Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Review of Q2/H1 results, including impact from international, Kerry Logistics Network</li>
<li>Refining idea of "internationalization", which we believe is driving force behind SF's HK IPO</li>
<li>Testing thesis: did air and international exposure help or hurt SF margins in H1?</li>
</ul>


Review of Q2/H1 results, including impact from international, Kerry Logistics Network
Refining idea of "internationalization", which we believe is driving force behind SF's HK IPO
Testing thesis: did air and international exposure help or hurt SF margins in H1?


SF Holding HK IPO | Q2/H1 Results | "Internationalization" Thesis Refined | Air, Int'l Impact in H1

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 24th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in BOC, Petrochina, Li Auto, ICBC, Hkex.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 24th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in BOC, Petrochina, Li Auto, ICBC, Hkex.


HK Short Interest Weekly: BOC, Petrochina, Li Auto, ICBC, Hkex

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zx-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36624:1" rel="noopener">ZX (9890 HK)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fenbi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36640:1" rel="noopener">Fenbi Ltd (2469 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kraneshares-csi-china-internet-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28208:1" rel="noopener">KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB US)</a> at the close on 14 June.</li>
<li>There will be over 6 days of ADV to sell in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fenbi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36640:1" rel="noopener">Fenbi Ltd (2469 HK)</a> and we estimate over 2 days of ADV to buy in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zx-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36624:1" rel="noopener">ZX (9890 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>There are other ETFs that track very similar indices and there could be a lot more to trade in the stocks at the close on 14 June.</li>
</ul>



ZX (9890 HK) will replace Fenbi Ltd (2469 HK) in the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB US) at the close on 14 June.
There will be over 6 days of ADV to sell in Fenbi Ltd (2469 HK) and we estimate over 2 days of ADV to buy in ZX (9890 HK). 
There are other ETFs that track very similar indices and there could be a lot more to trade in the stocks at the close on 14 June.


KWEB Index Rebalance: ZX (9890 HK) In; Fenbi (2469 HK) Out

Cainiao Smart Logistics Network / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>After CaiNiao halted IPO in late March, company reported lower Q4 margins</li>
<li>What drove Q4 margin deterioration, retention payments or weaker X-border?</li>
<li>With IPO off the table, supporting AliExpress becomes CaiNiao's main role</li>
</ul>


After CaiNiao halted IPO in late March, company reported lower Q4 margins
What drove Q4 margin deterioration, retention payments or weaker X-border?
With IPO off the table, supporting AliExpress becomes CaiNiao's main role


CaiNiao Q4FY Results: After IPO Withdrawn, Margins Fell | Retention Payments, or Something Else?

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>700 HK: Tencent’s &lt;DNF Mobile&gt; achieved nearly RMB 1 bn gross billings in the first week of the operation(+)</li>
<li>700 HK: Tencent will release a mobile version of the classic basketball game &lt;NBA 2K All-Star&gt;. (+)</li>
<li>BIDU US: Baidu Apollo received complaints from users in the important city of Wuhan, saying that autonomous driving caused traffic congestion(/)</li>
</ul>


700 HK: Tencent’s &lt;DNF Mobile&gt; achieved nearly RMB 1 bn gross billings in the first week of the operation(+)
700 HK: Tencent will release a mobile version of the classic basketball game &lt;NBA 2K All-Star&gt;. (+)
BIDU US: Baidu Apollo received complaints from users in the important city of Wuhan, saying that autonomous driving caused traffic congestion(/)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/BIDU US/SE US/BABA US/1519 HK

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US)

SF Holding HK IPO | Q2/H1 Results | "Internationalization" Thesis Refined | Air, Int'l Impact in H1

On Sunday June 2, SF Holding announced via a notice at the Shenzhen Stock Exchange that it plans to sell up to 625 mn new shares in a secondary...

Tracking Traffic

HK Short Interest Weekly: BOC, Petrochina, Li Auto, ICBC, Hkex

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 24th and highlight short interest changes in BOC, Petrochina, Li Auto,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KWEB Index Rebalance: ZX (9890 HK) In; Fenbi (2469 HK) Out

ZX Inc will be added to the KWEB ETF in June and Fenbi will be deleted. There will also be other index trackers that will be trading stock. Fenbi...

Brian Freitas

CaiNiao Q4FY Results: After IPO Withdrawn, Margins Fell | Retention Payments, or Something Else?

Alibaba's logistics subsidiary CaiNiao reported an EBITA loss in its Q4 results, the first in FY24. Was it the result of retention payments after...

Tracking Traffic

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/BIDU US/SE US/BABA US/1519 HK

Tencent's mobile games see success with high gross billings, plans to release NBA 2K All-Star mobile game. Baidu Apollo faces complaints in Wuhan...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SF Holding HK IPO | Q2/H1 Results | "Internationalization" Thesis Refined | Air, Int'l Impact in H1

On Sunday June 2, SF Holding announced via a notice at the Shenzhen Stock Exchange that it plans to sell up to 625 mn new shares in a secondary...

Tracking Traffic

HK Short Interest Weekly: BOC, Petrochina, Li Auto, ICBC, Hkex

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 24th and highlight short interest changes in BOC, Petrochina, Li Auto,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KWEB Index Rebalance: ZX (9890 HK) In; Fenbi (2469 HK) Out

ZX Inc will be added to the KWEB ETF in June and Fenbi will be deleted. There will also be other index trackers that will be trading stock. Fenbi...

Brian Freitas

CaiNiao Q4FY Results: After IPO Withdrawn, Margins Fell | Retention Payments, or Something Else?

Alibaba's logistics subsidiary CaiNiao reported an EBITA loss in its Q4 results, the first in FY24. Was it the result of retention payments after...

Tracking Traffic

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:700 HK/BIDU US/SE US/BABA US/1519 HK

​Tencent's mobile games see success with high gross billings, plans to release NBA 2K All-Star mobile game. Baidu Apollo faces complaints in Wuhan...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Tencent's mobile games see success with high gross billings, plans to release NBA 2K All-Star mobile game. Baidu Apollo faces complaints in Wuhan...