Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coupang-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28425:1" rel="noopener">Coupang (CPNG US)</a>’s 1Q22 results were mixed with revenue 2.5% below consensus but an operating loss of $205.7m was $94.3m lower than consensus through a 3% gross margin improvement.</li>
<li>The company’s comments on the gross margin outlook are a bit concerning and make us think that the improvement in Q1 was just a one-off.</li>
<li>Coupang is fundamentally expensive on EV/GMV+Retail Sales. With selling pressure from Softbank and a significant downside to revenue estimates, we remain Short Coupang.</li>
</ul>



Coupang (CPNG US)’s 1Q22 results were mixed with revenue 2.5% below consensus but an operating loss of $205.7m was $94.3m lower than consensus through a 3% gross margin improvement.
The company’s comments on the gross margin outlook are a bit concerning and make us think that the improvement in Q1 was just a one-off.
Coupang is fundamentally expensive on EV/GMV+Retail Sales. With selling pressure from Softbank and a significant downside to revenue estimates, we remain Short Coupang.


Coupang: Decelerating Revenue, Sporadic Profitability and Still Expensive

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>On 5th May 2022, Thai Beverage announced that BeerCo will resume its Proposed Spin-off Listing. This time the company is aiming to raise less than US$1bn, as per media reports.</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal earlier, as the company had tried to spin-off BeerCo in 2021 as well before finally calling it off in April 2021.</li>
<li>In this note we undertake a peer comparison and talk about valuations</li>
</ul>


On 5th May 2022, Thai Beverage announced that BeerCo will resume its Proposed Spin-off Listing. This time the company is aiming to raise less than US$1bn, as per media reports.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal earlier, as the company had tried to spin-off BeerCo in 2021 as well before finally calling it off in April 2021.
In this note we undertake a peer comparison and talk about valuations


ThaiBev BeerCo 2022 Pre-IPO - Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 29th. </li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short interest increases in Meituan, JD.com and short covers for CMB, Shenzhou International, Pacific Basin.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 29th. 
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short interest increases in Meituan, JD.com and short covers for CMB, Shenzhou International, Pacific Basin.


HK Short Interest: Short Spikes in Meituan, JD.com

<ul>
<li>On 5th May 2022, Thai Beverage announced that BeerCo will resume its Proposed Spin-off Listing. This time the company is aiming to raise less than US$1bn, as per media reports.</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal earlier, as the company had tried to spin-off BeerCo in 2021 as well before finally calling it off in April 2021.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the recent updates for BeerCo.</li>
</ul>


On 5th May 2022, Thai Beverage announced that BeerCo will resume its Proposed Spin-off Listing. This time the company is aiming to raise less than US$1bn, as per media reports.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal earlier, as the company had tried to spin-off BeerCo in 2021 as well before finally calling it off in April 2021.
In this note, we talk about the recent updates for BeerCo.


ThaiBev BeerCo Pre-IPO - Back for Another Round

Life Insurance  of India / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPOs front, LIC's anchor book wasn't great while Delhivery finally launched its IPO and Hong Kong market saw its first launch in a while.</li>
<li>Placements remained few and far between with only <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/air-new-zealand-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:815:1" rel="noopener">Air New Zealand (AIR NZ)</a> launching its shortfall bookbuild.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPOs front, LIC's anchor book wasn't great while Delhivery finally launched its IPO and Hong Kong market saw its first launch in a while.
Placements remained few and far between with only Air New Zealand (AIR NZ) launching its shortfall bookbuild.


ECM Weekly (9th May 22) - LIC, Campus, Rainbow, Delhivery, Shieldus, Yunkang, PAG, Keep, Air NZ

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US)

Coupang: Decelerating Revenue, Sporadic Profitability and Still Expensive

Coupang's comments on the gross margin outlook are a bit concerning and make us think that the improvement in Q1 was just a one-off. Meantime, the...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

ThaiBev BeerCo 2022 Pre-IPO - Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

Thai Beverage recently announced that BeerCo will resume its Proposed Spin-off Listing. In this note, we talk about peer comparison and look at...

Sumeet Singh

HK Short Interest: Short Spikes in Meituan, JD.com

We highlight weekly short interest increases in Meituan, JD.com and short covers for CMB, Shenzhou International, Pacific Basin based on the latest...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ThaiBev BeerCo Pre-IPO - Back for Another Round

Thai Beverage plans to resume BeerCo's proposed spin-off listing. This time the company is aiming to raise less than US$1bn, as per media reports.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (9th May 22) - LIC, Campus, Rainbow, Delhivery, Shieldus, Yunkang, PAG, Keep, Air NZ

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

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