IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> did not dispute the <a href="https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20241119/k10014643321000.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">NHK article’s</a> claims that the founding family aims to raise buyout funds by the end of the fiscal year.</li>
<li>Since 13 November, there have been conflicting press reports on the MBO offer price. The NHK article’s implied offer price of JPY3,082 seems the most credible. </li>
<li>The MBO’s aggressive completion timeline pressures <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alimentation-couche-tard-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25103:1" rel="noopener">Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)</a> to respond by either overbidding, working with the founding family at the back-end or walking away.</li>
</ul>



Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) did not dispute the NHK article’s claims that the founding family aims to raise buyout funds by the end of the fiscal year.
Since 13 November, there have been conflicting press reports on the MBO offer price. The NHK article’s implied offer price of JPY3,082 seems the most credible. 
The MBO’s aggressive completion timeline pressures Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN) to respond by either overbidding, working with the founding family at the back-end or walking away.


Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Evaluating the Potential MBO

External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Equity Bottom-Up

Alimentation Couche-Tard  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Alimentation Couche-Tard is a global leader in convenience stores and gas stations, with a stable and recession-resistant business model.</li><li>The company has a strong management team focused on consolidating the fragmented c-store industry and generating solid free cash flow.</li><li>ATD stock is trading at a reasonable multiple with potential for mid-teens FCF per share growth, making it an attractive long-term investment opportunity.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.</em></p>

Alimentation Couche-Tard is a global leader in convenience stores and gas stations, with a stable and recession-resistant business model.The company has a strong management team focused on consolidating the fragmented c-store industry and generating solid free cash flow.ATD stock is trading at a reasonable multiple with potential for mid-teens FCF per share growth, making it an attractive long-term investment opportunity.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc (ATD.) - Sunday, Apr 21, 2024

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Yesterday a news article from Bloomberg suggested 7&amp;i was "considering" an MBO. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> later confirmed they had received a non-binding proposal from ITO Junro/family.</li>
<li>The initial number was ¥9trln. If market cap? High. If EV, too low. That would have implied a price just over the first "grossly inadequate" ACT price.</li>
<li>There is a lot we don't know. This changes the landscape. It probably shifts the range trade, but it will shift more when we get more clarity on ITO-san's price.</li>
</ul>


Yesterday a news article from Bloomberg suggested 7&amp;i was "considering" an MBO. Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) later confirmed they had received a non-binding proposal from ITO Junro/family.
The initial number was ¥9trln. If market cap? High. If EV, too low. That would have implied a price just over the first "grossly inadequate" ACT price.
There is a lot we don't know. This changes the landscape. It probably shifts the range trade, but it will shift more when we get more clarity on ITO-san's price.


7&I (3382 JP) - An ITO Family MBO? With Itochu? At ¥9trln? Maybe. Information Is Scarce

<ul>
<li>A lot of the talk around the news that Ito family scion Ito Junro had proposed to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a> an MBO was about thwarting Alimentation Couche-Tard.</li>
<li>Several mentioned that this bid - seemingly uncompetitive at the moment - would make ACT back down. I discussed the bid and its repercussions <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/7-i-3382-jp-an-ito-family-mbo-with-itochu-at-9trln-maybe-information-is-scarce?slug=7-i-3382-jp-an-ito-family-mbo-with-itochu-at-9trln-maybe-information-is-scarce" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>. </li>
<li>Here I suggest an alternate solution which might get everyone what they want.</li>
</ul>


A lot of the talk around the news that Ito family scion Ito Junro had proposed to Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP) an MBO was about thwarting Alimentation Couche-Tard.
Several mentioned that this bid - seemingly uncompetitive at the moment - would make ACT back down. I discussed the bid and its repercussions here. 
Here I suggest an alternate solution which might get everyone what they want.


7&I (3382) - What If...  A Modest Proposal

<ul>
<li>Today, part-way through the day, the Nikkei ran an article saying that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alimentation-couche-tard-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25103:1" rel="noopener">Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)</a> had made a confidential non-binding proposal to buy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>7&amp;i shares obviously went up (limit up in a hurry, staying there, large size traded limit up at close). </li>
<li>Now things get complicated. 7&amp;i has said they received a non-binding proposal for all the shares. There will be a Special Committee of all Independent Directors. All stakeholders will matter. </li>
</ul>


Today, part-way through the day, the Nikkei ran an article saying that Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN) had made a confidential non-binding proposal to buy Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP). 
7&amp;i shares obviously went up (limit up in a hurry, staying there, large size traded limit up at close). 
Now things get complicated. 7&amp;i has said they received a non-binding proposal for all the shares. There will be a Special Committee of all Independent Directors. All stakeholders will matter. 


MEGA M&A! 7&I (3382 JP) Gets Non-Binding Bid from Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)

Canada

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. owns and operates convenience store. The Company offers a wide range of merchandise, including coffee, snacks, beverages, grocery products, beer and wine, and lottery tickets, as well as fuel and other services. Alimentation Couche-Tard serves customers globally.

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Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)

Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP): Evaluating the Potential MBO

The NHK article increases the credibility of the MBO. The completion time pressures Couche-Tard to respond by either overbidding, working on a...

Arun George

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc (ATD.) - Sunday, Apr 21, 2024

Alimentation Couche-Tard is a global leader in convenience stores and gas stations, with a stable and recession-resistant business model.

Value Investors Club

7&I (3382 JP) - An ITO Family MBO? With Itochu? At ¥9trln? Maybe. Information Is Scarce

An MBO for Seven & i by the ITO family? Maybe. And the number was big (¥3450/sh), unless it was small (¥2,300/sh), and we don't know which. But it...

Travis Lundy

7&I (3382) - What If... A Modest Proposal

Ito-san has suggested an MBO to 7&i to counter ACT's bid. We have no idea what stage it is at, and pricing mentions in the press seem haphazard....

Travis Lundy

MEGA M&A! 7&I (3382 JP) Gets Non-Binding Bid from Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD CN)

Canadian CVS owner Alimentation Couche-Tard has lobbed in a bid to buy all the shares of 7&i. This is not as surprising as it looks. It's huge, and...

Travis Lundy

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