="noopener">Jyp Entertainment (035900 KS)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We take a look at Ecopro Co Ltd (086520 KS), Kum Yang (001570 KS) and Jyp Entertainment (035900 KS) since they appear to be on investor radars.
Foreign investors have been buyers while retail have been sellers in Ecopro Co and Kum Yang over the last month, while foreign investors have continued to buy Jyp Entertainment.
Short interest on all stocks has dropped over the last month, though there has been a recent tick up in shorts on Jyp Entertainment (035900 KS). 


Korea - A Look at Ecopro, Kumyang & JYP Entertainment

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY)</a> last week closed the week down (CC=-1) after a strong rise the previous week. Could be getting ready to rise higher.
</li>
<li>The index last week tested supports in the Market Reversal Matrix's Q2/Median support area (around 335).</li>
<li>
Valid support levels for the coming week (if CC=-2) are between 333 (Q2) and 324 (Q3).</li>
</ul>


The KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX EQUITY) last week closed the week down (CC=-1) after a strong rise the previous week. Could be getting ready to rise higher.

The index last week tested supports in the Market Reversal Matrix's Q2/Median support area (around 335).

Valid support levels for the coming week (if CC=-2) are between 333 (Q2) and 324 (Q3).


EQD | KOSPI 200 Index WEEKLY: Rising After a Brief Pullback

<ul>
<li>Busy week in India with the adhoc changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank</a> due to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank</a> merger.</li>
<li>The IDX could announce the changes to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices in the coming week, though there is no firm schedule for announcements.</li>
<li>Yet another week of inflows to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a> ETF and outflows from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Busy week in India with the adhoc changes to the NIFTY, NSE Nifty Next 50, S&amp;P BSE SENSEX and Nifty Bank due to the HDFC Limited and HDFC Bank merger.
The IDX could announce the changes to the IDX30, LQ45 and IDX80 indices in the coming week, though there is no firm schedule for announcements.
Yet another week of inflows to the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK) ETF and outflows from the Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, Chinext, URA, Korea Stocks, NKY

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Despite the enormous demand for Black Pink concerts and the expected launch of the new girl-group band BabyMonster, we believe shares of Yg Entertainment (122870 KS) have overextended this year.</li>
<li>Black Pink remains a fan-favorite group and their contribution to sales and profits are likely to peak this year. Valuations for YG Entertainment is also unattractive.</li>
<li>Although BabyMonster is likely to become popular, the higher probability scenario is for them to fall below expectations. We do not believe BabyMonster could become the next Black Pink. </li>
</ul>


Despite the enormous demand for Black Pink concerts and the expected launch of the new girl-group band BabyMonster, we believe shares of Yg Entertainment (122870 KS) have overextended this year.
Black Pink remains a fan-favorite group and their contribution to sales and profits are likely to peak this year. Valuations for YG Entertainment is also unattractive.
Although BabyMonster is likely to become popular, the higher probability scenario is for them to fall below expectations. We do not believe BabyMonster could become the next Black Pink. 


YG Entertainment: BabyMonster to Become the Next Black Pink?

<ul>
<li>Korea Investment &amp; Securities announced the final competition rate for the tender offer of SM Entertainment by Kakao Group (8,333,641 shares of SM Entertainment at 150,000 won per share).</li>
<li>The competition ratio of the tender offer was 2.2655436 to 1. Accordingly, the allocation ratio was set at 44.1395170%. </li>
<li>At the current price of 95,100 won, SM Entertainment's shares are undervalued by about 25% to 45% over the next 6-12 months, in our view. </li>
</ul>


Korea Investment &amp; Securities announced the final competition rate for the tender offer of SM Entertainment by Kakao Group (8,333,641 shares of SM Entertainment at 150,000 won per share).
The competition ratio of the tender offer was 2.2655436 to 1. Accordingly, the allocation ratio was set at 44.1395170%. 
At the current price of 95,100 won, SM Entertainment's shares are undervalued by about 25% to 45% over the next 6-12 months, in our view. 


SM Entertainment: Tender Offer Allocation Ratios Announced

South Korea

HYBE Co., Ltd. operates as an entertainment company. The Company provides music production, album distribution, entertainers management, publicity, planning, training, and other services. HYBE also makes television shows.

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HYBE (352820 KS)

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