Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Ping An Insurance bought into a small Tokyo-based condo developer in 2017 at ¥255/share. In 2020, it reinvested on the dip with SBI at ¥155/share.</li>
<li>Ping An and SBI started with zero shares. By 2020 they had 80+% of shares. Now they are selling out to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daito-trust-construct-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10503:1" rel="noopener">Daito Trust Construct (1878 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>This is a done deal at a slight premium to book value. Daito Trust buys Real Estate Available for Sale and assumes debt. That's it. Easy peasy done deal. </li>
</ul>


Ping An Insurance bought into a small Tokyo-based condo developer in 2017 at ¥255/share. In 2020, it reinvested on the dip with SBI at ¥155/share.
Ping An and SBI started with zero shares. By 2020 they had 80+% of shares. Now they are selling out to Daito Trust Construct (1878 JP). 
This is a done deal at a slight premium to book value. Daito Trust buys Real Estate Available for Sale and assumes debt. That's it. Easy peasy done deal. 


Daito Trust Buys Out Listed Private Co Ascot (3264 JP) - Small Done Deal at ¥260

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ascot-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9576:1" rel="noopener">Ascot Corp (3264 JP)</a> announced a tender offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daito-trust-construct-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10503:1" rel="noopener">Daito Trust Construct (1878 JP)</a> at JPY260 per share, a 20.4% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>Ascot currently does not meet the 25% tradeable share ratio criterion. The offer is attractive compared to historical trading ranges but below the mid-point of the IFA DCF valuation range.</li>
<li>This is a done deal, as irrevocables represent an 82.78% ownership ratio, well above the minimum acceptance condition (67.86% ownership ratio).  </li>
</ul>



Ascot Corp (3264 JP) announced a tender offer from Daito Trust Construct (1878 JP) at JPY260 per share, a 20.4% premium to the last close.
Ascot currently does not meet the 25% tradeable share ratio criterion. The offer is attractive compared to historical trading ranges but below the mid-point of the IFA DCF valuation range.
This is a done deal, as irrevocables represent an 82.78% ownership ratio, well above the minimum acceptance condition (67.86% ownership ratio).  


Ascot Corp (3264 JP): Daito Trust Construction (1878 JP)’s Tender Offer a Done Deal

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>For the month of March 2025, 13 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$14bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in March was ~53%, with a year-to-date average also of 55%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% .</li>
</ul>


For the month of March 2025, 13 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$14bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in March was ~53%, with a year-to-date average also of 55%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% .


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Mar 2025 Wrap: ENN Energy, Gold Road, Spartan, Aeon Delight, Sinarmas, Topcon

Shinko Electric Industries / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 55 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Three news new deals discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold-road-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6698:1" rel="noopener">Gold Road Resources (GOR AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinarmas-land-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1144:1" rel="noopener">Sinarmas Land (SML SP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/domain-holdings-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26033:1" rel="noopener">Domain Holdings (DHG AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japfa-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15597:1" rel="noopener">Japfa Ltd (JAP SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paragon-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tsuruha-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9536:1" rel="noopener">Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/welcia-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20895:1" rel="noopener">Welcia Holdings (3141 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 55 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Three news new deals discussed this week: Gold Road Resources (GOR AU),ENN Energy (2688 HK), and Sinarmas Land (SML SP).
Key updates/news took place on: Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP), Domain Holdings (DHG AU),Japfa Ltd (JAP SP), Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP), and Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP)/Welcia Holdings (3141 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Gold Fields, Sinarmas Land, Shinko Electric, Domain, Japfa, Tsuruha/Welcia

<ul>
<li>Buy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankyu-hanshin-reit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12654:1" rel="noopener">Hankyu Hanshin REIT, Inc. (8977 JP)</a> on any weakness. There will be strength ahead.</li>
<li>With <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a> suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code, a third party Offer, as opposed to ENN Group, seems more likely. </li>
<li>Be long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idemitsu-kosan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:109:1" rel="noopener">Idemitsu (5019 JP)</a> vs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eneos-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:638:1" rel="noopener">ENEOS</a> for the next several weeks. Light and easy drift trade based on pressure increasing and pressure ending before new news in May.</li>
</ul>


Buy Hankyu Hanshin REIT, Inc. (8977 JP) on any weakness. There will be strength ahead.
With ENN Energy (2688 HK) suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code, a third party Offer, as opposed to ENN Group, seems more likely. 
Be long Idemitsu (5019 JP) vs ENEOS for the next several weeks. Light and easy drift trade based on pressure increasing and pressure ending before new news in May.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Hankyu Hanshin REIT, ENN Energy, Idemitsu, HKBN, Jardine Matheson

Japan

Ascot Corp. owns and operates real estate properties.  The Company's principal activities include residential property leasing, land development and property management services for residential and commercial buildings.  Ascot Corp. also undertakes building and renovation projects.

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Ascot Corp (3264 JP)

Daito Trust Buys Out Listed Private Co Ascot (3264 JP) - Small Done Deal at ¥260

Daito Trust is buying out the investor owners of 86% of Ascot Corp, a small Tokyo-based condo developer. It's a done deal as the three with 86%...

Travis Lundy