Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Anta top line outperformed competitors, both overseas and domestic brands, in China.</li>
<li>We believe all margins will be stable and EPS will rise by 41% in 2024.</li>
<li>However, we believe Anta is overvalued at the current price.</li>
</ul>


Anta top line outperformed competitors, both overseas and domestic brands, in China.
We believe all margins will be stable and EPS will rise by 41% in 2024.
However, we believe Anta is overvalued at the current price.


Anta Sports (2020 HK): Healthy in Financials, Leader in Market, But High in Price

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was a net buyer this week, again, after a small net sell week broke the 28-week buying streak. This week, over four days, it was +HK$9.3bn.</li>
<li>ETFs were a net buy this week; CCB, ICBC, Meituan, China Mobile, as well as BYD, Nonfu Spring, and ANTA Sports stand out among net buys. Sells were small. </li>
<li>This week sees <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> eligible for SOUTHBOUND buying. And what was supposed to be the HSI/HSCEI/HSTECH rebals Friday are pushed to Monday (link <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hang-seng-hscei-hstech-sep24-rebal-final-capping-flows" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>).</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was a net buyer this week, again, after a small net sell week broke the 28-week buying streak. This week, over four days, it was +HK$9.3bn.
ETFs were a net buy this week; CCB, ICBC, Meituan, China Mobile, as well as BYD, Nonfu Spring, and ANTA Sports stand out among net buys. Sells were small. 
This week sees Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) eligible for SOUTHBOUND buying. And what was supposed to be the HSI/HSCEI/HSTECH rebals Friday are pushed to Monday (link here).


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 6 Sep 2024); Weak Data

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was a net seller the prior week for HK$1.5bn, the first week in 29 where SB was a net seller. It was all ETFs. Stocks were a net buy.</li>
<li>This week, they reverted to net buying. Financials and Utilities were strong net buys. ETFs again a net sell. Total SOUTHBOUND volumes also picked up. </li>
<li>SOEs, SOE Banks, Energy, Utilities, and finally <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a> saw net buying after salutary earnings.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was a net seller the prior week for HK$1.5bn, the first week in 29 where SB was a net seller. It was all ETFs. Stocks were a net buy.
This week, they reverted to net buying. Financials and Utilities were strong net buys. ETFs again a net sell. Total SOUTHBOUND volumes also picked up. 
SOEs, SOE Banks, Energy, Utilities, and finally Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) saw net buying after salutary earnings.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 30 Aug 2024); Weak Econ Data, But a Rebound in SB Net Buys

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>Contribution from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a> will rise to 5.1%, 7.2%, and 8.9% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a>'s earnings in FY24-26, making it increasingly important.</li>
<li>Amer turned around sharply YoY in 3Q24 with a net profit of US$55.8m. Its gross margin sustained an uptrend, with excellent potential for business growth in Greater China.</li>
<li>Positive guidance on FY25 outlook with a low-double-digit-to-mid-teens level revenue growth, further expansion in operating margin, and continuous cuts in net finance costs.</li>
</ul>


Contribution from Amer Sports (AS US) will rise to 5.1%, 7.2%, and 8.9% of Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)'s earnings in FY24-26, making it increasingly important.
Amer turned around sharply YoY in 3Q24 with a net profit of US$55.8m. Its gross margin sustained an uptrend, with excellent potential for business growth in Greater China.
Positive guidance on FY25 outlook with a low-double-digit-to-mid-teens level revenue growth, further expansion in operating margin, and continuous cuts in net finance costs.


Amer Sports (AS US): An Engine for Anta Sports (2020 HK)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>Giant Biogene was listed in Hong Kong IPO in 2022. It has done well since and is now trading 45% above its IPO price, but its still cheap.</li>
<li>GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the company’s past performance and future prospects.</li>
</ul>


Giant Biogene was listed in Hong Kong IPO in 2022. It has done well since and is now trading 45% above its IPO price, but its still cheap.
GB is a leader in the bioactive ingredient-based professional skin treatment product industry in China.
In this note, we will talk about the company’s past performance and future prospects.


2024 High Conviction - Giant Biogene - Growth Rate Keeps Moving Higher

China

ANTA Sports Products Limited designs, develops, manufactures, and markets sportswear, including sports footwear and apparel for professionals and the general public.

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Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)

Anta Sports (2020 HK): Healthy in Financials, Leader in Market, But High in Price

Anta outperformed competitors, both overseas and domestic brands, in China. We believe all margins will be stable and EPS will rise by 41% in 2024....

Ming Lu

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 6 Sep 2024); Weak Data

The week before BABA gets SOUTHBOUND flows was weak in HK, but SOUTHBOUND was still a net buyer over the 4-day (typhoon-shortened week).

Travis Lundy

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 30 Aug 2024); Weak Econ Data, But a Rebound in SB Net Buys

SOUTHBOUND Connect flows picked up to the positive side again after the buy streak was broken the week before. Gross flows picked up. Econ data was...

Travis Lundy

Amer Sports (AS US): An Engine for Anta Sports (2020 HK)

Amer Sports' contribution to Anta's earnings is set to rise significantly in FY24-26, with positive growth outlook in Greater China and Asia...

Osbert Tang, CFA

2024 High Conviction - Giant Biogene - Growth Rate Keeps Moving Higher

Giant Biogene was listed in Hong Kong IPO in 2022. It has done well since and is now trading 45% above its IPO price, but its still cheap.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Anta Sports (2020 HK): Healthy in Financials, Leader in Market, But High in Price

Anta outperformed competitors, both overseas and domestic brands, in China. We believe all margins will be stable and EPS will rise by 41% in 2024....

Ming Lu

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 6 Sep 2024); Weak Data

The week before BABA gets SOUTHBOUND flows was weak in HK, but SOUTHBOUND was still a net buyer over the 4-day (typhoon-shortened week).

Travis Lundy

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 30 Aug 2024); Weak Econ Data, But a Rebound in SB Net Buys

SOUTHBOUND Connect flows picked up to the positive side again after the buy streak was broken the week before. Gross flows picked up. Econ data was...

Travis Lundy

Amer Sports (AS US): An Engine for Anta Sports (2020 HK)

​Amer Sports' contribution to Anta's earnings is set to rise significantly in FY24-26, with positive growth outlook in Greater China and Asia...

Osbert Tang, CFA

2024 High Conviction - Giant Biogene - Growth Rate Keeps Moving Higher

Giant Biogene was listed in Hong Kong IPO in 2022. It has done well since and is now trading 45% above its IPO price, but its still cheap.

Sumeet Singh

Amer Sports' contribution to Anta's earnings is set to rise significantly in FY24-26, with positive growth outlook in Greater China and Asia...