Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nine months ago I first wrote on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anycolor-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36618:1" rel="noopener">Anycolor (5032 JP)</a>. I thought the guidance growth pattern and valuations remarkable. Results handily beat guidance. Now we're in Year 2 of guidance.</li>
<li>After the first full year listed, FY2024 guidance was for +30% in revenue to ¥33bn, and +35% growth in OP. For Q1, reported yesterday, actual results were +51% and +91%.</li>
<li>The stock is popping this AM, but it is still cheap vs growth rates and margins. There are, notably, still "context issues" here. They merit some consideration (and investigation).</li>
</ul>


Nine months ago I first wrote on Anycolor (5032 JP). I thought the guidance growth pattern and valuations remarkable. Results handily beat guidance. Now we're in Year 2 of guidance.
After the first full year listed, FY2024 guidance was for +30% in revenue to ¥33bn, and +35% growth in OP. For Q1, reported yesterday, actual results were +51% and +91%.
The stock is popping this AM, but it is still cheap vs growth rates and margins. There are, notably, still "context issues" here. They merit some consideration (and investigation).


Anycolor (5032) - Great Quarter Guys! Again. Context Issues. Still.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In late December, I wrote <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/2023-high-conviction-anycolor-5032-aiming-at-tse-prime-and-topix-and-how" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:86221" rel="noopener">2023 High Conviction - Anycolor (5032) Aiming at TSE Prime and TOPIX - And How!</a>. Shares closed at ¥6,470 that day. Then went to ¥5,500. </li>
<li>They have since rebounded some, and now 3 pre-IPO VC investors have announced an overseas offering. This was NOT unexpected. They need more shares to get their TSE Prime listing.</li>
<li>The Offering is 3.27mm shares which is 5-6 days of volume. This lifts the TSE Prime inclusion amount, eventually, but the story is still about growth and model.</li>
</ul>


In late December, I wrote 2023 High Conviction - Anycolor (5032) Aiming at TSE Prime and TOPIX - And How!. Shares closed at ¥6,470 that day. Then went to ¥5,500. 
They have since rebounded some, and now 3 pre-IPO VC investors have announced an overseas offering. This was NOT unexpected. They need more shares to get their TSE Prime listing.
The Offering is 3.27mm shares which is 5-6 days of volume. This lifts the TSE Prime inclusion amount, eventually, but the story is still about growth and model.


Anycolor (5032) Overseas Offering - Pre-IPO VCs Selling This High Growth Name

<ul>
<li>"VTuber" (Virtual Youtuber) animated influencer company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anycolor-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36618:1" rel="noopener">Anycolor (5032 JP)</a> was listed on 8 June 2022 at ¥1530. The stock popped 214% on Day1.It is up another 60% since then.</li>
<li>Today Anycolor reported Q2 earnings (<a href="https://ssl4.eir-parts.net/doc/5032/ir_material_for_fiscal_ym2/128782/00.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">result</a>, <a href="https://ssl4.eir-parts.net/doc/5032/ir_material_for_fiscal_ym3/128783/00.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">presentation</a>) and <a href="https://ssl4.eir-parts.net/doc/5032/ir_material1/198000/00.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">revised its full-year forecast</a> to 30 April. Revenues will be +7-18% vs forecast, OP +18-39%, NP +15-39%. Price is 43x forecast EPS.</li>
<li>The company also announced it is preparing a <a href="https://ssl4.eir-parts.net/doc/5032/ir_material1/198002/00.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Section Transfer application</a>, but gave little more info. So we dig into what THAT means.</li>
</ul>


"VTuber" (Virtual Youtuber) animated influencer company Anycolor (5032 JP) was listed on 8 June 2022 at ¥1530. The stock popped 214% on Day1.It is up another 60% since then.
Today Anycolor reported Q2 earnings (result, presentation) and revised its full-year forecast to 30 April. Revenues will be +7-18% vs forecast, OP +18-39%, NP +15-39%. Price is 43x forecast EPS.
The company also announced it is preparing a Section Transfer application, but gave little more info. So we dig into what THAT means.


2023 High Conviction - Anycolor (5032) Aiming at TSE Prime and TOPIX - And How!

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Dec 12th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,648m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Ci Medical, Toyoda Gosei, SoftBank, Toyota Motor, Lasertec, Skylark, Nintendo, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Tokyo Electron, Ci Medical, Toyoda Gosei.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Dec 12th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,648m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Ci Medical, Toyoda Gosei, SoftBank, Toyota Motor, Lasertec, Skylark, Nintendo, Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Tokyo Electron, Ci Medical, Toyoda Gosei.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Dec 12th): Ci Medical, Toyoda Gosei, SoftBank, Toyota Motor, Lasertec

Smartkarma Research Team, Smartkarma

Smartkarma Research

Smartkarma Research Team

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

17LIVE is a leading pure-play live streaming platform in Asia with key markets in Japan and Taiwan. Its business lines include Liver live streaming, V-Liver live streaming and other businesses such as in-app games and live commerce. 17LIVE is accessible globally and has fostered a diverse live streaming ecosystem with a loyal and engaged user community, as well as a deep pool of live streamers.
The Smartkarma team spoke to 17Live's Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director, Jiang Honghui, in an exclusive corporate webinar. Honghui sheds light on the company's impressive journey and future growth outlook within the vibrant live streaming space.
You can view the webinar via the link below.

17LIVE is a leading pure-play live streaming platform in Asia with key markets in Japan and Taiwan. Its business lines include Liver live streaming, V-Liver live streaming and other businesses such as in-app games and live commerce. 17LIVE is accessible globally and has fostered a diverse live streaming ecosystem with a loyal and engaged user community, as well as a deep pool of live streamers.
The Smartkarma team spoke to 17Live's Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director, Jiang Honghui, in an exclusive corporate webinar. Honghui sheds light on the company's impressive journey and future growth outlook within the vibrant live streaming space.
You can view the webinar via the link below. 

Smartkarma Corporate Webinar Recap: 17Live’s CEO on the Live Streaming Company's Outlook

Japan

Anycolor Inc. operates animation production businesses. The Company produces anime and other products. Anycolor conducts businesses in Japan.

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Anycolor (5032 JP)

Anycolor (5032) - Great Quarter Guys! Again. Context Issues. Still.

Anycolor had another great quarter. Revenues flying, OP up 90%yoy. Net Profit up. OPMs and NPMs at a record. And still limited coverage and take-up...

Travis Lundy

Anycolor (5032) Overseas Offering - Pre-IPO VCs Selling This High Growth Name

Anycolor (5032 JP) is a high-growth, high profitability company. This is an unusual combo. Getting 50+ revenue growth at 35x current year EPS is...

Travis Lundy

2023 High Conviction - Anycolor (5032) Aiming at TSE Prime and TOPIX - And How!

ANYCOLOR (5032) is a curious company. "Expensive at 9x forward revs, but it sports a "Rule of 148" to April 2023, so 42x EPSe is not overly...

Travis Lundy

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Dec 12th): Ci Medical, Toyoda Gosei, SoftBank, Toyota Motor, Lasertec

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Ci Medical (3540 JP), Toyoda Gosei (7282 JP), SoftBank (9984 JP),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Smartkarma Corporate Webinar Recap: 17Live’s CEO on the Live Streaming Company's Outlook

17LIVE is a leading pure-play live streaming platform in Asia with key markets in Japan and Taiwan. Its business lines include Liver live...

Smartkarma Research

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