China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We estimate that SMICs 7nm yield is &gt;70% with capacity of 19k 7nm wafers per month.  We expect SMIC will be able to ship 5nm by 2026 .</li>
<li>We expect Huawei’s wafer demand to reach 18k~ 7nm per month, which would have revenue gain of US$ 550mn~ per quarter to SMIC. We raise SMIC TP to HK$ 27.</li>
<li>We expect Huawei to reach 18% share of the China smartphone market in 2024. We expect Apple and Xiaomi’s China market share to decline by 2ppt and 0.8ppt YoY, respectively.</li>
</ul>


We estimate that SMICs 7nm yield is &gt;70% with capacity of 19k 7nm wafers per month.  We expect SMIC will be able to ship 5nm by 2026 .
We expect Huawei’s wafer demand to reach 18k~ 7nm per month, which would have revenue gain of US$ 550mn~ per quarter to SMIC. We raise SMIC TP to HK$ 27.
We expect Huawei to reach 18% share of the China smartphone market in 2024. We expect Apple and Xiaomi’s China market share to decline by 2ppt and 0.8ppt YoY, respectively.


[Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: SMIC 7nm and 5nm Sufficient for Huawei Rejuvenation

<ul>
<li>Real Estate Industry Update: Property sales remain lukewarm in August, price declined marginally(/)</li>
<li>Real Estate Industry Update: Local media survey indicate China home purchase willingness increased in September post policy stimulus(+)</li>
<li>AAPL/JD: JD pre-registrations for iPhone 15 slightly lower than iPhone 14, and ASP largely unchanged (-)</li>
</ul>


Real Estate Industry Update: Property sales remain lukewarm in August, price declined marginally(/)
Real Estate Industry Update: Local media survey indicate China home purchase willingness increased in September post policy stimulus(+)
AAPL/JD: JD pre-registrations for iPhone 15 slightly lower than iPhone 14, and ASP largely unchanged (-)


China TMT Update-AAPL/JD/BEKE-Pre-Registrations for IPhone 15 Slightly Lower than IPhone 14

<ul>
<li>1810.HK/AAPL/981.HK: Local media reports that the Mate 60 series is planned to ship 20mn units (-/-/+)</li>
<li>HK700/HK1024/DOYU/BILI/IQ: Tencent announced its live broadcast rights holder for 2023 Hangzhou Asian Games. (+)/(-)/(-)/(-)/(-)</li>
<li>BABA/VIPS / PDD/ 3690.HK/ YSG/JD: Social retail consumption improved month-on-month (+/+/+/+/+/-)</li>
</ul>


1810.HK/AAPL/981.HK: Local media reports that the Mate 60 series is planned to ship 20mn units (-/-/+)
HK700/HK1024/DOYU/BILI/IQ: Tencent announced its live broadcast rights holder for 2023 Hangzhou Asian Games. (+)/(-)/(-)/(-)/(-)
BABA/VIPS / PDD/ 3690.HK/ YSG/JD: Social retail consumption improved month-on-month (+/+/+/+/+/-)


China TMT Update-1810.HK/AAPL/981.HK/HK700/HK1024/DOYU/BILI/IQ/BABA/VIPS/PDD/3690.HK/YSG/JD-Mate 60

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, ARM's IPO seems to have set the ball rolling for the traditionally busy year end across the region.</li>
<li>In the placement space, finally a Hong Kong placement mangaed to hold up, even as a large Aussie one gave way.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, ARM's IPO seems to have set the ball rolling for the traditionally busy year end across the region.
In the placement space, finally a Hong Kong placement mangaed to hold up, even as a large Aussie one gave way.


ECM Weekly (17th Sep 2023) - ARM, VNG, Doosan, Tuhu, IMotion, Seibu Giken, RR Kabel, Viva, Innovent

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>NEVs /: Chinese NEV industry hits back at EU anti-subsidy probe</li><li>China-Venezuela /: China and Venezuela agree to upgrade official status</li><li><p>Property /Charts of the Day: China’s latest policy support boosts home sales, but briefly</p></li></ul>

NEVs /: Chinese NEV industry hits back at EU anti-subsidy probeChina-Venezuela /: China and Venezuela agree to upgrade official statusProperty /Charts of the Day: China’s latest policy support boosts home sales, but briefly

CX Daily: Chinese NEV Industry Hits Back at EU Anti-Subsidy Probe

United States

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related accessories. The Company also offers payment, digital content, cloud and advertising services. Apple Inc.'s customers are primarily in consumer, small & mid-sized business, education, enterprise and government markets worldwide.

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Apple (AAPL US)

[Blue Lotus Hardware Sector Update]: SMIC 7nm and 5nm Sufficient for Huawei Rejuvenation

We expect Huawei’s wafer demand to reach 18k~ 7nm per month, which would have revenue gain of US$ 550mn~ per quarter to SMIC. We raise SMIC TP to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update-AAPL/JD/BEKE-Pre-Registrations for IPhone 15 Slightly Lower than IPhone 14

Property sales remain lukewarm in August; Local media survey indicate China home purchase willingness increased in September;AAPL/JD: JD pre...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update-1810.HK/AAPL/981.HK/HK700/HK1024/DOYU/BILI/IQ/BABA/VIPS/PDD/3690.HK/YSG/JD-Mate 60

Local media reports that the Mate 60 series is planned to ship 20mn units; Tencent announced its live broadcast rights holder for Asian Games;...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

ECM Weekly (17th Sep 2023) - ARM, VNG, Doosan, Tuhu, IMotion, Seibu Giken, RR Kabel, Viva, Innovent

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

CX Daily: Chinese NEV Industry Hits Back at EU Anti-Subsidy Probe

NEVs /: Chinese NEV industry hits back at EU anti-subsidy probe China-Venezuela /: China and Venezuela agree to upgrade official status iPhone /:...

Caixin Global

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