IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mmg-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13961:1" rel="noopener">MMG (1208 HK)</a> US$1.2 billion rights issue. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shift-up-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36232:1" rel="noopener">Shift Up (462870 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/webtoon-entertainment-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43652:1" rel="noopener">Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10803:1" rel="noopener">Sun Corp (6736 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl Corp (4921 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tatsuta-electric-wire-cable-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12509:1" rel="noopener">Tatsuta Electric Wire &amp; Cable (5809 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a8-new-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3444:1" rel="noopener">A8 New Media (800 HK)</a>, Bapcor.
</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments: MMG (1208 HK) US$1.2 billion rights issue. Shift Up (462870 KS) and Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments: Sun Corp (6736 JP), Fancl Corp (4921 JP), Tatsuta Electric Wire &amp; Cable (5809 JP), Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP), A8 New Media (800 HK), Bapcor.



Weekly Deals Digest (16 Jun) - Sun Corp, Fancl, Tatsuta, Great Eastern, A8, Webtoon, Shift Up

Greatview Aseptic Packaging / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yichang-hec-changjiang-pharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21040:1" rel="noopener">Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ansarada-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30718:1" rel="noopener">Ansarada Group Ltd (AND AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asia-cement-china-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3374:1" rel="noopener">Asia Cement China (743 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>.
</li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina Ltd (AWC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nagatanien-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8059:1" rel="noopener">Nagatanien Holdings (2899 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mimasu-semiconductor-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5531:1" rel="noopener">Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qv-equities-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24284:1" rel="noopener">QV Equities Ltd (QVE AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK), Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US), Ansarada Group Ltd (AND AU), Asia Cement China (743 HK), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK).

Lowest spreads: Alumina Ltd (AWC AU), Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP), Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU), Nagatanien Holdings (2899 JP), Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP), QV Equities Ltd (QVE AU). 


Merger Arb Mondays (10 Jun) - GA Pack, Asia Cement, CPMC, Nagatanien, APM, Ansarada, Genex, Hollysys

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>I tally 47 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Two new deals discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asia-cement-china-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3374:1" rel="noopener">Asia Cement China (743 HK)</a>'s rubbish Scheme; and the low-balled MBO for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nagatanien-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8059:1" rel="noopener">Nagatanien Holdings (2899 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apm-human-services-internation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34808:1" rel="noopener">APM Human Services (APM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/altium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18626:1" rel="noopener">Altium (ALU AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal  (ASB AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 47 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Two new deals discussed on Smartkarma this week: Asia Cement China (743 HK)'s rubbish Scheme; and the low-balled MBO for Nagatanien Holdings (2899 JP).
Key updates took place on: CPMC Holdings (906 HK), APM Human Services (APM AU), Altium (ALU AU), Austal  (ASB AU),Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP), and Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: CPMC, Nagatanien, APM Services, Altium, Austal, Shinko Elect, Hollysys

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there are 3 stocks that are close to the deletion zone and could be removed from the index at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 3.6% and a one-way trade of A$83m.</li>
<li>There are 6 stocks with over A$5m to trade from passive trackers but the impact on the stocks is not very high.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there are 3 stocks that are close to the deletion zone and could be removed from the index at the June rebalance.
Even if there are no constituent changes, capping changes will lead to one-way turnover of 3.6% and a one-way trade of A$83m.
There are 6 stocks with over A$5m to trade from passive trackers but the impact on the stocks is not very high.


MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Close Deletions in June

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yichang-hec-changjiang-pharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21040:1" rel="noopener">Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chilled-frozen-logistics-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40987:1" rel="noopener">Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ansarada-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30718:1" rel="noopener">Ansarada Group Ltd (AND AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/malaysia-airports-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:117:1" rel="noopener">Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mma-offshore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:594:1" rel="noopener">Mma Offshore (MRM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mimasu-semiconductor-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5531:1" rel="noopener">Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kfc-holdings-japan-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12358:1" rel="noopener">Kfc Holdings Japan (9873 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina Ltd (AWC AU)</a>. 
</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK), Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US), Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP), Ansarada Group Ltd (AND AU), Malaysia Airports Holdings (MAHB MK). 
Lowest spreads: Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP), Mma Offshore (MRM AU), Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU), Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP), Kfc Holdings Japan (9873 JP), Alumina Ltd (AWC AU). 



Merger Arb Mondays (03 Jun) - China TCM, Huafa, GA Pack, SciClone, CF Logistics, Great Eastern

Australia

IGO Limited operates as an exploration company. The Company explores and mines copper, ore, nickel, gold, and other mineral resources. IGO serves customers worldwide.

Sandfire Resources Limited is an Australian copper and gold producer. The Company's key asset is the DeGrussa Copper-Gold Mine located in Western Australia. Sandfire also has exploration assets targeting a range of commodities throughout Australia.

Perseus Mining Limited is a mining and exploration company. The Company acquires, explores, develops, mines, and produces gold. Perseus Mining conducts its mining operations in Africa and Australia.

Genesis Minerals Limited is an Australian-based mineral exploration company. The Company acquires commercially significant mineral deposits that can be brought into production.

AVZ Minerals Limited operates as a mineral exploration company. The Company acquires, develops, mines, and produces lithium, tin, tantalum, and other base metals. AVZ Minerals serves customers globally.

De Grey Mining Limited is an exploration and mining company focusing on zinc, gold, platinum, silver and base metals.

Red 5 Limited is a minieral exploration and development company. The Company's principal asset is the Siana Gold Project in the Philippines held under a Mineral Production Sharing Agreement by a Red5 Philippine compliant company. Red 5's second asset is the Mapawa MPSA, located north of Siana.

Iluka Resources Limited is involved in the mining, concentration and separation of mineral sands and titanium minerals. The Company also produces ilmenite and other titani-ferrous concentrates, zircon, and synthetic rutile along with the exploration of coal. Iluka's products are exported throughout the world.

MMG Limited is a mid-tier global resources company which explores, develops and mines base metal projects around the world.  The Company currently owns and operates the Century, Golden Grove and Rosebery mines in Australia, the Kinsevere mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and the LXML Sepon mine in Laos.

Lynas Corporation Limited explores and mines for rare earth minerals such as cerium and neodymium.

Angang Steel Company Limited produces steel products which include cold rolled sheets, steel rail, pipe billets, wire rods, thick plates, and other steel products.

Hyundai Steel Company is an electric furnace steel maker.  The Company manufactures concrete reinforcing bars, H beams, stainless steel sheets, cast steel, and other steel products.  Hyundai Steel sells its products to the domestic and overseas markets.

Shanxi Taigang Stainless Steel Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets stainless steel ingots and billets.  The Company also processes and produces other steel products including hot rolled steel plates and tandem steel plates.

China Minmetals Rare Earth Co Ltd engages in south ionic rare earth separation and processing. The Company mainly focuses on the production and distribution of rare earth oxide, rare earth metal, and highly processed products of rare earth, as well as the research and consult service of rare earth techniques.

Yunnan Tin Co., Ltd. produces and markets tin, tin alloy products, and tin chemicals.  The Company sells its tin products under the YT trade mark.

Ta Chen Stainless Pipe Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets various types of stainless steel pipes, butt-welded fittings, casting fittings, and stainless steel ball valves.  The Company primarily sells its products to the United States, Canada, Europe, South East Asia, South Africa, Australia, New Zealand, South America, and the Middle East.

Coeur Mining, Inc., through its subsidiaries, explores, develops, operates, and/or owns silver and gold mining properties and companies.  The Company's properties are located primarily in the United States, Australia, and South America.

Hindustan Copper Limited is a vertically integrated multi-unit copper producer in India engaged in a wide spectrum of activities ranging from mining, beneficiation, smelting, refining and manufacturing of copper cathodes, continuous cast wire rods and wire bars. The Company was the first Indian Copper producer to get ISO-9002 certificate for its Continuous Cast Wire Rod Plant.

Beijing Shougang Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets rolled steel, steel billets, and other steel products.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company produces compact discs and software.  Beijing Shougang sells its steel products worldwide.

Inner Mongolia Xingye Mining Co Ltd. explores for and produces metals.  The Company operates zinc and lead mines and smelters in Inner Mongolia in China.

Inner Mongolia Xingye Mining C (000426 CH)

Alumina Limited is an Australian resource company that produces alumina.  The Company owns about 40% of Alcoa World Alumina and Chemicals through a joint venture with Alcoa.

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Alumina Ltd (AWC AU)

Weekly Deals Digest (16 Jun) - Sun Corp, Fancl, Tatsuta, Great Eastern, A8, Webtoon, Shift Up

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Sun Corp, Fancl, Tatsuta Electric, Great Eastern, A8 New Media, Alumina, Bapcor) and ECM...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (10 Jun) - GA Pack, Asia Cement, CPMC, Nagatanien, APM, Ansarada, Genex, Hollysys

This week, the highest gross spreads are HEC Pharma (121.3%), Hollysys (18.9%), Ansarada (11.6%), Asia Cement China (11.1%), GA Pack (10.4%),...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: CPMC, Nagatanien, APM Services, Altium, Austal, Shinko Elect, Hollysys

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Close Deletions in June

There are 3 close deletes for the index in June. Even if there are no changes, 1-way turnover is 3.6% and 1-way trade is A$83m. Shorts have started...

Brian Freitas

Merger Arb Mondays (03 Jun) - China TCM, Huafa, GA Pack, SciClone, CF Logistics, Great Eastern

This week, the highest gross spreads are HEC Pharma (110.1%), Hollysys (25.2%), CF Logistics (18.0%), Ansarada (12.1%), Malaysia Airports (10.7%),...

Arun George

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