Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Weimob has emerged from the pandemic stronger and leaner, further consolidating its leadership in China's e-commerce SaaS market. </li>
<li>Drawing insights into the supply side (merchants/brands) on  Alibaba platform, our bottom-up analysis suggests that Weimob potentially has a US$600mn revenue opportunity by 2025.</li>
<li>We value Weimob at US$3bn assigning 5xPS on its US$600mn revenue by 2025,  implying 25% CAGR over 3-year period. Patience needed to navigate high-inflation environment which pressures growth assets. </li>
</ul>


Weimob has emerged from the pandemic stronger and leaner, further consolidating its leadership in China's e-commerce SaaS market. 
Drawing insights into the supply side (merchants/brands) on  Alibaba platform, our bottom-up analysis suggests that Weimob potentially has a US$600mn revenue opportunity by 2025.
We value Weimob at US$3bn assigning 5xPS on its US$600mn revenue by 2025,  implying 25% CAGR over 3-year period. Patience needed to navigate high-inflation environment which pressures growth assets. 


Weimob (2013 HK): Strategic Patience Will Be Rewarded (Part 2)

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Chinese e-commerce is having a solid month with most names up 30% in June. Yet this seems more a dead-cat-bounce than a change in direction of the share price momentum.</li>
<li>While there’s plenty of additional downside to big e-commerce players in e-commerce, smaller ones such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baozun-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24184:1" rel="noopener">Baozun Inc. (BZUN US)</a> has limited down side with shares trading near 1.0x P/B multiple.   </li>
<li>Meanwhile <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huitongda-network-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33789:1" rel="noopener">Huitongda (9878 HK)</a> is yet to experience the post IPO sell-off and trading at expensive multiples. This raises an opportunity for a Long Bozun Short Huitongda trade.</li>
</ul>


Chinese e-commerce is having a solid month with most names up 30% in June. Yet this seems more a dead-cat-bounce than a change in direction of the share price momentum.
While there’s plenty of additional downside to big e-commerce players in e-commerce, smaller ones such as Baozun Inc. (BZUN US) has limited down side with shares trading near 1.0x P/B multiple.   
Meanwhile Huitongda (9878 HK) is yet to experience the post IPO sell-off and trading at expensive multiples. This raises an opportunity for a Long Bozun Short Huitongda trade.


China E-Commerce Pair Trade: Long Baozun Short Huitongda

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>On 8th Mar 2022, Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) added five China ADR names to its provisional list of issuers under the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA).</li>
<li>There is nothing new about the list, on 2nd Dec 2021, SEC had issued final amendments to implement the HFCAA which had already spoken about the list and its implications.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments its possible timelines and implications.</li>
</ul>


On 8th Mar 2022, Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) added five China ADR names to its provisional list of issuers under the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA).
There is nothing new about the list, on 2nd Dec 2021, SEC had issued final amendments to implement the HFCAA which had already spoken about the list and its implications.
In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments its possible timelines and implications.


China ADRs Delisting - SEC Sets the Clock Ticking and Sends China ADRs Tripping

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huitongda" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33789:1" rel="noopener">Huitongda (1566215D CH)</a> is a fast-growing commerce and service platform focused on China’s lower-tier retail market. It is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$400-500 million.</li>
<li>The positives are a large addressable market, solid top-line growth and profitability. The key negative is the low margin profile which reflects a fragmented and competitive market. </li>
<li>Overall, we think that the positives outweigh the negatives and this IPO is worth a closer look.   </li>
</ul>



Huitongda (1566215D CH) is a fast-growing commerce and service platform focused on China’s lower-tier retail market. It is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$400-500 million.
The positives are a large addressable market, solid top-line growth and profitability. The key negative is the low margin profile which reflects a fragmented and competitive market. 
Overall, we think that the positives outweigh the negatives and this IPO is worth a closer look.   


Huitongda Network IPO Initiation: Clicks to Bricks

<ul>
<li>Weibo plans to raise around US$470m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. </li>
<li>We have covered most aspects of the deal in our previous note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/weibo-secondary-listing-needs-to-come-at-a-discount" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Weibo Secondary Offering - Needs to come at a discount</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the deal pricing and structure.</li>
</ul>


Weibo plans to raise around US$470m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. 
We have covered most aspects of the deal in our previous note, Weibo Secondary Offering - Needs to come at a discount.
In this note, we'll talk about the deal pricing and structure.


Weibo Secondary Listing - Going Down the Autohome Route

United States

Baozun Inc. provides e-commerce solutions. The Company's services include website design, development and hosting, information technology infrastructure, customer service, warehousing, and logistics services, as well as digital marketing. Baozun serves customers in China.

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Baozun Inc. (BZUN US)

Weimob (2013 HK): Strategic Patience Will Be Rewarded (Part 2)

Our bottom-up analysis suggests Weimob has a US$600mn revenue opportunity and could achieve US$100mn net profit by 2025 and we value the company at...

Eric Chen

China E-Commerce Pair Trade: Long Baozun Short Huitongda

Unlike most of the tech/e-commerce IPOs in the recent past, Huitongda is yet to experience a post-IPO sell-off due to low trading volumes and the...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

China ADRs Delisting - SEC Sets the Clock Ticking and Sends China ADRs Tripping

On 8th Mar 2022, Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) added five China ADR names to its provisional list of issuers under the Holding Foreign...

Sumeet Singh

Huitongda Network IPO Initiation: Clicks to Bricks

Huitongda is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$400-500 million. Overall, we think that the positives outweigh the negatives and this IPO is...

Arun George

Weibo Secondary Listing - Going Down the Autohome Route

Weibo plans to raise around US$470m in its secondary listing in Hong Kong. In this note, we will talk about the deal pricing and structure.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)