Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-29012'>Adani Green Energy</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-246'>Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-16456'>ENN Natural Gas</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-8954'>Greentown China</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-25479'>Innergex Renewable Energy</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-16955'>SK Hynix</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-12763'>Tata Motors ADR</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Adani Green EnergyAdani Ports & Special Economic ZoneENN Natural GasGreentown ChinaInnergex Renewable EnergySK HynixTata Motors ADR

Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy, Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone, ENN Natural Gas

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-29012'>Adani Green Energy</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-28320'>Azure Power Global Ltd</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-35'>China Jinmao Holdings</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-8954'>Greentown China</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-8108'>Hopson Development</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-18561'>JSW Steel Ltd</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Adani Green EnergyAzure Power Global LtdChina Jinmao HoldingsGreentown ChinaHopson DevelopmentJSW Steel Ltd

Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy, Azure Power Global Ltd, China Jinmao Holdings, Greentown China

Adani Green Energy Limited (AGEL) has released acceptable H1/23-24 results, with the company reporting strong earnings growth and robust margins. Leverage improved on the back of the higher earnings, even though net debt increased slightly. That said, we anticipate that the negative FCF will deepen in H2 and FY 2024-25, as AGEL has guided for significant capex in order to expand capacity. Positively, management has affirmed its plans to repay the USD 750 mn ADANIG 4.375 24 using funds already set aside at the promoter level. It also plans to refinance the USD 500 mn ADGREG 6.25 24 through a new bond issuance. The company is likely to formally announce its refinancing plans by December 2023 (as required under the bond indentures).

  Adani Green Energy Limited (AGEL) has released acceptable H1/23-24 results, with the company reporting strong earnings growth and robust margins. Leverage improved on the back of the higher earnings, even though net debt increased slightly. That said, we anticipate that the negative FCF will deepen in H2 and FY 2024-25, as AGEL has guided for significant capex in order to expand capacity.   Positively, management has affirmed its plans to repay the USD 750 mn ADANIG 4.375 24 using funds already set aside at the promoter level. It also plans to refinance the USD 500 mn ADGREG 6.25 24 through a new bond issuance. The company is likely to formally announce its refinancing plans by December 2023 (as required under the bond indentures). 

Adani Green Energy - Earnings Flash - H1 FY 2023-24 Results - Lucror Analytics

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELETEs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 Indices in the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>The BSE AllCap index Rebalance was completed in September 2023. There were 77 ADDs and 73 DELs. </li>
<li>Since the BSE AllCap index is the main universe for the BSE 200, 100, and SENSEX indices, there have been some changes to our December 2023 index change expectations.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELETEs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 Indices in the December 2023 Rebalance.
The BSE AllCap index Rebalance was completed in September 2023. There were 77 ADDs and 73 DELs. 
Since the BSE AllCap index is the main universe for the BSE 200, 100, and SENSEX indices, there have been some changes to our December 2023 index change expectations.


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 23: AllCap Sep 23 Rebal Done; Some Changes to Expectations

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-enterprises-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:245:1" rel="noopener">Adani Enterprises (ADE IN)</a> Further Public Offering ("FPO") expected to raise Rs 200bn has its first leg publicly complete with anchor investors taking Rs 59.849bn. </li>
<li>Noted shortseller Hindenburg Research published a <a href="https://hindenburgresearch.com/adani/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">long report</a> suggesting Adani Enterprises and indeed the Adani Group were over-priced according to fundamentals and were the result of  a "con."</li>
<li>Now the book build starts. Deal structure and Adani Group CFO comments continue to suggest that Liquidity is a Bug, not a Feature.</li>
</ul>


The Adani Enterprises (ADE IN) Further Public Offering ("FPO") expected to raise Rs 200bn has its first leg publicly complete with anchor investors taking Rs 59.849bn. 
Noted shortseller Hindenburg Research published a long report suggesting Adani Enterprises and indeed the Adani Group were over-priced according to fundamentals and were the result of  a "con."
Now the book build starts. Deal structure and Adani Group CFO comments continue to suggest that Liquidity is a Bug, not a Feature.


Adani Enterprises FPO Update:  Hindenburg, Anchors, and Righteous Indignation

India

Adani Green Energy Limited operates as a producer of renewable energy. The Company builds, owns, and operates power plants for solar and wind energy. Adani Green Energy serves customers worldwide.


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Adani Green Energy (ADANIGR IN)

Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy, Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone, ENN Natural Gas

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy, Azure Power Global Ltd, China Jinmao Holdings, Greentown China

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Adani Green Energy - Earnings Flash - H1 FY 2023-24 Results - Lucror Analytics

Adani Green Energy Limited (AGEL) has released acceptable H1/23-24 results, with the company reporting strong earnings growth and robust margins....

Lucror Analytics

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 23: AllCap Sep 23 Rebal Done; Some Changes to Expectations

Currently, I do not see any changes for the SENSEX Index in December 2023. There could be seven changes for the BSE 100 index and six changes for...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Adani Enterprises FPO Update: Hindenburg, Anchors, and Righteous Indignation

Adani Enterprises has priced/allocated the 30% of the Rs 200bn FPO going to anchor investors. Next is to Retail, HNWI, Employees, Funds. Liquidity...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy, Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone, ENN Natural Gas

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: Adani Green Energy, Azure Power Global Ltd, China Jinmao Holdings, Greentown China

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Adani Green Energy - Earnings Flash - H1 FY 2023-24 Results - Lucror Analytics

Adani Green Energy Limited (AGEL) has released acceptable H1/23-24 results, with the company reporting strong earnings growth and robust margins....

Lucror Analytics

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 23: AllCap Sep 23 Rebal Done; Some Changes to Expectations

Currently, I do not see any changes for the SENSEX Index in December 2023. There could be seven changes for the BSE 100 index and six changes for...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Adani Enterprises FPO Update: Hindenburg, Anchors, and Righteous Indignation

Adani Enterprises has priced/allocated the 30% of the Rs 200bn FPO going to anchor investors. Next is to Retail, HNWI, Employees, Funds. Liquidity...

Travis Lundy

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 23: AllCap Sep 23 Rebal Done; Some Changes to Expectations