HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Mismatch between blood products supply and demand is intensifying, but there’s little way to increase production capacity in short time, which offers a good time to invest blood products companies. </li>
<li>Investors should not be too greedy in front of every rally and rebound, but the proportion of medical expenditure and pension expenditure in China's GDP would still increase.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cansino-biologics-inc-cc0c90b7-e854-4ba3-929b-914be1bd0d89" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32181:1" rel="noopener">CanSino Biologics Inc (688185 CH)</a> intends to IPO in Swiss. We think share price of CanSino would bounce back. It’s time to keep an eye on CanSino again. </li>
</ul>


Mismatch between blood products supply and demand is intensifying, but there’s little way to increase production capacity in short time, which offers a good time to invest blood products companies. 
Investors should not be too greedy in front of every rally and rebound, but the proportion of medical expenditure and pension expenditure in China's GDP would still increase.

CanSino Biologics Inc (688185 CH) intends to IPO in Swiss. We think share price of CanSino would bounce back. It’s time to keep an eye on CanSino again. 


China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.3)- CanSino, Blood Products Shortage, Don't Be Greedy in Front of Rally

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China's relaxation of COVID-19 control measures is much faster than expected. Due to rising infection rate and mortality rate, China would bear some pressure in the short term. </li>
<li>We analyzed the direct impacts due to COVID policy shift and related investment opportunities. The hardest time of three-year COVID-19 has passed.The playbook of the pandemic is about to end.</li>
<li>With the new leadership taking office, China will be more committed to economic growth after the Two Sessions. Starting from 2023H2, China could formulate independent financial/monetary policies. China will change. </li>
</ul>


China's relaxation of COVID-19 control measures is much faster than expected. Due to rising infection rate and mortality rate, China would bear some pressure in the short term. 
We analyzed the direct impacts due to COVID policy shift and related investment opportunities. The hardest time of three-year COVID-19 has passed.The playbook of the pandemic is about to end.
With the new leadership taking office, China will be more committed to economic growth after the Two Sessions. Starting from 2023H2, China could formulate independent financial/monetary policies. China will change. 


China Makes U-Turn on COVID Policy - Here Are the Direct Impacts and Investment Opportunities

Beijing Tiantan Biological Products / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tiantan is a good defensive investment target in unfriendly external environment to control the pullback due to its advantageous background and resources, but its profit margin/efficiency needs to improve. </li>
<li>After a large performance decline in Q1, Tiantan recovered well in Q2, but due to the pandemic and some acquisitions/resource integration, its profit performance declined in Q3. </li>
<li>Tiantan’s performance growth is expected to slow down in 2022, with single-digit YoY revenue growth. Accordingly, the current valuation may have overdrawn certainty.</li>
</ul>


Tiantan is a good defensive investment target in unfriendly external environment to control the pullback due to its advantageous background and resources, but its profit margin/efficiency needs to improve. 
After a large performance decline in Q1, Tiantan recovered well in Q2, but due to the pandemic and some acquisitions/resource integration, its profit performance declined in Q3. 
Tiantan’s performance growth is expected to slow down in 2022, with single-digit YoY revenue growth. Accordingly, the current valuation may have overdrawn certainty.


Beijing Tiantan Biological Products (600161CH)-A Good Defensive Investment Target but May Overvalued

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Zhejiang Longsheng Group Co., / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 50 changes a side for the CSI 500 Index at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 9 December.</li>
<li>One-Way turnover at the rebalance is estimated at 12.64% leading to a one-way trade of CNY 9.3bn. The Materials, Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors are net gainers.</li>
<li>9 adds to the CSI 500 Index are deletes from the CSI 300 Index while 7 deletes from the CSI 500 Index are adds to the CSI 300 Index.</li>
</ul>


There are 50 changes a side for the CSI 500 Index at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 9 December.
One-Way turnover at the rebalance is estimated at 12.64% leading to a one-way trade of CNY 9.3bn. The Materials, Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors are net gainers.
9 adds to the CSI 500 Index are deletes from the CSI 300 Index while 7 deletes from the CSI 500 Index are adds to the CSI 300 Index.


CSI 500 Index Rebalance: 50 Changes a Side Leads to 12%+ One-Way Turnover

<ul>
<li>There are 15 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 9 December.</li>
<li>While most of the deletions are in line with forecasts, there are a few differences on the inclusions as the index committee has used its discretion to overlook some names.</li>
<li>The Industrials, Materials and Utilities sectors gain index spots at the expense of Health Care, Financials, Consumer Staples and Consumer Discretionary.</li>
</ul>


There are 15 changes for the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 9 December.
While most of the deletions are in line with forecasts, there are a few differences on the inclusions as the index committee has used its discretion to overlook some names.
The Industrials, Materials and Utilities sectors gain index spots at the expense of Health Care, Financials, Consumer Staples and Consumer Discretionary.


CSI300 Index Rebalance: The Surprises Could Outperform

China

Beijing Tiantan Biological Products Corporation Limited researches, develops, and commercializes biological products.  The Company provides treatment for hepatitis and offers a line of vaccine products including hepatitis vaccines and rubella vaccines.

Beijing Tiantan Biological Products (600161 CH)

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Beijing Tiantan Biological Products (600161 CH)

China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.3)- CanSino, Blood Products Shortage, Don't Be Greedy in Front of Rally

Contradiction between blood products supply and demand is intensifying. Cansino plans to IPO in Swiss -We see upside potential in...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Makes U-Turn on COVID Policy - Here Are the Direct Impacts and Investment Opportunities

China's U-turn on COVID policy will lead to rising infection/mortality rate.We analyzed the direct impact/investment opportunity. Under new...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang