External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

AAC Technologies Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>AAC will report 4Q22 results on 23 Mar. We estimate 4Q revenue/net profit to increase 16%/18% YoY to RMB 5,579mn/250mn, slightly below consensus, mainly driven by stronger demand in Apple‘s acoustics/haptics and Toyo’s PM sales contribution despite pressure in optics segment.</li><li>By segment, we expect acoustics/ED&amp;PM/optics to grow 2%/31%/29% YoY in 4Q22E.</li><li>Looking ahead, given Android’s ongoing inventory destocking and Apple’s weak seasonality in 1H23E, we believe demand weakness and loss-making optics segment will drag earnings recovery for AAC in the near term. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AAC will report 4Q22 results on 23 Mar. We estimate 4Q revenue/net profit to increase 16%/18% YoY to RMB 5,579mn/250mn, slightly below consensus, mainly driven by stronger demand in Apple‘s acoustics/haptics and Toyo’s PM sales contribution despite pressure in optics segment.By segment, we expect acoustics/ED&amp;PM/optics to grow 2%/31%/29% YoY in 4Q22E.Looking ahead, given Android’s ongoing inventory destocking and Apple’s weak seasonality in 1H23E, we believe demand weakness and loss-making optics segment will drag earnings recovery for AAC in the near term. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AAC Tech (2018 HK) – 4Q22 Preview: earnings recovery remains bumpy; Maintain HOLD

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weibo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35280:1" rel="noopener">Weibo Corp (9898 HK)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ming-yuan-cloud-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29268:1" rel="noopener">Ming Yuan Cloud Group (909 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> at the close on 10 March.</li>
<li>Using prices from the close on 24 February, estimated one-way turnover is 8.92% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$7,078m at the close on 10 March.</li>
<li>There will be big buying on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868 HK)</a> due to a change in the index handling methodology for Dual Primary listings.</li>
</ul>



Weibo Corp (9898 HK) replaces Ming Yuan Cloud Group (909 HK) in the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) at the close on 10 March.
Using prices from the close on 24 February, estimated one-way turnover is 8.92% and will result in a one-way trade of HK$7,078m at the close on 10 March.
There will be big buying on Li Auto (2015 HK) and XPeng (9868 HK) due to a change in the index handling methodology for Dual Primary listings.


HSTECH Index Rebalance: Weibo Replaces Ming Yuan Cloud; Big Inflows on Li Auto & XPeng

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Apple reported a FY1Q (CY4Q22) with EPS of US$1.88 (-10% YoY) and revenue of US$117.2bn (-5% YoY), which are 3.1% and 3.3% below consensus, largely due to weak macro and iPhone 14 Pro/Max supply chain constraints on COVID-19 in China.</li><li>Looking into FY2Q23, mgmt. expected revenue to perform similarly to FY1Q23 (-5% YoY) with iPhone to accelerate and Mac/iPad to decline double digit YoY.</li><li>Given the challenging revenue outlook, we expect near-term profit taking on slower iPhone/Mac/iPad, but we remain positive on Apple supply chain over Android camp in 2H23E, given iPhone replacement cycle and share gain from Samsung/Android camp. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Apple reported a FY1Q (CY4Q22) with EPS of US$1.88 (-10% YoY) and revenue of US$117.2bn (-5% YoY), which are 3.1% and 3.3% below consensus, largely due to weak macro and iPhone 14 Pro/Max supply chain constraints on COVID-19 in China.Looking into FY2Q23, mgmt. expected revenue to perform similarly to FY1Q23 (-5% YoY) with iPhone to accelerate and Mac/iPad to decline double digit YoY.Given the challenging revenue outlook, we expect near-term profit taking on slower iPhone/Mac/iPad, but we remain positive on Apple supply chain over Android camp in 2H23E, given iPhone replacement cycle and share gain from Samsung/Android camp. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology Sector – Apple FY1Q23 Miss on Macro and Supply Chain Issues

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Feb 3rd based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Esr (1821 HK), Sunshine Paper (2002 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Esr (1821 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Feb 3rd based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Esr (1821 HK), Sunshine Paper (2002 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Tencent (700 HK), Esr (1821 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Feb 3rd): AIA, ESR, Sunshine Paper

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Tencent Music Entertainment Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and the resultant capping flows for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in March 2023.</li>
<li>According to our estimation, there could be two changes for the HSTECH in March 2023 and there could be one-way index flows of US$365mn.</li>
<li>The final index changes along with indicative capping and index weights could be published in Mid/Late-February 2023 and implemented in early-March 2023.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and the resultant capping flows for the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) in March 2023.
According to our estimation, there could be two changes for the HSTECH in March 2023 and there could be one-way index flows of US$365mn.
The final index changes along with indicative capping and index weights could be published in Mid/Late-February 2023 and implemented in early-March 2023.


Quiddity Flow Expectations HSTECH Mar 23: Two Index Changes Possible

China

AAC Technologies Holdings Inc designs, develops and manufactures a broad range of miniaturized components that include speakers, receivers and microphones in the acoustic segment and others such as haptics vibrators, RF and antennas, and optical lenses. AAC's products are found in mobile devices such as smartphones, tablets, wearables, ultrabooks, notebooks and electronic book-readers.

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AAC Technologies Holdings (2018 HK)

AAC Tech (2018 HK) – 4Q22 Preview: earnings recovery remains bumpy; Maintain HOLD

AAC will report 4Q22 results on 23 Mar. We estimate 4Q revenue/net profit to increase 16%/18% YoY to RMB 5,579mn/250mn, slightly below consensus

CMB International

HSTECH Index Rebalance: Weibo Replaces Ming Yuan Cloud; Big Inflows on Li Auto & XPeng

Weibo replaces Ming Yuan Cloud in March. There will be big inflows on Li Auto & XPeng due to index handling changes for dual primary listings....

Brian Freitas

China Technology Sector – Apple FY1Q23 Miss on Macro and Supply Chain Issues

Apple reported a FY1Q (CY4Q22) with EPS of US$1.88 (-10% YoY) and revenue of US$117.2bn (-5% YoY), which are 3.1% and 3.3% below consensus

CMB International

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Feb 3rd): AIA, ESR, Sunshine Paper

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Aia (1299 HK), Esr...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Flow Expectations HSTECH Mar 23: Two Index Changes Possible

I see Tencent Music Entertainment (1698 HK) and Weibo Corp (9898 HK) as ADDs and Ming Yuan Cloud Group (909 HK) and AAC Technologies Holdings (2018...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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