Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota (7203 JP)</a> having sold some of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/denso-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18703:1" rel="noopener">Denso</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kddi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:639:1" rel="noopener">KDDI</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harmonic-drive-systems-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10238:1" rel="noopener">Harmonic Drive</a> this year, it has firmly set the ball rolling for unwinding some of its cross-shareholding.</li>
<li>Toyota has a shareholding in around 60 listed companies, with its combined disposable stake worth over US$26bn.</li>
<li>In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.</li>
</ul>


With Toyota (7203 JP) having sold some of its stake in Denso, KDDI and Harmonic Drive this year, it has firmly set the ball rolling for unwinding some of its cross-shareholding.
Toyota has a shareholding in around 60 listed companies, with its combined disposable stake worth over US$26bn.
In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.


Toyota Cross-Shareholding - To Say a Whole Lot Is Left Would Be a US$26bn Understatement

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Alibaba announced (10 Aug) its 1QFY24 (March year-end) results: total revenue was RMB234.2bn, up 13.9% YoY, 4/5% ahead of our forecast/Bloomberg consensus estimates, mainly driven by better-than-expected revenue growth in customer management revenue (CMR) and Cainiao.</li><li>Fueled by operating efficiency improvement across business lines and a beat in relatively highmargin CMR, non-GAAP net income grew 48% YoY to RMB44.9bn, 13/17% ahead of our estimates/consensus.</li><li>The results, in our view, demonstrated BAB’s early-stage success in Taobao and Tmall business transformation to focus on quality user growth and better user retention through product supply and merchants ROI enhancement, which in turn improved number of daily active paying merchants for CMR business. Maintain BUY.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Alibaba announced (10 Aug) its 1QFY24 (March year-end) results: total revenue was RMB234.2bn, up 13.9% YoY, 4/5% ahead of our forecast/Bloomberg consensus estimates, mainly driven by better-than-expected revenue growth in customer management revenue (CMR) and Cainiao.Fueled by operating efficiency improvement across business lines and a beat in relatively highmargin CMR, non-GAAP net income grew 48% YoY to RMB44.9bn, 13/17% ahead of our estimates/consensus.The results, in our view, demonstrated BAB’s early-stage success in Taobao and Tmall business transformation to focus on quality user growth and better user retention through product supply and merchants ROI enhancement, which in turn improved number of daily active paying merchants for CMR business. Maintain BUY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba (BABA US) – User First Strategy Delivered Early-Stage Results

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a>'s 1QFY24 revenue and OP beat consensus by RMB 9.2bn and RMB 14.4bn respectively, possibly on the back of a successful 6.18 shopping festival.</li>
<li>It looks like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> has decided to abandon its New Retail Strategy and instead, put more effort into e-commerce, especially on popular platforms like Taobao and Tmall.</li>
<li>Although this is a good-sign and could rally the stock short-term, we would still steer clear of Alibaba as we remain skeptical about the overall health of the Chinese economy.</li>
</ul>



Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)'s 1QFY24 revenue and OP beat consensus by RMB 9.2bn and RMB 14.4bn respectively, possibly on the back of a successful 6.18 shopping festival.
It looks like Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) has decided to abandon its New Retail Strategy and instead, put more effort into e-commerce, especially on popular platforms like Taobao and Tmall.
Although this is a good-sign and could rally the stock short-term, we would still steer clear of Alibaba as we remain skeptical about the overall health of the Chinese economy.


Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>AI is poised to drive a large increase in power consumption on the mainland.  Data demand from generative AI necessitates more data centers and consequently more power.</li>
<li>China energy consumption is at the beginning of a super cycle as AI becomes integral to everyday corporate and eventually personal lives.</li>
<li>China's clean energy names will benefit from the China's energy strategy as its power needs from data centers surge.</li>
</ul>


AI is poised to drive a large increase in power consumption on the mainland.  Data demand from generative AI necessitates more data centers and consequently more power.
China energy consumption is at the beginning of a super cycle as AI becomes integral to everyday corporate and eventually personal lives.
China's clean energy names will benefit from the China's energy strategy as its power needs from data centers surge.


Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

<ul>
<li>Minimum correction targets  have been hit for the Hang Seng Index</li>
<li>Some potential catalysts for the resumption of the bull market</li>
<li>We highlight some suggested sector allocations for the next phase </li>
</ul>


Minimum correction targets  have been hit for the Hang Seng Index
Some potential catalysts for the resumption of the bull market
We highlight some suggested sector allocations for the next phase 


China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)

Toyota Cross-Shareholding - To Say a Whole Lot Is Left Would Be a US$26bn Understatement

Toyota, Toyota Industries and Denso are tag teaming to unwind some of their stake in Aisin, in a deal worth over US$1bn. While the timing of the...

Sumeet Singh

Alibaba (BABA US) – User First Strategy Delivered Early-Stage Results

Alibaba announced (10 Aug) its 1QFY24 (March year-end) results: total revenue was RMB234.2bn, up 13.9% YoY, 4/5% ahead of our forecast/Bloomberg...

CMB International

Alibaba: A Quick Take on 1QFY24

It looks like Alibaba has decided to abandon its New Retail Strategy and instead, put more effort into e-commerce, especially on popular platforms...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

CHINA: Do You Like AI? BUY Utilities!

AI is creating an opportunity to benefit from the surge in power needs of China. Rapid growth in data centers to power AI will benefit China power...

David Mudd

Where Now for the Hong Kong Market?

Hang Seng Index has hit minimum correction targets, potential catalysts for bull market resumption and sector allocation suggestions discussed.

Rikki Malik

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Toyota Cross-Shareholding - To Say a Whole Lot Is Left Would Be a US$26bn Understatement

Toyota, Toyota Industries and Denso are tag teaming to unwind some of their stake in Aisin, in a deal worth over US$1bn. While the timing of the...

Sumeet Singh

Alibaba (BABA US) – User First Strategy Delivered Early-Stage Results

Alibaba announced (10 Aug) its 1QFY24 (March year-end) results: total revenue was RMB234.2bn, up 13.9% YoY, 4/5% ahead of our forecast/Bloomberg...

CMB International

Alibaba: A Quick Take on 1QFY24

It looks like Alibaba has decided to abandon its New Retail Strategy and instead, put more effort into e-commerce, especially on popular platforms...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

CHINA: Do You Like AI? BUY Utilities!

AI is creating an opportunity to benefit from the surge in power needs of China. Rapid growth in data centers to power AI will benefit China power...

David Mudd

Where Now for the Hong Kong Market?

​Hang Seng Index has hit minimum correction targets, potential catalysts for bull market resumption and sector allocation suggestions discussed.

Rikki Malik

Hang Seng Index has hit minimum correction targets, potential catalysts for bull market resumption and sector allocation suggestions discussed.