Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In-Line results were overshadowed by company's pullback from March restructuring plan and Jack ma's family trust selling shares.</li>
<li>Worst sell-off in a year was over-reaction as abrupt changes unnerved investors who tended to interpret the events  with excessive negative sentiments.</li>
<li>Valuation almost priced in a scenario where company is overtaken by PDD in faltering Chinese economy. Selling amidst this extreme pessimism is the last thing investors want in our view. </li>
</ul>


In-Line results were overshadowed by company's pullback from March restructuring plan and Jack ma's family trust selling shares.
Worst sell-off in a year was over-reaction as abrupt changes unnerved investors who tended to interpret the events  with excessive negative sentiments.
Valuation almost priced in a scenario where company is overtaken by PDD in faltering Chinese economy. Selling amidst this extreme pessimism is the last thing investors want in our view. 


Alibaba (BABA US): Selling at This Valuation Is Last Thing You Want

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

Cainiao Smart Logistics Network / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Led by international activity, CaiNiao booked +25% Y/Y revenue growth in FYQ2</li>
<li>FYQ2 EBITA margin improved Y/Y and Q/Q, even as express companies struggled</li>
<li>Result bolsters CaiNiao status as vehicle to access BABA's international growth</li>
</ul>


Led by international activity, CaiNiao booked +25% Y/Y revenue growth in FYQ2
FYQ2 EBITA margin improved Y/Y and Q/Q, even as express companies struggled
Result bolsters CaiNiao status as vehicle to access BABA's international growth


CaiNiao's FYQ2: Revenue +25% Y/Y, Led by Int'l | EBITA Margin Up, Too | Solid Showing Ahead of IPO

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Dec 23 review results for the Hang Seng Tech Index were announced on Friday 17 November after the close.</li>
<li>There were no ADDs to or DELETEs from the index, in something of a surprise. </li>
<li>The "big flow" on HS TECH is the downweight on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> due to sharp capping after significant outperformance since the August review.</li>
</ul>


The Dec 23 review results for the Hang Seng Tech Index were announced on Friday 17 November after the close.
There were no ADDs to or DELETEs from the index, in something of a surprise. 
The "big flow" on HS TECH is the downweight on Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) due to sharp capping after significant outperformance since the August review.


Hang Seng Tech Dec23 Index Review/Flows - No Name Changes, Some Big Capping Flows

<ul>
<li>The HSCEI Review for December 2023 was announced on Friday 17 November. </li>
<li>There were no ADDs and no DELETEs, which was a bit of a surprise.</li>
<li>There is about 2.8% one-way to trade. Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US) is a sell across all three major indices.</li>
</ul>


The HSCEI Review for December 2023 was announced on Friday 17 November. 
There were no ADDs and no DELETEs, which was a bit of a surprise.
There is about 2.8% one-way to trade. Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US) is a sell across all three major indices.


HSCEI Dec23 Index Review/​Flows - NO ADDs, No DELETEs; ~2.5% One Way

<ul>
<li>On Friday, Hang Seng Indices announced the changes to the benchmark Hang Seng Index, the index in the family with the largest AUM.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec-co-ltd-bf4a1265-beef-48b6-b82d-29308426030f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27795:1" rel="noopener">WuXi AppTec (2359 HK)</a> are added. There are no deletions.</li>
<li>I see 3.4% a side to trade and across the three major indices there are larger net flows, but few compelling ones given possible pre-positioning.</li>
</ul>


On Friday, Hang Seng Indices announced the changes to the benchmark Hang Seng Index, the index in the family with the largest AUM.

Li Auto (2015 HK) and WuXi AppTec (2359 HK) are added. There are no deletions.
I see 3.4% a side to trade and across the three major indices there are larger net flows, but few compelling ones given possible pre-positioning.


HSI Dec23 Index Review/​Flows - Li Auto & Wuxi Apptec IN, No Deletes; 100 Names a Distant Dream

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)

Alibaba (BABA US): Selling at This Valuation Is Last Thing You Want

Sell-off post results was over-reaction, as cloud IPO pullback and founder selling shares drove negative sentiments to extremely bearish end....

Eric Chen

CaiNiao's FYQ2: Revenue +25% Y/Y, Led by Int'l | EBITA Margin Up, Too | Solid Showing Ahead of IPO

CaiNiao's FYQ2 revenue growth was solid, and core margins improved. The company has emerged as a vehicle for gaining access to Alibaba's...

Tracking Traffic

Hang Seng Tech Dec23 Index Review/Flows - No Name Changes, Some Big Capping Flows

Hang Seng Index team announced the December 2023 review for the Hang Seng Tech index on 17 Nov after the close. No name changes. But several...

Travis Lundy

HSCEI Dec23 Index Review/Flows - NO ADDs, No DELETEs; ~2.5% One Way

Hang Seng Indices announced the Dec 2023 review for the HSCEI on Friday 17 November after the close. No name changes, which is a surprise....

Travis Lundy

HSI Dec23 Index Review/Flows - Li Auto & Wuxi Apptec IN, No Deletes; 100 Names a Distant Dream

The Hang Seng Index team announced index changes for December 2023 on Friday. In the benchmark HSI, Li Auto and Wuxi Apptec are added. There are...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Alibaba (BABA US): Selling at This Valuation Is Last Thing You Want

Sell-off post results was over-reaction, as cloud IPO pullback and founder selling shares drove negative sentiments to extremely bearish end....

Eric Chen

CaiNiao's FYQ2: Revenue +25% Y/Y, Led by Int'l | EBITA Margin Up, Too | Solid Showing Ahead of IPO

CaiNiao's FYQ2 revenue growth was solid, and core margins improved. The company has emerged as a vehicle for gaining access to Alibaba's...

Tracking Traffic

Hang Seng Tech Dec23 Index Review/Flows - No Name Changes, Some Big Capping Flows

Hang Seng Index team announced the December 2023 review for the Hang Seng Tech index on 17 Nov after the close. No name changes. But several...

Travis Lundy

HSCEI Dec23 Index Review/​Flows - NO ADDs, No DELETEs; ~2.5% One Way

Hang Seng Indices announced the Dec 2023 review for the HSCEI on Friday 17 November after the close. No name changes, which is a surprise....

Travis Lundy

HSI Dec23 Index Review/​Flows - Li Auto & Wuxi Apptec IN, No Deletes; 100 Names a Distant Dream

The Hang Seng Index team announced index changes for December 2023 on Friday. In the benchmark HSI, Li Auto and Wuxi Apptec are added. There are...

Travis Lundy

HSCEI Dec23 Index Review/Flows - NO ADDs, No DELETEs; ~2.5% One Way

HSI Dec23 Index Review/Flows - Li Auto & Wuxi Apptec IN, No Deletes; 100 Names a Distant Dream