Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly inflows into Kuaishou, China Mobile, Anta, CNOOC. </li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight weekly inflows into Kuaishou, China Mobile, Anta, CNOOC. 


Hong Kong Connect Flows: Kuaishou, China Mobile, Anta, CNOOC

Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

Forensic Accounting

Anta Sports Products / Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>Anta benefits from strong tailwinds of the two Olympic events and the Chinese government's support for citizens' sports engagement</li>
<li>Anta's inventory position has improved relative to H1 2020. However, it remains weaker than pre-pandemic levels in 2019</li>
<li>We analyse Anta's inventory and highlight key factors to watch in its upcoming FY2021 results</li>
</ul>


Anta benefits from strong tailwinds of the two Olympic events and the Chinese government's support for citizens' sports engagement
Anta's inventory position has improved relative to H1 2020. However, it remains weaker than pre-pandemic levels in 2019
We analyse Anta's inventory and highlight key factors to watch in its upcoming FY2021 results


Anta (2020 HK) Inventory Analysis - Structural Tailwinds from the Olympics

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Descente Ltd (8114 JP)  is about the same size as Goldwin but has traditionally depended for half of its sales on South Korea.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18448:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Corp (8001 JP)</a> acquired control in a fraught battle with management, in order to reduce this dependence. As a result, Descente managed a return to the black in 1H202.</li>
<li>It has ambitious plans to create a set of brands strong both at home and abroad by copying much of Goldwin’s playbook, particularly its investment in retail and online.</li>
</ul>


Descente Ltd (8114 JP)  is about the same size as Goldwin but has traditionally depended for half of its sales on South Korea.

Itochu Corp (8001 JP) acquired control in a fraught battle with management, in order to reduce this dependence. As a result, Descente managed a return to the black in 1H202.
It has ambitious plans to create a set of brands strong both at home and abroad by copying much of Goldwin’s playbook, particularly its investment in retail and online.


Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Considering the geopolitical relationship over the last 100 years, it doesn’t take much for Chinese people to start developing an anti-Japan sentiment.</li>
<li>The relationship between the two countries was already reaching nervy levels, before Tokyo’s decision to snub the 2022 Winter Olympics.</li>
<li>We think the Japanese government’s decision to not send a government delegation to the Winter Olympics could be all that is needed to spark an anti-Japan sentiment among Chinese consumers.</li>
</ul>


Considering the geopolitical relationship over the last 100 years, it doesn’t take much for Chinese people to start developing an anti-Japan sentiment.
The relationship between the two countries was already reaching nervy levels, before Tokyo’s decision to snub the 2022 Winter Olympics.
We think the Japanese government’s decision to not send a government delegation to the Winter Olympics could be all that is needed to spark an anti-Japan sentiment among Chinese consumers.


Japan’s Boycott of Winter Olympics Could Be the Tipping Point

Investment Advisors, JL Warren Capital

Junheng Li

Investment Advisors

JL Warren Capital

JL Warren Capital LLC is a leading independent equity research firm focused on Chinese companies and listed multinationals in China. We employ a bottom-up research approach that takes great care to avoid the acquisition of material non-public information. Through investigative due diligence including channel surveys and interviews, our research helps clients to pinpoint the dislocations in the market.

Topsports International Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nike-inc-cl-b" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6658:1" rel="noopener">Nike Inc Cl B (NKE US)</a>  retail partners in China have been slashing orders. </li>
<li>We estimate that in FQ2 2022, NKE was down 10-15% YoY in mainland China (90-95% Greater China sales), second down quarter in last 5 years.  </li>
<li>China retail in December appears to be further weakening from previous months.  </li>
</ul>



Nike Inc Cl B (NKE US)  retail partners in China have been slashing orders. 
We estimate that in FQ2 2022, NKE was down 10-15% YoY in mainland China (90-95% Greater China sales), second down quarter in last 5 years.  
China retail in December appears to be further weakening from previous months.  


NKE China FQ2 2022 Review: Double-Digit Decline in Retail & Wholesale: Excess Inventory, Weak Demand

China

ANTA Sports Products Limited designs, develops, manufactures, and markets sportswear, including sports footwear and apparel for professionals and the general public.

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Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows: Kuaishou, China Mobile, Anta, CNOOC

We highlight Southbound connect weekly inflows into Kuaishou, China Mobile, Anta, CNOOC, as well as outflows from Tencent, Wuxi Biologics.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Anta (2020 HK) Inventory Analysis - Structural Tailwinds from the Olympics

Anta benefits from strong tailwinds of the Olympics and the Chinese government's support for sports engagement. We analyse its inventory position...

Jason Yap, CFA

Descente: The Next Goldwin?

Japan's outdoor/sports market remains one of the few consistent growth categories in consumer markets. Goldwin was the most visible success story...

Michael Causton

Japan’s Boycott of Winter Olympics Could Be the Tipping Point

The relationship between the two countries was already reaching nervy levels, before Tokyo’s decision to snub the 2022 Winter Olympics. With the...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

NKE China FQ2 2022 Review: Double-Digit Decline in Retail & Wholesale: Excess Inventory, Weak Demand

NKE is likely to report Double-Digit YoY Decline in China Retail & Wholesale due to Excess Inventory, Weak Demand as a result of COVID, Slow...

JL Warren Capital

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