IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monde-nissin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32188:1" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE PM)</a> shares are down 18% on the back of FY22 results which revealed a net loss of PHP13 billion mainly due to a large impairment charge.</li>
<li>While softening demand in meat alternatives is a headwind, Monde should benefit from the tailwinds of market share gains (in APAC BFB) and margin improvement (easing cost inflation).</li>
<li>The valuation is undemanding (SOTP valuation of PHP10.21 per share) and will prove attractive to investors with a longer-term investment horizon.</li>
</ul>



Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE PM) shares are down 18% on the back of FY22 results which revealed a net loss of PHP13 billion mainly due to a large impairment charge.
While softening demand in meat alternatives is a headwind, Monde should benefit from the tailwinds of market share gains (in APAC BFB) and margin improvement (easing cost inflation).
The valuation is undemanding (SOTP valuation of PHP10.21 per share) and will prove attractive to investors with a longer-term investment horizon.


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Last week, Filipino food manufacturer <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monde-nissin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32188:1" rel="noopener">Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE PM)</a></strong> announced FY22 top-line growth of 6.7%. </li>
<li>However, the bottom line spilled red ink after booking impairment losses relating to its Quorn meat alternative ops. </li>
<li>The thrust of Quorn/Impossible/Beyond alternatives was that meat eaters would sacrifice their burgers without having to sacrifice anything at all. Yet the Big Meat appetite is not so easily swayed. </li>
</ul>


Last week, Filipino food manufacturer Monde Nissin Corp (MONDE PM) announced FY22 top-line growth of 6.7%. 
However, the bottom line spilled red ink after booking impairment losses relating to its Quorn meat alternative ops. 
The thrust of Quorn/Impossible/Beyond alternatives was that meat eaters would sacrifice their burgers without having to sacrifice anything at all. Yet the Big Meat appetite is not so easily swayed. 


Monde Nissin: High Steaks And Flexitarian Impairments

Fundamental Short Selling Research

Eric Fernandez, CFA

TwoRiversAnalytics

<ul>
<li>This model seeks companies facing dangerously high leverage coupled with negative or declining cash flows.  It considers interest expense, capex and short term maturities for additional input. </li>
<li>The companies may not be viable given cash flows and capital structures.  These shorts tend to have  higher betas  and can have strong down moves as the crisis is recognized.</li>
<li>This week we flag: Beyond Meat, Madison Sqr Garden, Trinity, Portillo, Jack in the Box</li>
</ul>


This model seeks companies facing dangerously high leverage coupled with negative or declining cash flows.  It considers interest expense, capex and short term maturities for additional input. 
The companies may not be viable given cash flows and capital structures.  These shorts tend to have  higher betas  and can have strong down moves as the crisis is recognized.
This week we flag: Beyond Meat, Madison Sqr Garden, Trinity, Portillo, Jack in the Box


Solvency Risk Short Candidates: Beyond Meat, Madison Sqr Garden, Trinity, Portillo, Jack in the Box

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

<ul>
<li>COP27, the 27th annual United Nations international conference on climate change, starts on 6 November and runs through 18 November – in the Egyptian coastal city of Sharm el-Sheikh.</li>
<li>Whereas climate mitigation and clean energy were the main focus of prior conferences, climate adaptation and sustainable agriculture and food are top priorities for the COP26 Presidency.</li>
<li>Therefore, agriculture and food stocks are poised to be the most impacted on a relative basis by COP27 proceedings and outcomes. This Insight considers the potential "winners and losers."</li>
</ul>


COP27, the 27th annual United Nations international conference on climate change, starts on 6 November and runs through 18 November – in the Egyptian coastal city of Sharm el-Sheikh.
Whereas climate mitigation and clean energy were the main focus of prior conferences, climate adaptation and sustainable agriculture and food are top priorities for the COP26 Presidency.
Therefore, agriculture and food stocks are poised to be the most impacted on a relative basis by COP27 proceedings and outcomes. This Insight considers the potential "winners and losers."


COP27: Agriculture and Food Stocks Likely to Be Most Affected by Conference Talks

<ul>
<li>COP27, the 27th annual United Nations international conference on climate change, starts on 6 November and runs through 18 November – in the Egyptian coastal city of Sharm el-Sheikh.</li>
<li>World leaders and delegations from 196 nations and territories are expected to collaborate on a host of issues such as finance, decarbonisation, agriculture, water, energy, and biodiversity.</li>
<li>Overall expectations are being kept in check, but COP27 is likely to focus on climate adaptation and sectors like agriculture/food that heretofore have taken a back seat to clean energy.</li>
</ul>


COP27, the 27th annual United Nations international conference on climate change, starts on 6 November and runs through 18 November – in the Egyptian coastal city of Sharm el-Sheikh.
World leaders and delegations from 196 nations and territories are expected to collaborate on a host of issues such as finance, decarbonisation, agriculture, water, energy, and biodiversity.
Overall expectations are being kept in check, but COP27 is likely to focus on climate adaptation and sectors like agriculture/food that heretofore have taken a back seat to clean energy.


COP27: Despite Limited Expectations There Are Several Potential Bright Spots

United States

Beyond Meat Inc. develops plant based protein food products. The Company offers burgers, sausage, crumbles, strips, and other related products. Beyond Meat serves customers in the United States.

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Beyond Meat (BYND US)

Monde Nissin: The Investment Case

The sentiment is weak due to the large impairment charges. The valuation is undemanding (SOTP valuation of PHP10.21) and will prove attractive to...

Arun George

Monde Nissin: High Steaks And Flexitarian Impairments

Monde is not "cheap". And Universal and Century have stronger forward top-line growth and superior yields. I can see Mode drifting lower to sideways.

David Blennerhassett

Solvency Risk Short Candidates: Beyond Meat, Madison Sqr Garden, Trinity, Portillo, Jack in the Box

This model seeks companies facing dangerously high leverage coupled with negative or declining cash flows. This week we flag: Beyond Meat,...

Eric Fernandez, CFA

COP27: Agriculture and Food Stocks Likely to Be Most Affected by Conference Talks

COP27 starts next week, and sustainable agriculture/food is at the top of the agenda. That could mean agriculture stocks are the most impacted by...

Kyle Rudden

COP27: Despite Limited Expectations There Are Several Potential Bright Spots

COP27, the UN climate change conference, starts next week. Despite curbed expectations for the conference as a whole, there are a few bright spots...

Kyle Rudden

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