Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe the revenue growth will recover from zero in 1Q23 to 4% YoY in 2Q23.</li>
<li>We believe the operating margin will improve in the following two years because the company is cutting unprofitable businesses.</li>
<li>We set an upside of 43% according to other retailing giants’ price / sales ratios.</li>
</ul>


We believe the revenue growth will recover from zero in 1Q23 to 4% YoY in 2Q23.
We believe the operating margin will improve in the following two years because the company is cutting unprofitable businesses.
We set an upside of 43% according to other retailing giants’ price / sales ratios.


Alibaba (9988 HK) Pre-Earnings: Will See Growth Again, At Least 43% Upside

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Five Star Business Finance / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/five-star-business-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35238:1" rel="noopener">Five Star Business Finance (0958461D IN)</a> is looking to raise around US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. </li>
<li>Five-Star Business is a non-banking financial company (NBFC-ND-SI) that provides secured business loans to micro-entrepreneurs and self-employed individuals.</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous note, in this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



Five Star Business Finance (0958461D IN) is looking to raise around US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. 
Five-Star Business is a non-banking financial company (NBFC-ND-SI) that provides secured business loans to micro-entrepreneurs and self-employed individuals.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous note, in this note, we talk about valuations.


Five-Star Business IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Event-Driven

FSN E-Commerce Ventures (Nykaa) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In Nov 2021, Nykaa raised around US$720m in its India IPO, via mostly selling secondary shares.</li>
<li>Nykaa is a lifestyle focussed e-commerce platform and consumer brand offering a portfolio of beauty, personal care and fashion products, including its own branded products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lockup expiry.</li>
</ul>


In Nov 2021, Nykaa raised around US$720m in its India IPO, via mostly selling secondary shares.
Nykaa is a lifestyle focussed e-commerce platform and consumer brand offering a portfolio of beauty, personal care and fashion products, including its own branded products.
In this note, we will talk about the upcoming lockup expiry.


FSN E-Commerce (Nykaa) Lockup Expiry - US$2.5bn Unlock with a Very Scattered Shareholding

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hon-hai-precision-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:745:1" rel="noopener">Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT)</a>  announced today that it will invest up to US$170m into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lordstown-motors-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33123:1" rel="noopener">Lordstown Motors Corp (RIDE US).</a>
</li>
<li>The deal represents favorable terms for Hon Hai in our view, given the conversion price of preferred shares involved in the deal and the after-market price for Lordstown shares.</li>
<li>Germany is expected to block a chip facility acquisition by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/navtech-inc-china" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25361:1" rel="noopener">Navtech Inc/China (300456 CH)</a>; Alibaba and Biren are slowing chip speeds due to U.S. curbs; Lithuan-Taiwan chip partnership.</li>
</ul>



Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317 TT)  announced today that it will invest up to US$170m into Lordstown Motors Corp (RIDE US).

The deal represents favorable terms for Hon Hai in our view, given the conversion price of preferred shares involved in the deal and the after-market price for Lordstown shares.
Germany is expected to block a chip facility acquisition by Navtech Inc/China (300456 CH); Alibaba and Biren are slowing chip speeds due to U.S. curbs; Lithuan-Taiwan chip partnership.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai U.S. Listco EV Deal, Germany Likely to Block China Co's Factory Purchase

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>In December 2022, Naver plans to launch its long awaited 24 hours delivery service (Naver Arrival Guarantee Solution), competing directly against Coupang's "rocket delivery" services in Korea.</li>
<li>Coupang's valuations are not attractive at current levels and the heightened competition in the 24 hour delivery service market from Naver/CJ Logistics is likely to negatively impact Coupang. </li>
<li>By providing 24 hours quick delivery service, Naver is expected to take away market share from Coupang from the fast delivery services in Korea.</li>
</ul>


In December 2022, Naver plans to launch its long awaited 24 hours delivery service (Naver Arrival Guarantee Solution), competing directly against Coupang's "rocket delivery" services in Korea.
Coupang's valuations are not attractive at current levels and the heightened competition in the 24 hour delivery service market from Naver/CJ Logistics is likely to negatively impact Coupang. 
By providing 24 hours quick delivery service, Naver is expected to take away market share from Coupang from the fast delivery services in Korea.


Coupang: Market Share Loss Likely Due to Launch of Naver's 24 Hours Next Day Delivery Service

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US)

Alibaba (9988 HK) Pre-Earnings: Will See Growth Again, At Least 43% Upside

We believe the revenue growth will recover from zero in 1Q23 to 4% YoY in 2Q23. We believe the operating margin will also improve. We set an upside...

Ming Lu

Five-Star Business IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Five Star Business Finance is looking to raise around US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we'll talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

FSN E-Commerce (Nykaa) Lockup Expiry - US$2.5bn Unlock with a Very Scattered Shareholding

In Nov 2021, Nykaa raised around US$720m in its India IPO, via mostly selling secondary shares. Stock worth US$2.5bn will soon come free from the...

Sumeet Singh

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai U.S. Listco EV Deal, Germany Likely to Block China Co's Factory Purchase

Hon Hai-Lordstown deal represents favorable terms for Hon Hai in our view, given the conversion price of preferred shares involved in the deal.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Alibaba (9988 HK) Pre-Earnings: Will See Growth Again, At Least 43% Upside

We believe the revenue growth will recover from zero in 1Q23 to 4% YoY in 2Q23. We believe the operating margin will also improve. We set an upside...

Ming Lu

Five-Star Business IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Five Star Business Finance is looking to raise around US$250m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we'll talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

FSN E-Commerce (Nykaa) Lockup Expiry - US$2.5bn Unlock with a Very Scattered Shareholding

In Nov 2021, Nykaa raised around US$720m in its India IPO, via mostly selling secondary shares. Stock worth US$2.5bn will soon come free from the...

Sumeet Singh

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai U.S. Listco EV Deal, Germany Likely to Block China Co's Factory Purchase

Hon Hai-Lordstown deal represents favorable terms for Hon Hai in our view, given the conversion price of preferred shares involved in the deal.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Coupang: Market Share Loss Likely Due to Launch of Naver's 24 Hours Next Day Delivery Service

Coupang's valuations are not attractive at current levels and the heightened competition in the 24 hour delivery service market from Naver/CJ...

Douglas Kim