IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 21 March, Bloomberg reported that TPG and MBK had restarted a strategic review to reduce their <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a> shareholdings. Previous privatisation rumours have fizzled out.</li>
<li>The options include going private, attracting new investors, or raising cash through some of HKBN’s assets. Infrastructure-focused funds and one Chinese telco (likely <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a>) were approached.</li>
<li>The probability of an offer is low as TPG and MBK will need to accept a material discount on their cost per share and financing challenges due to high leverage. </li>
</ul>


On 21 March, Bloomberg reported that TPG and MBK had restarted a strategic review to reduce their HKBN Ltd (1310 HK) shareholdings. Previous privatisation rumours have fizzled out.
The options include going private, attracting new investors, or raising cash through some of HKBN’s assets. Infrastructure-focused funds and one Chinese telco (likely China Mobile (941 HK)) were approached.
The probability of an offer is low as TPG and MBK will need to accept a material discount on their cost per share and financing challenges due to high leverage. 


HKBN (1310 HK): Déjà Vu as Privatisation Rumours Resurface

ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a> continues to stand as the most direct way to play the data demand in Indonesia as well as being the most convergent of the listed telcos.</li>
<li>Although it saw some seasonal slowdown in 3Q, the solid growth trajectory remains intact for this year with the completion of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net</a> restructuring driving convergence growth.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a> raised data prices again in November and will continue to ride the wave of price reparation over the coming quarters in a more rational pricing environment. </li>
</ul>



XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) continues to stand as the most direct way to play the data demand in Indonesia as well as being the most convergent of the listed telcos.
Although it saw some seasonal slowdown in 3Q, the solid growth trajectory remains intact for this year with the completion of the Link Net restructuring driving convergence growth.

XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) raised data prices again in November and will continue to ride the wave of price reparation over the coming quarters in a more rational pricing environment. 


XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) - Riding the Wave of Price Reparation and Convergence

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>This transaction just keeps on giving. First, you received an additional dividend. Now the Offer price has been increased. </li>
<li>On the 26 July, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geo-energy-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8717:1" rel="noopener">Geo Energy Resources (GERL SP)</a> announced an intention to acquire a 58.65% stake in coal miner <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golden-eagle-energy-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3835:1" rel="noopener">Golden Eagle Energy (SMMT IJ)</a> (GEE).</li>
<li>Geo shareholders approved the purchase on the October 13 and the acquisition was completed on the 18 October. This triggered an MTO, which has been revised upward to IDR 1,305.50.</li>
</ul>


This transaction just keeps on giving. First, you received an additional dividend. Now the Offer price has been increased. 
On the 26 July, Geo Energy Resources (GERL SP) announced an intention to acquire a 58.65% stake in coal miner Golden Eagle Energy (SMMT IJ) (GEE).
Geo shareholders approved the purchase on the October 13 and the acquisition was completed on the 18 October. This triggered an MTO, which has been revised upward to IDR 1,305.50.


Golden Eagle Energy: Share Sale Done. MTO Price Bumped

<ul>
<li>Back on the 26 July, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geo-energy-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8717:1" rel="noopener">Geo Energy Resources (GERL SP)</a> announced an intention to acquire a majority stake in coal miner <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golden-eagle-energy-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3835:1" rel="noopener">Golden Eagle Energy (SMMT IJ)</a> (GEE).</li>
<li>GEO shareholders have now approved the purchase of a 58.7% stake in Golden Eagle from Indonesian conglomerate Rajawali Group, triggering an MTO at IDR1,255/share, which is subject to Indonesia's OJK.</li>
<li>In addition, GEE announced a special/additional dividend, with a cum-entitlement today, the 17th of October. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 26 July, Geo Energy Resources (GERL SP) announced an intention to acquire a majority stake in coal miner Golden Eagle Energy (SMMT IJ) (GEE).
GEO shareholders have now approved the purchase of a 58.7% stake in Golden Eagle from Indonesian conglomerate Rajawali Group, triggering an MTO at IDR1,255/share, which is subject to Indonesia's OJK.
In addition, GEE announced a special/additional dividend, with a cum-entitlement today, the 17th of October. 


Golden Eagle Energy: Last Day To Buy Cum-Divvie

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a> continues to impress with its growth in revenues and data, driven by its 4G focus and high-quality network, with improving margins at the same time.</li>
<li>The XL convergence story continues to build, with convergence penetration increasing but the real kicker wILL come once the restructuring with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net</a> completes but benefits are already accruing. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata</a> remains the purest data player in Indonesia, with convergence set to be the next driver. Valuations are attractive on 4.4x FY2024E EV/EBITDA with strong growth ahead. </li>
</ul>



XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) continues to impress with its growth in revenues and data, driven by its 4G focus and high-quality network, with improving margins at the same time.
The XL convergence story continues to build, with convergence penetration increasing but the real kicker wILL come once the restructuring with Link Net completes but benefits are already accruing. 

XL Axiata remains the purest data player in Indonesia, with convergence set to be the next driver. Valuations are attractive on 4.4x FY2024E EV/EBITDA with strong growth ahead. 


XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) - Linked Up for Future Growth

Malaysia

Axiata Group Berhad is a telecommunication company.  The Company's main activities is the establishment, maintenance, and provision of telecommunications and related services.

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Axiata Group (AXIATA MK)

HKBN (1310 HK): Déjà Vu as Privatisation Rumours Resurface

The probability of a takeover offer is low, which explains TPG/MBK's exploration of other options. An attractive dividend yield continues to...

Arun George

XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) - Riding the Wave of Price Reparation and Convergence

XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) continues to stand as the most direct way to play the data demand in Indonesia as well as being the most convergant of the...

Angus Mackintosh

Golden Eagle Energy: Last Day To Buy Cum-Divvie

This is a pretty clean arb trade. Plus you get the dividend in a little over a week. Regulatory approval will not be an issue. Trading at a gross...

David Blennerhassett

XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) - Linked Up for Future Growth

XL Axiata remains the purest data player in Indonesia, with convergence set to the the next driver, boosted by LinkNet synergies. Valuations...

Angus Mackintosh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HKBN (1310 HK): Déjà Vu as Privatisation Rumours Resurface

The probability of a takeover offer is low, which explains TPG/MBK's exploration of other options. An attractive dividend yield continues to...

Arun George

XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) - Riding the Wave of Price Reparation and Convergence

XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) continues to stand as the most direct way to play the data demand in Indonesia as well as being the most convergant of the...

Angus Mackintosh

Golden Eagle Energy: Share Sale Done. MTO Price Bumped

The MTO has been revised up to IDR 1305.50. Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 4.4%/16.5%. Get involved if smallish, relatively illiquid arbs,...

David Blennerhassett

Golden Eagle Energy: Last Day To Buy Cum-Divvie

This is a pretty clean arb trade. Plus you get the dividend in a little over a week. Regulatory approval will not be an issue. Trading at a gross...

David Blennerhassett

XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) - Linked Up for Future Growth

XL Axiata remains the purest data player in Indonesia, with convergence set to the the next driver, boosted by LinkNet synergies. Valuations...

Angus Mackintosh