Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC's 2022 outlook is bright, but new drama around Intel's possible orders could define the foundry in 2023</li>
<li>IPhone's 2022 modem is currently equipped with Qualcomm’s design but 2023's will be designed by Apple</li>
<li>TSMC's continuously updated technology roadmap shows it as a tech-leader in the foundry space</li>
</ul>


TSMC's 2022 outlook is bright, but new drama around Intel's possible orders could define the foundry in 2023
IPhone's 2022 modem is currently equipped with Qualcomm’s design but 2023's will be designed by Apple
TSMC's continuously updated technology roadmap shows it as a tech-leader in the foundry space


TSMC (TSM.US, 2330.TT): Bright Outlook in 2022

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mediatek-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:772:1" rel="noopener">Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)</a> is forecasted to experience slight growth in 3Q24 compared to 2Q24.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qualcomm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:969:1" rel="noopener">Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)</a> is expected to introduce AI PCs in 2024, while Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) scheduled for this product is anticipated to delivered in 2H25.  </li>
<li>The shipment forecast for the Dimensity 9400 is approximately 5 million sets in 2H24.</li>
</ul>



Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) is forecasted to experience slight growth in 3Q24 compared to 2Q24.  

Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US) is expected to introduce AI PCs in 2024, while Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) scheduled for this product is anticipated to delivered in 2H25.  
The shipment forecast for the Dimensity 9400 is approximately 5 million sets in 2H24.


MediaTek (2454.TT): 3Q24 Might Grow Slightly QoQ, While AI PCs Could Be Delivered in 2H25.

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>981 HK/1810 HK: Huawei to launch updated Nova series smartphones (+//)</li>
<li>BEKE US:China's residential property prices show narrowing MoM decline in June (+)</li>
<li>1810 HK/AAPL US: IDC publishes 2Q24 smartphone sales data (+)</li>
</ul>


981 HK/1810 HK: Huawei to launch updated Nova series smartphones (+//)
BEKE US:China's residential property prices show narrowing MoM decline in June (+)
1810 HK/AAPL US: IDC publishes 2Q24 smartphone sales data (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:981 HK/1810 HK/BEKE US/AAPL US/688036 CH/QCOM US

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Nvidia became the world’s most valuable company on 18 June, with market cap topping US$3.34trn, though it has retreated by approx.16% from the peak.</li><li>AI demand remains strong, and Nvidia still dominates the AI chip market with over 90% market share, per GlobalData.</li><li>However, Nvidia’s QoQ revenue growth has slowed (2QFY24-1QFY25: 88%/34%/22%/18%) in the past few quarters given a high base (quarterly sales almost quadrupled to US$26bn in 1QFY25 from US$7bn in 1QFY24). </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Nvidia became the world’s most valuable company on 18 June, with market cap topping US$3.34trn, though it has retreated by approx.16% from the peak.AI demand remains strong, and Nvidia still dominates the AI chip market with over 90% market share, per GlobalData.However, Nvidia’s QoQ revenue growth has slowed (2QFY24-1QFY25: 88%/34%/22%/18%) in the past few quarters given a high base (quarterly sales almost quadrupled to US$26bn in 1QFY25 from US$7bn in 1QFY24). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends: AI Exposure Update

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Taiwan Shares Fall With Nvidia... SK Hynix HBM DRAM with Global Unichip? Taiwan's Vietnam Shift Continues... Broadcom Developing an AI Chip with Bytedance</li>
<li>TechChain Insights: Call with Elan Micro; AI PC Significant Uptake 4Q24/1H25; Supply Chain Preparing </li>
<li>UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Outlook for 3Q24 Has Reached a Slightly Upside QoQ. </li>
</ul>


Taiwan Shares Fall With Nvidia... SK Hynix HBM DRAM with Global Unichip? Taiwan's Vietnam Shift Continues... Broadcom Developing an AI Chip with Bytedance
TechChain Insights: Call with Elan Micro; AI PC Significant Uptake 4Q24/1H25; Supply Chain Preparing 
UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): The Outlook for 3Q24 Has Reached a Slightly Upside QoQ. 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Declines With Nvidia; Taiwan's Vietnam Shift Continues; UMC's Outlook Improves

United States

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

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Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)

TSMC (TSM.US, 2330.TT): Bright Outlook in 2022

2022 outlook being bright. Intel’s possible orders in 2023. iPhone 2023 will be designed by Apple. TSMC's continuing updated technology roadmap.

Patrick Liao

MediaTek (2454.TT): 3Q24 Might Grow Slightly QoQ, While AI PCs Could Be Delivered in 2H25.

Mediatek Inc expected to see slight growth in 3Q24, while AI PCs are anticipated to delivered in 2H25. The shipment forecast for the Dimensity...

Patrick Liao

[Blue Lotus Daily]:981 HK/1810 HK/BEKE US/AAPL US/688036 CH/QCOM US

Huawei to launch updated Nova series smartphones, China's residential property prices show narrowing decline, IDC publishes 2Q24 smartphone sales...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends: AI Exposure Update

Nvidia became the world’s most valuable company on 18 June, with market cap topping US$3.34trn, though it has retreated by approx.16% from the peak.

CMB International

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Declines With Nvidia; Taiwan's Vietnam Shift Continues; UMC's Outlook Improves

New Vietnam investments by Hon Hai and Wistron, Elan preparing for significant AI PC uptake in 4Q24/1H25, UMC's outlook increasingly optimistic for...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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TSMC (TSM.US, 2330.TT): Bright Outlook in 2022

2022 outlook being bright. Intel’s possible orders in 2023. iPhone 2023 will be designed by Apple. TSMC's continuing updated technology roadmap.

Patrick Liao

MediaTek (2454.TT): 3Q24 Might Grow Slightly QoQ, While AI PCs Could Be Delivered in 2H25.

​Mediatek Inc expected to see slight growth in 3Q24, while AI PCs are anticipated to delivered in 2H25. The shipment forecast for the Dimensity...

Patrick Liao

[Blue Lotus Daily]:981 HK/1810 HK/BEKE US/AAPL US/688036 CH/QCOM US

​Huawei to launch updated Nova series smartphones, China's residential property prices show narrowing decline, IDC publishes 2Q24 smartphone sales...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends: AI Exposure Update

Nvidia became the world’s most valuable company on 18 June, with market cap topping US$3.34trn, though it has retreated by approx.16% from the peak.

CMB International

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Declines With Nvidia; Taiwan's Vietnam Shift Continues; UMC's Outlook Improves

New Vietnam investments by Hon Hai and Wistron, Elan preparing for significant AI PC uptake in 4Q24/1H25, UMC's outlook increasingly optimistic for...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Mediatek Inc expected to see slight growth in 3Q24, while AI PCs are anticipated to delivered in 2H25. The shipment forecast for the Dimensity...

Huawei to launch updated Nova series smartphones, China's residential property prices show narrowing decline, IDC publishes 2Q24 smartphone sales...