Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>China ETF flows in June continued to show positive momentum while other categories remained flat.  Southbound Connect Flows were positive while Northbound Connect recorded a Net Sell.</li>
<li>Midea Real Estate Holdings jumped on plans to privatize its property development business</li>
<li>Shanghai Microport fell after launching a share placement at a 15% discount.  The share price  is hitting all time lows.</li>
</ul>


China ETF flows in June continued to show positive momentum while other categories remained flat.  Southbound Connect Flows were positive while Northbound Connect recorded a Net Sell.
Midea Real Estate Holdings jumped on plans to privatize its property development business
Shanghai Microport fell after launching a share placement at a 15% discount.  The share price  is hitting all time lows.


The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in HONG KONG

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Red Star Macalline Group Corp / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website.</li>
<li>Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. Or pledging. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.</li>
<li>The key stock mentioned in this regular insight is <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/red-star-macalline-group-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:520:1" rel="noopener">Red Star Macalline Group Corp (1528 HK)</a>.</strong>
</li>
</ul>


The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website.
Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. Or pledging. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.
The key stock mentioned in this regular insight is Red Star Macalline Group Corp (1528 HK).



Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings: Red Star's New Controlling Shareholder

<div>
<p>This week in StubWorld ...</p>
</div>
<div>
<div class="content-highlight">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)</a>'s long-term discount to NAV and the simple ratio (Intouch over <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-info-service-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:947:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)</a>) are at all-time extremes.  <br><br><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/8122" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8122:1" rel="noopener"></a>And <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/people-s-insurance-co-grou-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:362:1" rel="noopener">People's Insurance Co (PICC) (1339 HK)</a> is coming up "cheap" after fully correcting last years' narrowing.</div>
<div>Preceding my comments on Intouch and PICC, are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</div>
<div></div>
</div>
<div>
<p>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent - of at least 20%.</p>
</div>


This week in StubWorld ...



Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)'s long-term discount to NAV and the simple ratio (Intouch over Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)) are at all-time extremes.    And People's Insurance Co (PICC) (1339 HK) is coming up "cheap" after fully correcting last years' narrowing.
Preceding my comments on Intouch and PICC, are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.



These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent - of at least 20%.


StubWorld: Reverse Intouch's Stub; (Potentially) Set Up PICC (1339 HK)'s

<div>
<p>A double dose of StubWorld this week ...</p>
</div>
<div>
<div class="content-highlight">
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/8122" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8122:1" rel="noopener"></a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/people-s-insurance-co-grou-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:362:1" rel="noopener">People's Insurance Co (PICC) (1339 HK)</a> is coming up "cheap", and potentially heading cheaper as the A-share premium declines. </div>
</div>
<div>
<div>
<p>Preceding my comments on PICC, are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent - of at least 20%.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>As always, more below the fold.</p>
</div>
</div>


A double dose of StubWorld this week ...



People's Insurance Co (PICC) (1339 HK) is coming up "cheap", and potentially heading cheaper as the A-share premium declines. 



Preceding my comments on PICC, are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.


These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent - of at least 20%.


As always, more below the fold.



StubWorld: PICC (1339 HK) / PICC P&C (2328 HK)

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<p>Price and RS uptrends for the MSCI EM index continues to underpin our bullish outlook for emerging market equities -- remain overweight. We continue to attribute much of EM’s outperformance to the intact downtrend in the US dollar (DXY). As long as weakness in the DXY persists we believe EM’s outperformance is likely to continue.</p>

Price and RS uptrends for the MSCI EM index continues to underpin our bullish outlook for emerging market equities -- remain overweight. We continue to attribute much of EM’s outperformance to the intact downtrend in the US dollar (DXY). As long as weakness in the DXY persists we believe EM’s outperformance is likely to continue.

EM Remains Global Leadership -- Remain Overweight

Hong Kong

Kingboard Holdings Ltd, through its subsidiaries, manufactures laminates, copper foil, glass fabric, glass yarn, bleached kraft paper, printed circuit boards, and chemicals.

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Kingboard Holdings (148 HK)

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in HONG KONG

China had positive flows into equity ETF's for June and mainland investors continued to direct money to Hong Kong stocks through the Stock Connect...

David Mudd

Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings: Red Star's New Controlling Shareholder

The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website. These insights also flag those companies where...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Reverse Intouch's Stub; (Potentially) Set Up PICC (1339 HK)'s

Intouch Holdings (INTUCH TB)'s long-term discount to NAV and the simple ratio (Intouch over Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)) are at all-time...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: PICC (1339 HK) / PICC P&C (2328 HK)

A setup here - long PICC G, short PICC P&C - appears reasonable. One pushback is that as the A-share premium trends lower, the Hs could similarly...

David Blennerhassett

EM Remains Global Leadership -- Remain Overweight

Price and RS uptrends for the MSCI EM index continues to underpin our bullish outlook for emerging market equities -- remain overweight.

Vermilion Research

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52-week Range

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