Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Participate in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sjm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:805:1" rel="noopener">SJM Holdings (880 HK)</a>'s Excess Application Auction, though one would need to bid for a fantastically large quantity of shares to get anything, because everyone else will</li>
<li>At a 11% gross spread to terms, and potential 4Q22 completion, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili(1230 HK)</a> IS A CLEAR BUY. The world is a bit risk averse and it shows up in spreads.</li>
<li>The 'headcount test' for Cayman-incorporated companies failed to move with the times and address the fact that the majority of shares of Hong Kong-listed companies were held by HKSCC Nominees.</li>
</ul>


Participate in SJM Holdings (880 HK)'s Excess Application Auction, though one would need to bid for a fantastically large quantity of shares to get anything, because everyone else will
At a 11% gross spread to terms, and potential 4Q22 completion, Yashili(1230 HK) IS A CLEAR BUY. The world is a bit risk averse and it shows up in spreads.
The 'headcount test' for Cayman-incorporated companies failed to move with the times and address the fact that the majority of shares of Hong Kong-listed companies were held by HKSCC Nominees.


Last Week In Event SPACE: SJM, Yashili, Cayman Headcount, ResApp, Honda Tsushin Kogyo

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We expect the SET Index to move up, with the support at 1,555/1,530 points and the resistance at 1,600/1,616 points, on the back of foreign investors’ short covering and the risk-on mode for risk assets.</li><li>This is based on the assumption that the Fed will slow down its interest rate hikes from September onward after inflation already peaked out on a MoM basis following lower commodity prices and the US economy entered a technical recession.</li><li>Investment strategy: Buy blue chip stocks whose prices have fallen since June and stocks expected to report good earnings results: We recommend JMT, JMART, SINGER, MTC, COM7, FORTH, CRC, DTAC, MEGA and EA.</li></ul>

We expect the SET Index to move up, with the support at 1,555/1,530 points and the resistance at 1,600/1,616 points, on the back of foreign investors’ short covering and the risk-on mode for risk assets.This is based on the assumption that the Fed will slow down its interest rate hikes from September onward after inflation already peaked out on a MoM basis following lower commodity prices and the US economy entered a technical recession.Investment strategy: Buy blue chip stocks whose prices have fallen since June and stocks expected to report good earnings results: We recommend JMT, JMART, SINGER, MTC, COM7, FORTH, CRC, DTAC, MEGA and EA.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>The highest spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alliance-aviation-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20401:1" rel="noopener">Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/narhex-life-sciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9728:1" rel="noopener">Resapp Health (RAP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ramsay-health-care-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:673:1" rel="noopener">Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yashili-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3397:1" rel="noopener">Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK)</a>, Link Admin. </li>
<li>Lowest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hwa-hong-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6648:1" rel="noopener">Hwa Hong Corp (HWAH SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/excelpoint-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1774:1" rel="noopener">Excelpoint Technology (EXLP SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giordano-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13899:1" rel="noopener">Giordano International (709 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mydeal-com-au-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30939:1" rel="noopener">MyDeal.com.au Ltd (MYD AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cocoaland-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:493:1" rel="noopener">Cocoaland Holdings (COLA MK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maca-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11390:1" rel="noopener">MACA Ltd (MLD AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
The highest spreads are 21Vianet Group (VNET US), Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ AU), Resapp Health (RAP AU), Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU), Yashili International Holdings (1230 HK), Link Admin. 
Lowest gross spreads are Hwa Hong Corp (HWAH SP), Excelpoint Technology (EXLP SP), Giordano International (709 HK), MyDeal.com.au Ltd (MYD AU), Cocoaland Holdings (COLA MK), MACA Ltd (MLD AU). 


Merger Arb Mondays (01 Aug) - Genex, Yashili, Link Admin, VNET, Ramsay, Alliance Aviation

<ul>
<li>For the month of July, only 4 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of just ~US$1bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in July was ~42%, and a year-to-date average of 38%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of July, only 4 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of just ~US$1bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in July was ~42%, and a year-to-date average of 38%.
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.


ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.</li>
<li>The past week saw insights on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metrodata-electronic-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7184:1" rel="noopener">PT Metrodata Electronics</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arwana-citramulia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17042:1" rel="noopener">Arwana Citramulia,</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emperador-inc-1be53f2f-f106-4f4f-b9be-5cf1341e76ae" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36111:1" rel="noopener">Emperador (EMI SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cocoaland-holdings-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:493:1" rel="noopener">Cocoaland Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">Total Access Communication</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB)</a>.</li>
<li>There were also insights in Thailand on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kasikornbank-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:293:1" rel="noopener">Kasikornbank</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ptt-exploration-and-production-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:261:1" rel="noopener">PTT E&amp;P</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/central-plaza-hotel-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18213:1" rel="noopener">Central Plaza Hotel</a> as we enter results season plus SeaMoney (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea Ltd (SE US)</a>), and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adaro-energy-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6061:1" rel="noopener">Adaro Energy</a>.</li>
</ul>


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity bottom-up, from across South East Asia.
The past week saw insights on PT Metrodata Electronics, Arwana Citramulia,Emperador (EMI SP), Cocoaland Holdings, Total Access Communication, and Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB).
There were also insights in Thailand on Kasikornbank, PTT E&amp;P, and Central Plaza Hotel as we enter results season plus SeaMoney (Sea Ltd (SE US)), and Adaro Energy.


The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Metrodata Electronics, Arwana, and Emperador in Singapore

Thailand

Total Access Communication Public Company Limited provides cellular mobile telephone services under WorldPhone 800 and WorldPhone 1800 brand names throughout Thailand. The Company also sells cellular handsets and other telecommunications equipment through its WorldMedia network of retail stores.

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Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)

Last Week In Event SPACE: SJM, Yashili, Cayman Headcount, ResApp, Honda Tsushin Kogyo

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Monthly Report - August 2022

We expect the SET Index to move up, with the support at 1,555/1,530 points and the resistance at 1,600/1,616 points, on the back of foreign...

Krungthai XSpring

Merger Arb Mondays (01 Aug) - Genex, Yashili, Link Admin, VNET, Ramsay, Alliance Aviation

This week, the highest gross spreads are VNET (55.0%), Alliance Aviation (47.5%), ResApp (27.0%), Ramsay (24.7%), Yashili (10.1%), Link Admin...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia M&A: July 2022 Roundup

For the month of July, only 4 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of just ~US$1bn. The average premium for...

David Blennerhassett

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma - Metrodata Electronics, Arwana, and Emperador in Singapore

The Week That Was in ASEAN@Smartkarma is filled with an eclectic mix of differentiated, substantive, and actionable insights, macro and equity...

Angus Mackintosh

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