Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

A veteran with 19-year experience in equity research.

Geographical coverage:
* Companies operating in China, but listed in Hong Kong and the U.S.
* Previously China A-share (listed in mainland China).

Equity sector coverage:
* Chinese App / Internet-based consumption in China, e.g., Alibaba, Tencent, etc.
* Previously covered education, transportation, telecom, power, bank, advertisement, hotel, etc.

Research methods:
* Generally bottom-up.
* Talk to related people on the ground.  Talk to readers and independent writers for analyzing a news portal.  Talk to parents and teachers for analyzing a tutoring school. 
* Visit stores and show photos as evidence in notes.
* Do technical analysis when finding a short-seller attacking an equity.

Languages:
* English
* Mandarin Chinese (Official language of China)
* Shanghainese (Language of Shanghai, the most developed city in China)
* Cantonese (Language of Hong Kong and Canton Province, one of the most developed provinces in China)

Overseas Chinese Equities

Alibaba (9988 HK): 2Q23, Better Growth, Better Margin, 38% Upside

China Internet Weekly (9Jan2023): Ant Group, Alibaba, Tencent, ByteDance, China Literature

Alibaba (9988 HK): Still Significant Upside After Surging

China Internet Weekly (7Nov2022): Tencent, Alibaba, Kuaishou, JD.com, Autohome, China Unicom

Alibaba (9988 HK): Zero Growth for First Time, But Overly Sold, Buy

Alibaba (9988 HK): A Visit to ‘Freshippo Outlets’, a Discount Grocery Store of Freshippo

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe the revenue growth will recover from zero in 1Q23 to 4% YoY in 2Q23.</li>
<li>We believe the operating margin will improve in the following two years because the company is cutting unprofitable businesses.</li>
<li>We set an upside of 43% according to other retailing giants’ price / sales ratios.</li>
</ul>


We believe the revenue growth will recover from zero in 1Q23 to 4% YoY in 2Q23.
We believe the operating margin will improve in the following two years because the company is cutting unprofitable businesses.
We set an upside of 43% according to other retailing giants’ price / sales ratios.


Alibaba (9988 HK) Pre-Earnings: Will See Growth Again, At Least 43% Upside