External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Discretionary categories to clock another healthy quarter: Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~29% YoY (revenue) in Q2FY23 (3-year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs of 19/17% resp)</li><li>Ticket sizes in retail remain elevated, courtesy higher ASP vis-à-vis pre-pandemic levels</li><li>Footfalls density is normalising too; esp in categories/companies with a higher urban presence</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Discretionary categories to clock another healthy quarter: Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~29% YoY (revenue) in Q2FY23 (3-year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs of 19/17% resp)Ticket sizes in retail remain elevated, courtesy higher ASP vis-à-vis pre-pandemic levelsFootfalls density is normalising too; esp in categories/companies with a higher urban presenceContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Expect a buoyant quarter; alas! bargains absent

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A news report has indicated that SEBI is looking to tighten criteria used for inclusion and continued availability of stocks in the Futures &amp; Options (F&amp;O) segment of the market.</li>
<li>Our analysis shows 30 stocks could be deleted from the F&amp;O segment while another 12 are close to deletion zone. If applied objectively, 22 stocks could be added to F&amp;O.</li>
<li>Deletion from the F&amp;O segment could see two stocks dropped from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a> while inclusion in F&amp;O could see two stocks added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>.</li>
</ul>


A news report has indicated that SEBI is looking to tighten criteria used for inclusion and continued availability of stocks in the Futures &amp; Options (F&amp;O) segment of the market.
Our analysis shows 30 stocks could be deleted from the F&amp;O segment while another 12 are close to deletion zone. If applied objectively, 22 stocks could be added to F&amp;O.
Deletion from the F&amp;O segment could see two stocks dropped from the Nifty Next 50 Index while inclusion in F&amp;O could see two stocks added to the NIFTY Index.


Impact of Potential Changes to India F&O Eligibility Criteria

<ul><li>Recovery trends across discretionary categories are healthy: Our discretionary universe is expected to nearly double sales YoY in Q1FY23 as the companies get their first pandemic-free quarter (3-year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs of 16/11% resp)</li><li>F&amp;G, jewellery, paints, apparel, and footwear are expected to clock 19%, 25%, 15%, 8%, and 2% (3-year CAGRs)</li><li>Ticket sizes in retail, though normalising, remain elevated vs pre-COVID levels.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Recovery trends across discretionary categories are healthy: Our discretionary universe is expected to nearly double sales YoY in Q1FY23 as the companies get their first pandemic-free quarter (3-year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs of 16/11% resp)F&amp;G, jewellery, paints, apparel, and footwear are expected to clock 19%, 25%, 15%, 8%, and 2% (3-year CAGRs)Ticket sizes in retail, though normalising, remain elevated vs pre-COVID levels.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Discretionary -  Margin Recovery to Lag that in Topline

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>4QFY22 consolidated headline performance: Revenue grew by 8% YoY to Rs21.9bn (vs our est. of Rs25.1bn). Consolidated gross margin was down by 480bps YoY at 38.9% (+220bps QoQ; vs our est. of 40.1%).</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>Standalone 4QFY22 Revenue, EBITDA and APAT grew by 7.3%, 3.8% and 1.6% YoY, respectively.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li>International &amp; subsidiary business performance: Polish subsidiary Bolix S.A had a robust topline growth, aided by improved sales in the UK and France.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

4QFY22 consolidated headline performance: Revenue grew by 8% YoY to Rs21.9bn (vs our est. of Rs25.1bn). Consolidated gross margin was down by 480bps YoY at 38.9% (+220bps QoQ; vs our est. of 40.1%).Standalone 4QFY22 Revenue, EBITDA and APAT grew by 7.3%, 3.8% and 1.6% YoY, respectively.International &amp; subsidiary business performance: Polish subsidiary Bolix S.A had a robust topline growth, aided by improved sales in the UK and France.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Berger Paints India Ltd - Disappointing Quarter; Management Not Unduly Worried by New Competition

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>After market close on Friday 20th May 2022, the constituency changes for S&amp;P BSE 100, SENSEX 50, and SENSEX Next 50 Indices were announced. </li>
<li>There will be no changes for S&amp;P BSE SENSEX and S&amp;P BSE BANKEX Indices in the June 2022 Rebalance. </li>
<li>These changes will become effective at the open of Monday 20th June 2022. Below is a closer look at each of the names involved in the June 2022 Rebalance.</li>
</ul>


After market close on Friday 20th May 2022, the constituency changes for S&amp;P BSE 100, SENSEX 50, and SENSEX Next 50 Indices were announced. 
There will be no changes for S&amp;P BSE SENSEX and S&amp;P BSE BANKEX Indices in the June 2022 Rebalance. 
These changes will become effective at the open of Monday 20th June 2022. Below is a closer look at each of the names involved in the June 2022 Rebalance.


S&P BSE Indices: No Changes for SENSEX; 7 ADDs/DELs for BSE 100 in June 2022

India

Berger Paints India Limited manufactures and distributes paints, enamels, varnishes, and synthetic resins. The Company's products are used in home, office, factory, interiors, exteriors, metal, wood, plastic, and others.

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Berger Paints India (BRGR IN)

Consumer Discretionary (Q2FY23 Results Preview): Expect a buoyant quarter; alas! bargains absent

Our discretionary universe is expected to grow by ~29% YoY (revenue) in Q2FY23 (3-year revenue/EBITDA CAGRs of 19/17% resp)

HDFC Securities

Impact of Potential Changes to India F&O Eligibility Criteria

News reports indicate that SEBI is looking to tighten criteria for inclusion and continued availability of stocks in the F&O segment. 30 stocks...

Brian Freitas

Consumer Discretionary - Margin Recovery to Lag that in Topline

Our discretionary universe is expected to nearly double sales YoY in Q1FY23 as the companies get their first pandemic-free quarter (3-year revenue...

HDFC Securities

Berger Paints India Ltd - Disappointing Quarter; Management Not Unduly Worried by New Competition

Berger Paints India Ltd. (BRGR) delivered a flat volume growth in the domestic decorative (Dom-Deco) business in 4QFY22, leading to 8% YoY...

Nirmal Bang

S&P BSE Indices: No Changes for SENSEX; 7 ADDs/DELs for BSE 100 in June 2022

S&P BSE Index changes for June 2022 were announced last week. No changes for SENSEX. 7 Adds/Deletes for BSE 100 including some negative and...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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