Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Adani names are seeing new news and commentary. SEBI is <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/india/india-regulator-probing-some-adani-offshore-deals-possible-rule-violations-2023-04-01/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">probing offshore deals</a> for rules violations, SEBI filed an interim report Sunday with the Court, Cements are refinancing US$4bn.</li>
<li>GQG's Jain was interviewed by Bloomberg TV in NY saying he sees his Adani basket being a "multi-bagger in five years." </li>
<li>Assuming growth and margins equivalent to peer max rates, all profits reinvested, and 100% gain in stock price in 5yrs, NP CAGR=33%, 2028 EV/EBITDA average of four names is 29.4x. </li>
</ul>


The Adani names are seeing new news and commentary. SEBI is probing offshore deals for rules violations, SEBI filed an interim report Sunday with the Court, Cements are refinancing US$4bn.
GQG's Jain was interviewed by Bloomberg TV in NY saying he sees his Adani basket being a "multi-bagger in five years." 
Assuming growth and margins equivalent to peer max rates, all profits reinvested, and 100% gain in stock price in 5yrs, NP CAGR=33%, 2028 EV/EBITDA average of four names is 29.4x. 


GQG Calls Adani Names 5Yr "Multi-Baggers" - It Works at 30% EPS CAGR if You Torture the Numbers

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>ACL reported Volume/Revenue growth of 6%/8% YoY(above expectations) and EBITDA/PAT growth of 36%/39% (below expectation).</li><li>The company reported a profit of Rs 514 Cr up 39% YoY owing to better operating performance.</li><li>Operational excellence initiatives are aiding in the reduction of operating costs, logistics costs, and expansion of EBITDA margins YoY. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ACL reported Volume/Revenue growth of 6%/8% YoY(above expectations) and EBITDA/PAT growth of 36%/39% (below expectation).The company reported a profit of Rs 514 Cr up 39% YoY owing to better operating performance.Operational excellence initiatives are aiding in the reduction of operating costs, logistics costs, and expansion of EBITDA margins YoY. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Ambuja Cements Limited - EBITDA Miss on Plant Shutdown; New Capacity to Drive Growth

<ul><li>ACL reported Volume/Revenue/EBITDA growth of 13%/8%/154% YoY(above expectations), led by higher volume and efficiency gains during the quarter.</li><li>The company reported a profit of Rs 644 Cr (above expectations), up 367% YoY owing to better operating performance and higher other income.</li><li>Operational excellence initiatives are aiding in the reduction of operating costs, logistics costs, and expansion of EBITDA margins YoY.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ACL reported Volume/Revenue/EBITDA growth of 13%/8%/154% YoY(above expectations), led by higher volume and efficiency gains during the quarter.The company reported a profit of Rs 644 Cr (above expectations), up 367% YoY owing to better operating performance and higher other income.Operational excellence initiatives are aiding in the reduction of operating costs, logistics costs, and expansion of EBITDA margins YoY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Ambuja Cements Limited - In-Line Operating Performance; New Capacity to Drive Growth

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Demand growth slows in Q1FY25: The slowdown in construction activities during the general elections in April and May has adversely impacted cement sales in these months</li><li>The scorching heat further dented demand during Q1FY25 and the industry demand growth is expected to slow down to low single digit YoY</li><li>We estimate the aggregate volumes of our coverage universe will deliver 5% YoY volume growth, implying 8% QoQ volume decline.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Demand growth slows in Q1FY25: The slowdown in construction activities during the general elections in April and May has adversely impacted cement sales in these monthsThe scorching heat further dented demand during Q1FY25 and the industry demand growth is expected to slow down to low single digit YoYWe estimate the aggregate volumes of our coverage universe will deliver 5% YoY volume growth, implying 8% QoQ volume decline.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q1FY25 Results Preview): Weak Pricing Continues to Offset Cost Gains

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

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Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Ather Energy to Invest Over Rs 2,000 Crore in Maharashtra Plant</li>
<li>UltraTech Cement to acquire 23% stake in India Cements for Rs 1,885 crore</li>
<li>India's government bonds included in JP Morgan Emerging Market index</li>
</ul>


Ather Energy to Invest Over Rs 2,000 Crore in Maharashtra Plant
UltraTech Cement to acquire 23% stake in India Cements for Rs 1,885 crore
India's government bonds included in JP Morgan Emerging Market index


#20 India Insight: Ultratech Cement Acquisition, India's Bond in JP Morgan, Ather Energy Investment

India

Grasim Industries Limited is a diversified operating company and part of the Aditya Birla group. The group manufactures a wide range of products, including Viscose Staple Fiber(VSF), cement, chemicals and textiles.

Shree Cement Ltd. manufactures cement and cement products. The Company sells its products primarily in Northern India under its own brand names.

ACC Limited  manufactures a range of cements and blended cements. The Company also manufactures gypsum and refractory products such as Brown Tabular Alumina. The Company provides turnkey and application consulting services for setting up and operating cement plants and refractories. The Company owns cement plants throughout India.

JK Cement Limited produces and manufactures Portland and White cement products.

Dalmia Bharat Limited holds cement and power businesses. The Company's interests include cement, power and refractory businesses.

The Ramco Cements Limited manufactures cement, ready mix concrete and dry mix products.  The Company also exports  cement and owns and operates a private sector wind mill power generating farm.

Century Textiles and Industries Ltd. manufactures cement, cotton textiles and cotton yarn. The Company manufactures denim, shirts, suits, fabrics and dress materials, bed linens, home furnishings, viscose filament yarn, viscose tire yarn, caustic soda, sulphuric acid, liquid chlorine, hydrochloric acid, writing and printing papers, packaging board, and rayon and wood-based pulp.

Orient Refractories Ltd. fabricates metal products.  The Company manufactures slide gate plates, nozzles and well blocks, tundish nozzles, bottom purging refractories and top purging lances, slag arresting darts, basic spray mass for tundish working lining, and castables.

Birla Corporation Limited is a manufacturing company that produces and sells cement, automobile trim parts, jute goods, synthetic and cotton yarns, and PVC floor coverings and coated fabrics. The Group also manufactures calcium carbide, ferromanganese, silico manganese, oxygen and iron and steel castings.

Ultra Tech Cement Ltd. produces a wide range of cement products. This Company represents the cement operations of Larsen & Toubro which were spun-off into a separate entity in which Grasim Industries holds a majority interest.

Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited manufactures cement products. The Company produces silicate cements, slag silicate cements, composite silicate cements, cement clinkers, and other products. Anhui Conch Cement Cement markets its products throughout China and worldwide.

The Siam Cement Public Company Limited is a diversified industrial company. The Company's operations include cement manufacturing, petrochemicals manufacturing, paper manufacturing, building product manufacturing, and distribution.

Eagle Materials Inc. manufactures and distributes cement, gypsum wallboard, recycled paperboard, and concrete and aggregates.  The Company's products are used in the construction of homes, commercial and industrial buildings, and governmental buildings across the United States.

James Hardie Industries Plc manufactures building products for new home construction and remodeling.  The Company's products include fiber cement siding, backerboard, and pipe. James Hardie Industries operates in the United States, Australia and New Zealand.

Taiwan Cement Corporation manufactures and markets cement.  The Company's products include Portland cement, high strength cement, oil well cement, and sludge treatment agents.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also operates in transportation, construction, and information products businesses.

Buzzi Unicem S.p.A., through subsidiaries, produces and markets building materials.  The Company produces cement and ready-mix concrete in Italy and the United States.

Heidelberg Materials AG produces and markets building materials and solutions. The Company offers cement, aggregates, and ready-mixed concrete. Heidelberg Materials serves customers worldwide.

Cemex SAB de CV is a building products company. The Company produces, distributes, and markets cement, ready-mix concrete, aggregates, and related building materials. Cemex operates throughout the Americas, Europe, Africa, the Middle East, and Asia.

Boral Limited is a manufacturer and supplier of building and construction materials in Australia and internationally.  Boral supplies building products to the residential and commercial building markets, operates clay brick business in the U.S. (for clay roof tiles and fly ash) along with the production of plasterboard, timber products and concrete products.

Ambuja Cements Limited manufactures cement in India. The Company owns specially designed ships and terminals for bulk transportation of its products. Ambuja Cement sells most of its products domestically, but also has a subsidiary that markets the Group's items in Sri Lanka.

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Ambuja Cements (ACEM IN)

GQG Calls Adani Names 5Yr "Multi-Baggers" - It Works at 30% EPS CAGR if You Torture the Numbers

This is an update on the Adani Names where GQG Partners purchased a US$1.8bn stake from the Promoters themselves. They are up 25% in a month. Which...

Travis Lundy

Ambuja Cements Limited - EBITDA Miss on Plant Shutdown; New Capacity to Drive Growth

ACL reported Volume/Revenue growth of 6%/8% YoY(above expectations) and EBITDA/PAT growth of 36%/39% (below expectation).

Axis Direct

Ambuja Cements Limited - In-Line Operating Performance; New Capacity to Drive Growth

ACL reported Volume/Revenue/EBITDA growth of 13%/8%/154% YoY(above expectations), led by higher volume and efficiency gains during the quarter.

Axis Direct

Cement (Q1FY25 Results Preview): Weak Pricing Continues to Offset Cost Gains

Demand growth slows in Q1FY25: The slowdown in construction activities during the general elections in April and May has adversely impacted cement...

HDFC Securities

#20 India Insight: Ultratech Cement Acquisition, India's Bond in JP Morgan, Ather Energy Investment

Major investments in manufacturing and infrastructure sectors in India, with Ather Energy and UltraTech Cement leading the way, while India's...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

GQG Calls Adani Names 5Yr "Multi-Baggers" - It Works at 30% EPS CAGR if You Torture the Numbers

This is an update on the Adani Names where GQG Partners purchased a US$1.8bn stake from the Promoters themselves. They are up 25% in a month. Which...

Travis Lundy

Ambuja Cements Limited - EBITDA Miss on Plant Shutdown; New Capacity to Drive Growth

ACL reported Volume/Revenue growth of 6%/8% YoY(above expectations) and EBITDA/PAT growth of 36%/39% (below expectation).

Axis Direct

Ambuja Cements Limited - In-Line Operating Performance; New Capacity to Drive Growth

ACL reported Volume/Revenue/EBITDA growth of 13%/8%/154% YoY(above expectations), led by higher volume and efficiency gains during the quarter.

Axis Direct

Cement (Q1FY25 Results Preview): Weak Pricing Continues to Offset Cost Gains

Demand growth slows in Q1FY25: The slowdown in construction activities during the general elections in April and May has adversely impacted cement...

HDFC Securities

#20 India Insight: Ultratech Cement Acquisition, India's Bond in JP Morgan, Ather Energy Investment

​Major investments in manufacturing and infrastructure sectors in India, with Ather Energy and UltraTech Cement leading the way, while India's...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Major investments in manufacturing and infrastructure sectors in India, with Ather Energy and UltraTech Cement leading the way, while India's...