Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Technical Analysis

Alibaba Group Holding  / Technical Analysis

<ul><li>Country Garden 2031 USD bond closed at 17.00. It is pricing a near-inevitable default.</li><li>Longfor Group-rated BBB- maturing in 2032, is trading at 54.25, yielding 12.6%.</li><li>The bonds are down 50% since their peak near 109 in February 2021. it is getting into a crisis of confidence mode.</li></ul>

Country Garden 2031 USD bond closed at 17.00. It is pricing a near-inevitable default.Longfor Group-rated BBB- maturing in 2032, is trading at 54.25, yielding 12.6%.The bonds are down 50% since their peak near 109 in February 2021. it is getting into a crisis of confidence mode.

Alibaba, JD.Com, Longfor Group, and Country Garden

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Lionheart Studio  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lionheart-studio-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36417:1" rel="noopener">Lionheart Studio (426630 KS)</a>, a game development studio based in South Korea,  aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO.</li>
<li>The company is majority owned by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-games-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26730:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Games Corp (293490 KS)</a>, which after having recently hiked its stake, owned 54.94% of the company prior to listing.  </li>
<li>We spoke about the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison in our previous note. In this note, we’ll talk about our earnings estimates and valuation.</li>
</ul>



Lionheart Studio (426630 KS), a game development studio based in South Korea,  aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO.
The company is majority owned by Kakao Games Corp (293490 KS), which after having recently hiked its stake, owned 54.94% of the company prior to listing.  
We spoke about the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison in our previous note. In this note, we’ll talk about our earnings estimates and valuation.


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Meta Platforms (Facebook) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Meta hosted the Meta Connect 2022 on 11 Oct, launching its first high-end VR headset Meta Quest Pro.</li><li>The new VR headset will begin shipping on 25 October for US$1,499.99.</li><li>With innovative features like pancake lenses, eye tracking, natural facial expressions and colour passthrough, Meta Quest Pro will meaningfully enhance the social/gaming/work VR experience in our view.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Meta hosted the Meta Connect 2022 on 11 Oct, launching its first high-end VR headset Meta Quest Pro.The new VR headset will begin shipping on 25 October for US$1,499.99.With innovative features like pancake lenses, eye tracking, natural facial expressions and colour passthrough, Meta Quest Pro will meaningfully enhance the social/gaming/work VR experience in our view.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet Sector – Meta Connect 2022: bridging the gap towards metaverse

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lionheart-studio-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36417:1" rel="noopener">Lionheart Studio (426630 KS)</a>, a game development studio based in South Korea,  aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO.</li>
<li>The company is majority owned by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-games-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26730:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Games Corp (293490 KS)</a>, which after having recently hiked its stake, owned 54.94% of the company prior to listing.  </li>
<li>We spoke about the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we’ll undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



Lionheart Studio (426630 KS), a game development studio based in South Korea,  aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO.
The company is majority owned by Kakao Games Corp (293490 KS), which after having recently hiked its stake, owned 54.94% of the company prior to listing.  
We spoke about the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we’ll undertake a peer comparison.


LionHeart Studio IPO - Peer Comparison - Youngest and Most Untested

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lionheart-studio-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36417:1" rel="noopener">Lionheart Studio (426630 KS)</a>, a game development studio based in South Korea,  aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO.</li>
<li>The company is majority owned by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-games-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26730:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Games Corp (293490 KS)</a> , which after having recently hiked its stake, owned 54.94% of the company prior to listing.  </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Lionheart Studio (426630 KS), a game development studio based in South Korea,  aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO.
The company is majority owned by Kakao Games Corp (293490 KS) , which after having recently hiked its stake, owned 54.94% of the company prior to listing.  
In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


LionHeart Studio Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Appears to Be Well past Its Peak, Founder Cashed In $700m

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)

Alibaba, JD.Com, Longfor Group, and Country Garden

Country Garden 2031 USD bond closed at 17.00. It is pricing a near-inevitable default.Longfor Group-rated BBB- maturing in 2032, is trading at...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Lionheart IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

Lionheart Studio (426630 KS), a game development studio based in South Korea, aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO. In this note,...

Sumeet Singh

China Internet Sector – Meta Connect 2022: bridging the gap towards metaverse

With innovative features like pancake lenses, eye tracking, natural facial expressions and colour passthrough, Meta Quest Pro will meaningfully...

CMB International

LionHeart Studio IPO - Peer Comparison - Youngest and Most Untested

Lionheart Studio, a game development studio based in South Korea, aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

LionHeart Studio Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Appears to Be Well past Its Peak, Founder Cashed In $700m

Lionheart Studio, a game development studio based in South Korea, aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

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