Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>PAG aims to raise around US$2bn via its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>PAG is an alternative investment firm focused on Asia-Pacific (APAC), it had approximately US$50bn in assets under management (AUM), as of Dec 21.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


PAG aims to raise around US$2bn via its Hong Kong IPO.
PAG is an alternative investment firm focused on Asia-Pacific (APAC), it had approximately US$50bn in assets under management (AUM), as of Dec 21.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


PAG Pre-IPO - The Positives - Past Record Has Been Decent

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.</li>
<li>Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd-3388a037-4214-4997-b45d-520518cfdb57" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10987:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK)</a> has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


We look at short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan in April to identify stocks/sectors that have seen the largest changes in each market.
Korea and Taiwan are showing a clear divergence with short notional increasing as the market moves lower, indicative of new shorts being initiated.

China Merchants Bank H (3968 HK) has seen the largest short covering as the stock has tumbled in the last couple of weeks.


Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPOs front, Campus Activewear got great coverage, while Rainbow and Shieldus appear to be struggling.</li>
<li>There were no large placements, apart from a selldown in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/areit-ayalaland-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28856:1" rel="noopener">Areit (AyalaLand REIT) (AREIT PM)</a> and a friends and family round in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongyuan-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24139:1" rel="noopener">Zhongyuan Bank (1216 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPOs front, Campus Activewear got great coverage, while Rainbow and Shieldus appear to be struggling.
There were no large placements, apart from a selldown in Areit (AyalaLand REIT) (AREIT PM) and a friends and family round in Zhongyuan Bank (1216 HK).


ECM Weekly (2nd May 22) - LIC, Shieldus, One Store, Campus, Rainbow, Kakao Pay, Uju, GoTo, Zhongyuan

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Caixin reported on Wednesday that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> has shut down community-group service (Meituan Select) in Beijing following news that the company plans to shut down operations in loss-making cities.</li>
<li>Community-Group buying (CGB) became popular in China in 2020 and Meituan entered the market in 3Q2020 and continues to spend heavily on the biz.</li>
<li>The market became heavily competitive in the form of price war, which attracted regulatory scrutiny and led to large players like Alibaba and JD.com opting out of the market. </li>
</ul>


Caixin reported on Wednesday that Meituan (3690 HK) has shut down community-group service (Meituan Select) in Beijing following news that the company plans to shut down operations in loss-making cities.
Community-Group buying (CGB) became popular in China in 2020 and Meituan entered the market in 3Q2020 and continues to spend heavily on the biz.
The market became heavily competitive in the form of price war, which attracted regulatory scrutiny and led to large players like Alibaba and JD.com opting out of the market. 


Meituan Shuts Community Group Buying in Beijing – A Late Realisation That Profits Are Not Easy

Life Insurance  of India / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Government of India (GoI) is looking to raise around US$2.7bn via selling a 3.5% stake in Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>This is less than half of its initial plans in terms of fundraising target and comes at less than half of its initial valuation target.</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes. In this note, we compare it to its international peers and talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>


Government of India (GoI) is looking to raise around US$2.7bn via selling a 3.5% stake in Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) in its upcoming India IPO.
This is less than half of its initial plans in terms of fundraising target and comes at less than half of its initial valuation target.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our earlier notes. In this note, we compare it to its international peers and talk about valuations.


Life Insurance Corporation of India IPO - Regional Peer Comparison

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US)

PAG Pre-IPO - The Positives - Past Record Has Been Decent

PAG aims to raise around US$2bn via its Hong Kong IPO. PAG is an alternative investment firm with APAC focus and US$50bn AUM.

Sumeet Singh

Asia Short Interest: Large Moves in April

Short notional in Korea and Taiwan has been increasing as the market has been moving lower. Shorts on China Merchant Bank have been covered in...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (2nd May 22) - LIC, Shieldus, One Store, Campus, Rainbow, Kakao Pay, Uju, GoTo, Zhongyuan

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Meituan Shuts Community Group Buying in Beijing – A Late Realisation That Profits Are Not Easy

Meituan has shut down community-group service in Beijing as the market has become heavily competitive, which also attracted regulatory scrutiny....

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Life Insurance Corporation of India IPO - Regional Peer Comparison

Government of India is looking to raise around US$2.7bn via selling a 3.5% stake in Life Insurance Corporation of India in its upcoming India IPO....

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)