Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng Indexes has changed the index handling treatment for Secondary Listings and Dual Primary Listings from the next rebalance in March.</li>
<li>The change could result in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-music-entertainment-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36601:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ming-yuan-cloud-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29268:1" rel="noopener">Ming Yuan Cloud Group (909 HK)</a> in the index.</li>
<li>There could be passive buying on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868 HK)</a> due to an increase in the index shares with outflows on other index constituents.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng Indexes has changed the index handling treatment for Secondary Listings and Dual Primary Listings from the next rebalance in March.
The change could result in Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK) replacing Ming Yuan Cloud Group (909 HK) in the index.
There could be passive buying on Li Auto (2015 HK) and XPeng (9868 HK) due to an increase in the index shares with outflows on other index constituents.


HSTECH: Index Handling Changes & Flows in March

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

AAC Technologies Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>AAC’s 3Q22 earnings with 28% YoY growth is 10% above consensus estimates, mainly due to seasonal demand pull-in of iPhone and strong ED&amp;PM segment.</li>
<li>Revenue grew 27% YoY to RMB 5.37bn, above expectations, and blended GPM improved slightly QoQ to 19.0% on better ED&amp;PM margin.</li>
<li>Mgmt. guided 4Q22 revenue to grow QoQ driven by acoustics and ED&amp;PM, and FY23E CAPEX will further decline to RMB1.5-2bn (vs RMB2bn in FY22).</li>
</ul>
<p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>


AAC’s 3Q22 earnings with 28% YoY growth is 10% above consensus estimates, mainly due to seasonal demand pull-in of iPhone and strong ED&amp;PM segment.
Revenue grew 27% YoY to RMB 5.37bn, above expectations, and blended GPM improved slightly QoQ to 19.0% on better ED&amp;PM margin.
Mgmt. guided 4Q22 revenue to grow QoQ driven by acoustics and ED&amp;PM, and FY23E CAPEX will further decline to RMB1.5-2bn (vs RMB2bn in FY22).

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AAC Tech (2018 HK) – 3Q22 beat boosted by seasonal demand pull-in

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Media stated that Apple will move part of its AirPods/Beats headphone production to India for the first time, as India continued to push for local manufacturing.</li><li>We believe this move is not surprising as Apple’s iPhone supplier, Wistron, started to assemble iPhones in India since 2017.</li><li>In addition, we expect Apple will start to build iPad/Watch in Vietnam as it continues to diversify its production bases. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Media stated that Apple will move part of its AirPods/Beats headphone production to India for the first time, as India continued to push for local manufacturing.We believe this move is not surprising as Apple’s iPhone supplier, Wistron, started to assemble iPhones in India since 2017.In addition, we expect Apple will start to build iPad/Watch in Vietnam as it continues to diversify its production bases. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology - Implications of AirPods/Beats Production Base Relocation to India

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>We see emerging opportunities for high-quality companies after recent sector pull-back (30-40% in past three months), as most stocks under our coverage are trading below 1-SD of its 5-year average.</li><li>We believe near-term concerns over weak macro, inflation, geopolitical risks, RMB depreciation are largely priced in.</li><li>We suggest to accumulate quality names with higher exposure to structural growth drivers, including AR/VR, auto-related and Apple share gain. </li></ul></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We see emerging opportunities for high-quality companies after recent sector pull-back (30-40% in past three months), as most stocks under our coverage are trading below 1-SD of its 5-year average.We believe near-term concerns over weak macro, inflation, geopolitical risks, RMB depreciation are largely priced in.We suggest to accumulate quality names with higher exposure to structural growth drivers, including AR/VR, auto-related and Apple share gain. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology - Emerging Opportunities to Accumulate Quality Names in AR/VR

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (9863 HK)</a> is looking to raise between US$800m-US$1.03bn by selling 130.82m shares at a price range of HK$48-62/share. Between 30-39% of the shares will be taken by cornerstone investors.</li>
<li>The continued slide in its closest peers could put pressure on the stock post listing, though there could be some passive buying in December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (9863 HK)</a> could be added to the HSCI and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in December. Stock Connect could come online in December too.</li>
</ul>



Leapmotor (9863 HK) is looking to raise between US$800m-US$1.03bn by selling 130.82m shares at a price range of HK$48-62/share. Between 30-39% of the shares will be taken by cornerstone investors.
The continued slide in its closest peers could put pressure on the stock post listing, though there could be some passive buying in December.

Leapmotor (9863 HK) could be added to the HSCI and Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) in December. Stock Connect could come online in December too.


Leapmotor (9863 HK) IPO - Stock Connect & Index Flows Could Provide Some Support

China

AAC Technologies Holdings Inc designs, develops and manufactures a broad range of miniaturized components that include speakers, receivers and microphones in the acoustic segment and others such as haptics vibrators, RF and antennas, and optical lenses. AAC's products are found in mobile devices such as smartphones, tablets, wearables, ultrabooks, notebooks and electronic book-readers.

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AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK)

HSTECH: Index Handling Changes & Flows in March

Hang Seng Indexes has changed the index handling for Secondary and Dual Primary Listings. Tencent Music could replace Ming Yuan Cloud in March. Li...

Brian Freitas

AAC Tech (2018 HK) – 3Q22 beat boosted by seasonal demand pull-in

AAC’s 3Q22 earnings with 28% YoY growth is 10% above consensus estimates, mainly due to seasonal demand pull-in of iPhone and strong ED&PM segment.

CMB International

China Technology - Implications of AirPods/Beats Production Base Relocation to India

Media stated that Apple will move part of its AirPods/Beats headphone production to India for the first time, as India continued to push for local...

CMB International

China Technology - Emerging Opportunities to Accumulate Quality Names in AR/VR

We suggest to accumulate quality names with higher exposure to structural growth drivers, including AR/VR, auto-related and Apple share gain.

CMB International

Leapmotor (9863 HK) IPO - Stock Connect & Index Flows Could Provide Some Support

Leapmotor is expected to list on 29 September. Poor peer performance could be a dampener, while passive HSTECH inflows and Southbound Stock Connect...

Brian Freitas

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