Global Mobility/Transport, Equity Long-Short

Mohshin Aziz

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We compare the performance of the top-4 global online travel agents (OTA) from the recently concluded 2023 result</li>
<li>All the OTAs recorded strong 2023 and 4Q23, but the forward outlook indicates growth rate is slowing in North America and Europe while Asia is picking up speed  </li>
<li>Trip.com is indeed comparatively most attractive among the big-4 global OTAs; our fellow Smartkarma Insight provider’s conviction is justified</li>
</ul>


We compare the performance of the top-4 global online travel agents (OTA) from the recently concluded 2023 result
All the OTAs recorded strong 2023 and 4Q23, but the forward outlook indicates growth rate is slowing in North America and Europe while Asia is picking up speed  
Trip.com is indeed comparatively most attractive among the big-4 global OTAs; our fellow Smartkarma Insight provider’s conviction is justified


Comparing Performance of Online Travel Agents, Trip.com Is Indeed Attractive

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings (ARM US)</a> has priced its IPO at US$51.00 per ADS, at the top end of the price range. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> will raise gross proceeds of US$4.9bn.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111238" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111471" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-unattractive-price-range" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:112285" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: Unattractive Price Range</a>. </li>
<li>The ARM IPO is structurally set up for a first-day pop. Beyond the first-day euphoria, ARM will face the daunting task of delivering bullish estimates to justify the IPO price.</li>
</ul>



ARM Holdings (ARM US) has priced its IPO at US$51.00 per ADS, at the top end of the price range. Softbank Group (9984 JP) will raise gross proceeds of US$4.9bn.
We previously discussed the IPO in ARM Holdings IPO: The Bull Case, ARM Holdings IPO: The Bear Case and ARM Holdings IPO: Unattractive Price Range. 
The ARM IPO is structurally set up for a first-day pop. Beyond the first-day euphoria, ARM will face the daunting task of delivering bullish estimates to justify the IPO price.


ARM Holdings IPO Trading: Structurally Set up for a First-Day Pop, but Then What?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samhi-hotels-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28359:1" rel="noopener">SAMHI Hotels (SAMHI IN)</a> plans to raise around US$165m in its Indian IPO.</li>
<li>Samhi is India’s third-largest hotel asset owner, by number of keys, with a portfolio of 25 operating hotel assets comprising 3,839 keys, as of Feb 2023.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the updates from the recent filings and our final thoughts on valuations.</li>
</ul>



SAMHI Hotels (SAMHI IN) plans to raise around US$165m in its Indian IPO.
Samhi is India’s third-largest hotel asset owner, by number of keys, with a portfolio of 25 operating hotel assets comprising 3,839 keys, as of Feb 2023.
In this note, we talk about the updates from the recent filings and our final thoughts on valuations.


Samhi Hotels IPO - Taking a Large Hair Cut, Now at a Decent Discount

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>I remain bullish on the stock and reiterate a $37 PT. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/confluent-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33443:1" rel="noopener">Confluent (CFLT US)</a> delivered upside to total revenue, gross margin, and non-GAAP operating margin estimates.</li>
<li>The company raised guidance for CY23 total revenue and profitability. There were plenty of positives, including cloud momentum and customer demand.</li>
<li>The US-based data streaming pioneer appears well positioned to outperform my estimates, and I see a path to profitability (non-GAAP) in CY24 at the earliest.</li>
</ul>


I remain bullish on the stock and reiterate a $37 PT. Confluent (CFLT US) delivered upside to total revenue, gross margin, and non-GAAP operating margin estimates.
The company raised guidance for CY23 total revenue and profitability. There were plenty of positives, including cloud momentum and customer demand.
The US-based data streaming pioneer appears well positioned to outperform my estimates, and I see a path to profitability (non-GAAP) in CY24 at the earliest.


Confluent. 2Q Wrap: Solid Results and Leadership Position In a $60B+ TAM

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Airbnb delivered a mixed result in the recent quarter, with revenues above market expectations, but it failed to surpass the analyst consensus in terms of earnings.</li><li>The company experienced significantly high bookings, with over 120 million Nights and Experiences Booked in Q1.</li><li>Revenue grew significantly year-over-year, and the quarter was the most profitable GAAP-based.</li></ul>

Airbnb delivered a mixed result in the recent quarter, with revenues above market expectations, but it failed to surpass the analyst consensus in terms of earnings.The company experienced significantly high bookings, with over 120 million Nights and Experiences Booked in Q1.Revenue grew significantly year-over-year, and the quarter was the most profitable GAAP-based.

Airbnb Inc.: Possible Revenue Growth From The Affordable Rooms Offering – Key Drivers

United States

Airbnb, Inc. operates an online marketplace for travel information and booking services. The Company offers lodging, home-stay, and tourism services via websites and mobile applications. Airbnb serves clients worldwide.

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Airbnb (ABNB US)

Comparing Performance of Online Travel Agents, Trip.com Is Indeed Attractive

Top global online travel agents had strong 2023 results, with Trip.com showing the most attractive performance and growth in Asia while the growth...

Mohshin Aziz

ARM Holdings IPO Trading: Structurally Set up for a First-Day Pop, but Then What?

The ARM IPO is structurally set up for a first-day pop. Beyond the first-day euphoria, ARM will face the daunting task of delivering bullish...

Arun George

Samhi Hotels IPO - Taking a Large Hair Cut, Now at a Decent Discount

SAMHI Hotels (SAMHI IN) plans to raise around US$165m in its Indian IPO. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and provide our thoughts on...

Sumeet Singh

Confluent. 2Q Wrap: Solid Results and Leadership Position In a $60B+ TAM

Confluent reported solid results and achieved sustained high growth despite a choppy macro environment and smaller average deal sizes. The company...

Andrei Zakharov

Airbnb Inc.: Possible Revenue Growth From The Affordable Rooms Offering – Key Drivers

Airbnb delivered a mixed result in the recent quarter, with revenues above market expectations, but it failed to surpass the analyst consensus in...

Baptista Research

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Comparing Performance of Online Travel Agents, Trip.com Is Indeed Attractive

​Top global online travel agents had strong 2023 results, with Trip.com showing the most attractive performance and growth in Asia while the growth...

Mohshin Aziz

ARM Holdings IPO Trading: Structurally Set up for a First-Day Pop, but Then What?

The ARM IPO is structurally set up for a first-day pop. Beyond the first-day euphoria, ARM will face the daunting task of delivering bullish...

Arun George

Samhi Hotels IPO - Taking a Large Hair Cut, Now at a Decent Discount

SAMHI Hotels (SAMHI IN) plans to raise around US$165m in its Indian IPO. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and provide our thoughts on...

Sumeet Singh

Confluent. 2Q Wrap: Solid Results and Leadership Position In a $60B+ TAM

Confluent reported solid results and achieved sustained high growth despite a choppy macro environment and smaller average deal sizes. The company...

Andrei Zakharov

Airbnb Inc.: Possible Revenue Growth From The Affordable Rooms Offering – Key Drivers

Airbnb delivered a mixed result in the recent quarter, with revenues above market expectations, but it failed to surpass the analyst consensus in...

Baptista Research

Top global online travel agents had strong 2023 results, with Trip.com showing the most attractive performance and growth in Asia while the growth...