Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>There were many positive events, but we believe most effects will emerge after the September quarter.</li>
<li>We believe total revenue will grow by 6% and the operating margin will be stable for FY 2Q25.</li>
<li>We conclude an upside of 105% and a price target of US$200 for the end of March 2025.</li>
</ul>


There were many positive events, but we believe most effects will emerge after the September quarter.
We believe total revenue will grow by 6% and the operating margin will be stable for FY 2Q25.
We conclude an upside of 105% and a price target of US$200 for the end of March 2025.


Alibaba (BABA US) 2Q25 Earnings Preview: Many Events Happened, But to Boost Later Quarters

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Ping An Healthcare and Technology / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the December rebalance of the CSI Overseas China Internet Index ended 31 October. The changes should be announced 29 November and implemented close on 13 December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-healthcare-and-technology-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27008:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Healthcare and Technology (1833 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zx-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36624:1" rel="noopener">ZX (9890 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ysb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35982:1" rel="noopener">YSB (9885 HK)</a> could be deleted from the index at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>There is a lot to sell in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-healthcare-and-technology-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27008:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Healthcare and Technology (1833 HK)</a> and the recent jump in the stock price could provide an opportunity to exit/short.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the December rebalance of the CSI Overseas China Internet Index ended 31 October. The changes should be announced 29 November and implemented close on 13 December.

Ping An Healthcare and Technology (1833 HK), ZX (9890 HK) and YSB (9885 HK) could be deleted from the index at the December rebalance.
There is a lot to sell in Ping An Healthcare and Technology (1833 HK) and the recent jump in the stock price could provide an opportunity to exit/short.


KWEB Index Rebalance Preview: 3 Potential Deletions in December

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>While Trump's sweeping wins in presidential, senate and house, and supreme court earlier gave him unprecedented mandate to reform the US economy, his agenda is unrealistic to begin with; </li>
<li>ADS/Electrification, GAI/renewable/employment, (3) inflation/trade/ immigration are just three that the Trump Administration will likely backpedal.  Execution of Trump's economic agenda requires perfect coordination which is tough to pull off</li>
<li>For a short term trade, we recommend PDD and BYD. We also like Xiaomi. Consumption stocks can benefit from stimulus package from the Chinese government.</li>
</ul>


While Trump's sweeping wins in presidential, senate and house, and supreme court earlier gave him unprecedented mandate to reform the US economy, his agenda is unrealistic to begin with; 
ADS/Electrification, GAI/renewable/employment, (3) inflation/trade/ immigration are just three that the Trump Administration will likely backpedal.  Execution of Trump's economic agenda requires perfect coordination which is tough to pull off
For a short term trade, we recommend PDD and BYD. We also like Xiaomi. Consumption stocks can benefit from stimulus package from the Chinese government.


What Trump Can and Cannot Accomplish in His 2nd Term

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

<ul>
<li>BABA US/3690 HK:Ele.me Launches Group Ordering Service, Mimicking Meituan's "PinHaoFan".(-)</li>
<li>BABA US:DingTalk adds new features to its 365 Membership (/)</li>
<li>BABA US/JD US/PDD US:Taobao launches advertising rebate campaign for newly joined merchants (+/-/-)</li>
</ul>


BABA US/3690 HK:Ele.me Launches Group Ordering Service, Mimicking Meituan's "PinHaoFan".(-)
BABA US:DingTalk adds new features to its 365 Membership (/)
BABA US/JD US/PDD US:Taobao launches advertising rebate campaign for newly joined merchants (+/-/-)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/3690 HK/JD US/PDD US/IQ US/700 HK

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maanshan-dingtai-rare-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4128:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (002352 CH)</a> (SFH), China’s largest express delivery company, is now said to be looking to raise around US$1-1.5bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>SFH is the largest integrated express logistics service provider in China and the fourth largest in the world. It has been listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange since 2017.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we look at its recent updates.</li>
</ul>



S.F. Holding (002352 CH) (SFH), China’s largest express delivery company, is now said to be looking to raise around US$1-1.5bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong.
SFH is the largest integrated express logistics service provider in China and the fourth largest in the world. It has been listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange since 2017.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we look at its recent updates.


SF Holdings A/H Listing - Recent Updates as the US$1.5bn Raise Gets Closer

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)

Alibaba (BABA US) 2Q25 Earnings Preview: Many Events Happened, But to Boost Later Quarters

There were many positive events, but we believe most effects will emerge after the September quarter. We believe total revenue will grow by 6% and...

Ming Lu

KWEB Index Rebalance Preview: 3 Potential Deletions in December

There could be 3 deletions in December plus selling in the 5 largest stocks due to capping. The largest selling is in Ping An Health. YSB and ZX...

Brian Freitas

What Trump Can and Cannot Accomplish in His 2nd Term

Trump's ambitious economic agenda faces challenges and backpedaling. We see energy electrification, GAI power demand and inflation/immigration...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/3690 HK/JD US/PDD US/IQ US/700 HK

Ele.me launches group ordering service to compete with Meituan, DingTalk enhances 365 Membership, Taobao offers advertising rebate for new merchants.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

SF Holdings A/H Listing - Recent Updates as the US$1.5bn Raise Gets Closer

S.F. Holding (002352 CH), China’s largest express delivery company, is now said to be looking to raise around US$1.5bn in its H-share listing. In...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Alibaba (BABA US) 2Q25 Earnings Preview: Many Events Happened, But to Boost Later Quarters

There were many positive events, but we believe most effects will emerge after the September quarter. We believe total revenue will grow by 6% and...

Ming Lu

KWEB Index Rebalance Preview: 3 Potential Deletions in December

There could be 3 deletions in December plus selling in the 5 largest stocks due to capping. The largest selling is in Ping An Health. YSB and ZX...

Brian Freitas

What Trump Can and Cannot Accomplish in His 2nd Term

​Trump's ambitious economic agenda faces challenges and backpedaling. We see energy electrification, GAI power demand and inflation/immigration...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/3690 HK/JD US/PDD US/IQ US/700 HK

​Ele.me launches group ordering service to compete with Meituan, DingTalk enhances 365 Membership, Taobao offers advertising rebate for new merchants.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

SF Holdings A/H Listing - Recent Updates as the US$1.5bn Raise Gets Closer

S.F. Holding (002352 CH), China’s largest express delivery company, is now said to be looking to raise around US$1.5bn in its H-share listing. In...

Sumeet Singh

Trump's ambitious economic agenda faces challenges and backpedaling. We see energy electrification, GAI power demand and inflation/immigration...

Ele.me launches group ordering service to compete with Meituan, DingTalk enhances 365 Membership, Taobao offers advertising rebate for new merchants.