Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Shortly after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel (KEP SP)</a> revised their Offer to ~S$2.35 and FINAL, Cuscaden has come over the top. This complicates things because of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press (SPH SP)</a>/Keppel Agreement timing.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (19 HK)</a>'s discount to NAV of ~50% is bang in line with its 12-month average, as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cathay-pacific-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:243:1" rel="noopener">Cathay Pacific (293 HK)</a> is close to operating cash breakeven.</li>
<li>Blackstone and affiliates are offering shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a> A$12.50/share in cash, a 26.2% premium to last close.</li>
</ul>


Shortly after Keppel (KEP SP) revised their Offer to ~S$2.35 and FINAL, Cuscaden has come over the top. This complicates things because of the Singapore Press (SPH SP)/Keppel Agreement timing.

Swire Pacific (19 HK)'s discount to NAV of ~50% is bang in line with its 12-month average, as Cathay Pacific (293 HK) is close to operating cash breakeven.
Blackstone and affiliates are offering shareholders of Crown Resorts (CWN AU) A$12.50/share in cash, a 26.2% premium to last close.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Singapore Press, Swire, Crown Resorts, Royal Dutch, Toshiba, Hollysys

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The week that was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights from across South East Asia plus value added commentary</li>
<li>This week includes insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-matahari-department-store" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5230:1" rel="noopener">Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/comfortdelgro-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:497:1" rel="noopener">Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP),</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/synergy-grid-development-philippines" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23221:1" rel="noopener">Synergy Grid &amp; Development Philippines (SGP PM)</a> IPO, and Philippine Banks</li>
<li>There are also insights on Sea's Internet Economy, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press (SPH SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-telecommunications" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20:1" rel="noopener">Singtel (ST SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cisarua-mountain-dairy-pt-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34999:1" rel="noopener">Cisarua Mountain Dairy</a> IPO, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tiki-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35014:1" rel="noopener">Tiki</a> IPO, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/siam-makro-public-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5577:1" rel="noopener">Siam Makro,</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-negara-indonesia-persero" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8285:1" rel="noopener">Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ)</a> </li>
</ul>


The week that was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights from across South East Asia plus value added commentary
This week includes insights on Matahari Department Store (LPPF IJ), XL Axiata (EXCL IJ), Comfortdelgro Corp (CD SP),Synergy Grid &amp; Development Philippines (SGP PM) IPO, and Philippine Banks
There are also insights on Sea's Internet Economy, Singapore Press (SPH SP), Singtel (ST SP), Cisarua Mountain Dairy IPO, Tiki IPO, Siam Makro, and Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ) 


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Matahari Dept Store, Cimory IPO, and Philippine Banks

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>Cuscaden is offering an all-cash offer of S$2.36 or cash &amp; units offer to comprise S$1.602 in cash and 0.782 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sph-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP)</a> units per SPH share (worth S$2.40).</li>
<li>SPH independent directors preliminarily recommend to shareholders to vote against the Keppel scheme and vote in favour of the Cuscaden scheme. Cuscaden’s offer will be implemented by February 2022. </li>
<li>Cuscaden’s revised offer options are attractive in the context of SPH’s long-term multiples/share prices and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a>’s final offer. Cuscaden’s revised offer seems like a done deal. </li>
</ul>


Cuscaden is offering an all-cash offer of S$2.36 or cash &amp; units offer to comprise S$1.602 in cash and 0.782 SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP) units per SPH share (worth S$2.40).
SPH independent directors preliminarily recommend to shareholders to vote against the Keppel scheme and vote in favour of the Cuscaden scheme. Cuscaden’s offer will be implemented by February 2022. 
Cuscaden’s revised offer options are attractive in the context of SPH’s long-term multiples/share prices and Keppel Corp (KEP SP)’s final offer. Cuscaden’s revised offer seems like a done deal. 


Cuscaden’s Revised Offer Options to End the Battle for SPH

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>Shortly after Keppel revised their Offer to S$2.35-ish and FINAL, Cuscaden has come over the top with a NEW Offer with either cash (S$2.36/share) or cash and stock S$2.401=ish)</li>
<li>This complicates things because of the SPH/Keppel Agreement on timing.</li>
<li>The structure of the deal and its impact on components ALSO complicates the choice. This will be somewhat strange to trade.</li>
</ul>


Shortly after Keppel revised their Offer to S$2.35-ish and FINAL, Cuscaden has come over the top with a NEW Offer with either cash (S$2.36/share) or cash and stock S$2.401=ish)
This complicates things because of the SPH/Keppel Agreement on timing.
The structure of the deal and its impact on components ALSO complicates the choice. This will be somewhat strange to trade.


Huat Ah Redux! Cuscaden Revises Offer for SPH, SPH Deems It Superior

There is a recent history here. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-press-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9952:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)</a> had, after somewhat lackluster results in some of its divisions and spreading itself a bit thin in others, and losing money in the media division decided this spring to restructure itself by spinning out the media business (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/singapore-press-own-time-own-target-restructuring-lor-come-i-clap-for-you" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51141" rel="noopener">Singapore Press Own Time Own Target Restructuring Lor... (Come I Clap For You)</a>).After that was announced, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> had the bright idea it would like to take over the real estate business for itself, and on 2 August they announced a deal which seemed more in Keppel's interest than SPH Shareholders' interests (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/alamak-sph-restructuring-restructured-as-keppel-bo-jios-sph-holders" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:55370" rel="noopener">Alamak! SPH Restructuring Restructured as Keppel Bo Jios SPH Holders</a>). The Keppel Consideration was some cash, a distribution of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sph-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP)</a> from SPH, and a <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:192:1" rel="noopener">Keppel REIT (KREIT SP)</a> units - not far from one-third each. Six weeks later <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sph-shareholders-approve-spinoff-there-s-still-a-spread-to-earn" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:57504" rel="noopener">SPH Shareholders approved the spinoff but there was still a spread to earn</a>.On October 29, when the Keppel Consideration was trading at S$2.09 per SPH share while the shares were trading at S$1.99/share, a new entity called Cuscaden Peak Pte. Limited, backed by Hotel Properties Limited, Capitaland, and Mapletree Investments - two Temasek-backed entities - came out and proposed a bid of S$2.10/share in cash plus the S$0.03 dividend to come, topping the Scheme Consideration in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keppel-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12:1" rel="noopener">Keppel Corp (KEP SP)</a> Offer. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sph-lobang-holders-so-shiok-bidders-so-kiasu-this-may-not-be-the-end" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:59725" rel="noopener">SPH Lobang - Holders So Shiok, Bidders So Kiasu. This May Not Be The End.</a>The same day Keppel said it would think about how to respond. The shares bounced, and traded "through terms" with Keppel's terms jumping as some arbitrageurs bought back their REIT baskets. In the last and a followup <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sph-update-keppel-sph-reit-chain-offer-and-cuscaden-strategy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:59962" rel="noopener">SPH Update: Keppel, SPH REIT Chain Offer, and Cuscaden Strategy</a> I suggested Keppel needed to up the cash component to clearly win this deal. This morning, Keppel did - raising the cash component by S$0.20/share, making the value at yesterday's close equivalent to S$2.35 per SPH share. Keppel was not lepaking!So swee!<section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/240/739/original/Screenshot+2021-11-10+at+7.27.01+AM.png?1636501815" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="240739"></figure></section>S$2.35 is higher than the old Keppel Offer Consideration had ever traded, and is considerably more attractive to SPH shareholders. They should feel less bo jio'd. I think the entry of Cuscaden has served its purpose. This should be done, but should Cuscaden want to do so, it now has its work cut out for it.

There is a recent history here. Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP) had, after somewhat lackluster results in some of its divisions and spreading itself a bit thin in others, and losing money in the media division decided this spring to restructure itself by spinning out the media business (Singapore Press Own Time Own Target Restructuring Lor... (Come I Clap For You)).After that was announced, Keppel Corp (KEP SP) had the bright idea it would like to take over the real estate business for itself, and on 2 August they announced a deal which seemed more in Keppel's interest than SPH Shareholders' interests (Alamak! SPH Restructuring Restructured as Keppel Bo Jios SPH Holders). The Keppel Consideration was some cash, a distribution of SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP) from SPH, and a Keppel REIT (KREIT SP) units - not far from one-third each. Six weeks later SPH Shareholders approved the spinoff but there was still a spread to earn.On October 29, when the Keppel Consideration was trading at S$2.09 per SPH share while the shares were trading at S$1.99/share, a new entity called Cuscaden Peak Pte. Limited, backed by Hotel Properties Limited, Capitaland, and Mapletree Investments - two Temasek-backed entities - came out and proposed a bid of S$2.10/share in cash plus the S$0.03 dividend to come, topping the Scheme Consideration in the Keppel Corp (KEP SP) Offer. SPH Lobang - Holders So Shiok, Bidders So Kiasu. This May Not Be The End.The same day Keppel said it would think about how to respond. The shares bounced, and traded "through terms" with Keppel's terms jumping as some arbitrageurs bought back their REIT baskets. In the last and a followup SPH Update: Keppel, SPH REIT Chain Offer, and Cuscaden Strategy I suggested Keppel needed to up the cash component to clearly win this deal. This morning, Keppel did - raising the cash component by S$0.20/share, making the value at yesterday's close equivalent to S$2.35 per SPH share. Keppel was not lepaking!So swee!S$2.35 is higher than the old Keppel Offer Consideration had ever traded, and is considerably more attractive to SPH shareholders. They should feel less bo jio'd. I think the entry of Cuscaden has served its purpose. This should be done, but should Cuscaden want to do so, it now has its work cut out for it. 

Huat Ah! SPH Holders So Shiok, Keppel (So Kiasu!) Adds 20 Cents - Swee!

Singapore

Singapore Press Holdings Limited publishes, prints, and distributes newspapers and magazines. The Company also invests in properties, provides multimedia, broadcasting, and telecommunications services, manages shopping centers and other commercial properties, and operates Internet portal site.

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Singapore Press Holdings (SPH SP)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Singapore Press, Swire, Crown Resorts, Royal Dutch, Toshiba, Hollysys

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Matahari Dept Store, Cimory IPO, and Philippine Banks

The week that was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights from across South East...

Angus Mackintosh

Cuscaden’s Revised Offer Options to End the Battle for SPH

Cuscaden is offering an all-cash offer of S$2.36 per share or cash & units offer to comprise S$1.602 in cash and 0.782 SPH REIT units per SPH share...

Arun George

Huat Ah Redux! Cuscaden Revises Offer for SPH, SPH Deems It Superior

Cuscaden has, not unexpectedly, come over the top of the Keppel Revised Offer for SPH within the week, as SPH requested. SPH says superior. It is....

Travis Lundy

Huat Ah! SPH Holders So Shiok, Keppel (So Kiasu!) Adds 20 Cents - Swee!

Alamak! Huat Ah! Keppel comes back with a strong, but FINAL, overbid, adding S$0.20/share to the consideration. SPH may continue to engage with...

Travis Lundy

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