Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Tanvi Arora

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In the US, the December CPI edged higher to 2.9% y-o-y (2.9% e / 2.7% p) and 0.4% m-o-m (0.4% e / 0.3% p), the fastest monthly pace since March 2024.</li>
<li>That said, core CPI (excluding food and energy) eased marginally to 3.2% y-o-y (3.3% e / 3.3% p) and 0.2% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.3% p).</li>
<li>Core CPI eased on a m-o-m basis for the first time in six months, after standing at 0.3% for four consecutive months.</li>
</ul>


In the US, the December CPI edged higher to 2.9% y-o-y (2.9% e / 2.7% p) and 0.4% m-o-m (0.4% e / 0.3% p), the fastest monthly pace since March 2024.
That said, core CPI (excluding food and energy) eased marginally to 3.2% y-o-y (3.3% e / 3.3% p) and 0.2% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.3% p).
Core CPI eased on a m-o-m basis for the first time in six months, after standing at 0.3% for four consecutive months.


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Adani names are seeing new news and commentary. SEBI is <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/india/india-regulator-probing-some-adani-offshore-deals-possible-rule-violations-2023-04-01/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">probing offshore deals</a> for rules violations, SEBI filed an interim report Sunday with the Court, Cements are refinancing US$4bn.</li>
<li>GQG's Jain was interviewed by Bloomberg TV in NY saying he sees his Adani basket being a "multi-bagger in five years." </li>
<li>Assuming growth and margins equivalent to peer max rates, all profits reinvested, and 100% gain in stock price in 5yrs, NP CAGR=33%, 2028 EV/EBITDA average of four names is 29.4x. </li>
</ul>


The Adani names are seeing new news and commentary. SEBI is probing offshore deals for rules violations, SEBI filed an interim report Sunday with the Court, Cements are refinancing US$4bn.
GQG's Jain was interviewed by Bloomberg TV in NY saying he sees his Adani basket being a "multi-bagger in five years." 
Assuming growth and margins equivalent to peer max rates, all profits reinvested, and 100% gain in stock price in 5yrs, NP CAGR=33%, 2028 EV/EBITDA average of four names is 29.4x. 


GQG Calls Adani Names 5Yr "Multi-Baggers" - It Works at 30% EPS CAGR if You Torture the Numbers

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Passive global index trackers sold <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-green-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29012:1" rel="noopener">Adani Green Energy (ADANIGR IN)</a> in November following a big drop in free float for the stock.</li>
<li>There could be more selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-green-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29012:1" rel="noopener">Adani Green Energy</a> in February as the stock is deleted from the same large global index due to failing free float market cap thresholds.</li>
<li>With the company at the center of the U.S indictment focused on bribery charges, active foreign and local investors will be wary of buying the stock.</li>
</ul>


Passive global index trackers sold Adani Green Energy (ADANIGR IN) in November following a big drop in free float for the stock.
There could be more selling in Adani Green Energy in February as the stock is deleted from the same large global index due to failing free float market cap thresholds.
With the company at the center of the U.S indictment focused on bribery charges, active foreign and local investors will be wary of buying the stock.


Adani Green Energy (ADANIGR IN): Facing the Passive Boot; But Who Will Buy?

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>GQG acknowledges the seriousness of the charges, but maintains its confidence in the Adani Group companies.</li>
<li>GQG sees a distinction between the allegations against the individuals and the operational strength of the businesses.</li>
<li>The firm believes that the fundamentals of the companies remain strong. GQG will continue to monitor the situation closely.</li>
</ul>


GQG acknowledges the seriousness of the charges, but maintains its confidence in the Adani Group companies.
GQG sees a distinction between the allegations against the individuals and the operational strength of the businesses.
The firm believes that the fundamentals of the companies remain strong. GQG will continue to monitor the situation closely.


GQG Remains Bullish on Adani Despite US Indictment

<ul>
<li>Adani Green Energy Limited (AGEL) is one of the world’s largest developers and operators of solar and wind power.</li>
<li>The company’s assets are geographically diversified across India, with total locked-in capacity of 20.4 GW (of which 10.9 GW was operational as of June 2024).</li>
<li>AGEL is listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange and National Stock Exchange of India. </li>
</ul>


Adani Green Energy Limited (AGEL) is one of the world’s largest developers and operators of solar and wind power.
The company’s assets are geographically diversified across India, with total locked-in capacity of 20.4 GW (of which 10.9 GW was operational as of June 2024).
AGEL is listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange and National Stock Exchange of India. 


Adani Green Energy - ESG Report - Lucror Analytics

India

Adani Green Energy Limited operates as a producer of renewable energy. The Company builds, owns, and operates power plants for solar and wind energy. Adani Green Energy serves customers worldwide.


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Adani Green Energy (ADANIGR IN)

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In the US, the December CPI edged higher to 2.9% y-o-y (2.9% e / 2.7% p) and 0.4% m-o-m (0.4% e / 0.3% p), the fastest monthly pace since March 2024.

Lucror Analytics

GQG Calls Adani Names 5Yr "Multi-Baggers" - It Works at 30% EPS CAGR if You Torture the Numbers

This is an update on the Adani Names where GQG Partners purchased a US$1.8bn stake from the Promoters themselves. They are up 25% in a month. Which...

Travis Lundy