IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34915:1" rel="noopener">Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB)</a> is set to launch a US$1bn IPO; BeerCo and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-tianqi-lithium-industries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5698:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc (002466 CH)</a> are premarketing US$0.8-1.0bn and US$1.0-1.5bn IPOs, respectively.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giordano-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13899:1" rel="noopener">Giordano International (709 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)</a> merger, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infomedia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11385:1" rel="noopener">Infomedia Ltd (IFM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/narhex-life-sciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9728:1" rel="noopener">Resapp Health (RAP AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
ECM - Thai Life Insurance (TLI TB) is set to launch a US$1bn IPO; BeerCo and Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc (002466 CH) are premarketing US$0.8-1.0bn and US$1.0-1.5bn IPOs, respectively.
Event-Driven developments at Giordano International (709 HK), Link Net (LINK IJ), Total Access Communication (DTAC TB)/True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB) merger, Infomedia Ltd (IFM AU), Resapp Health (RAP AU).


Weekly Deals Digest (26 Jun) - ThaiBev's BeerCo, Thai Life, Tianqi Lithium, Giordano, DTAC/True

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There is a risk that the ¥7,000/share bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> gets pulled/lowered in Round 2 because of due diligence, conditionality, market environment, etc.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hutchison-telecommunications-hong-kong-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:141:1" rel="noopener">Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (215 HK)</a>'s share price was up 33% month to date, on triple the average daily volume. Then promptly sheds 23% on an even larger volume. </li>
<li>Even if one assumes that Softbank, Baba, and Cornerstones won’t sell, there is still 45% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> of shares out, worth US$11bn, unlocking next week.</li>
</ul>


There is a risk that the ¥7,000/share bid for Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) gets pulled/lowered in Round 2 because of due diligence, conditionality, market environment, etc.

Hutchison Telecommunications Hong Kong Holdings (215 HK)'s share price was up 33% month to date, on triple the average daily volume. Then promptly sheds 23% on an even larger volume. 
Even if one assumes that Softbank, Baba, and Cornerstones won’t sell, there is still 45% of SenseTime Group (20 HK) of shares out, worth US$11bn, unlocking next week.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Hutch Tel, SenseTime, Giordano, DTAC/True, Toyo Const., ResApp

<ul>
<li>There are 49 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Two new deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giordano-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13899:1" rel="noopener">Giordano International (709 HK)</a>'s low-balled Offer; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniden-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8611:1" rel="noopener">Uniden Holdings (6815 JP)</a>'s MBO. Rumours on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a> also.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/narhex-life-sciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9728:1" rel="noopener">Resapp Health (RAP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infomedia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11385:1" rel="noopener">Infomedia Ltd (IFM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net (LINK IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sph-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP)</a> </li>
</ul>


There are 49 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Two new deals this week: Giordano International (709 HK)'s low-balled Offer; and Uniden Holdings (6815 JP)'s MBO. Rumours on Toshiba Corp (6502 JP) also.
Key updates took place for: Resapp Health (RAP AU), Infomedia Ltd (IFM AU), Link Net (LINK IJ), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), &amp; SPH REIT (SPHREIT SP) 


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Toshiba, Uniden, Giordano, ResApp, Infomedia, SPH REIT, Toyo

<ul>
<li>According to local media, Thailand's Central Administrative Court has dismissed a petition seeking to overturn a 2018 NBTC regulation that allowed mergers to take place without requiring the regulator’s approval.</li>
<li>Reportedly the Court ruled earlier this month that the enforcement of this regulation was lawful; and that the DTAC/True merger would not cause unrecoverable damage to the telecom sector.</li>
<li>Both DTAC and True gained on the news. A merger now appears increasingly more likely; although conditions may still be imposed to protect consumers. </li>
</ul>


According to local media, Thailand's Central Administrative Court has dismissed a petition seeking to overturn a 2018 NBTC regulation that allowed mergers to take place without requiring the regulator’s approval.
Reportedly the Court ruled earlier this month that the enforcement of this regulation was lawful; and that the DTAC/True merger would not cause unrecoverable damage to the telecom sector.
Both DTAC and True gained on the news. A merger now appears increasingly more likely; although conditions may still be imposed to protect consumers. 


True/​​DTAC: Merger Support After Court Ruling

Total Access Communication / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Press reports (<a href="https://www.nationthailand.com/in-focus/40016835" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a> and <a href="https://www.thaipbsworld.com/court-rejects-petition-to-delay-merger-of-dtac-and-true/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>) suggest that Administrative Court has ruled out the request to suspend the DTAC/True merger and that the regulation which repeals NBTC’s veto rights is lawful.</li>
<li>This development suggests that the NBTC will apply remedial conditions rather than block the merger. The timeline for the satisfaction of VTO conditions is from late June to early August. </li>
<li>With the Court ruling increasing the probability of a successful merger, it is attractive to buy the current share price ratio of 9.698x vs the implied swap ratio of 10.221x.</li>
</ul>


Press reports (here and here) suggest that Administrative Court has ruled out the request to suspend the DTAC/True merger and that the regulation which repeals NBTC’s veto rights is lawful.
This development suggests that the NBTC will apply remedial conditions rather than block the merger. The timeline for the satisfaction of VTO conditions is from late June to early August. 
With the Court ruling increasing the probability of a successful merger, it is attractive to buy the current share price ratio of 9.698x vs the implied swap ratio of 10.221x.


DTAC/True Merger: Administrative Court Ruling a Positive

Thailand

True Corporation PCL is an integrated telecommunications provider. The Company offers a wide range of voice, video, and data services, including dial-up and broadband Internet services, pay television, fixed-line phone, online games, and mobile phone services.

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True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB)

Weekly Deals Digest (26 Jun) - ThaiBev's BeerCo, Thai Life, Tianqi Lithium, Giordano, DTAC/True

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (DTAC/True merger, Giordano, Link Net, Infomedia, ResApp, AOF, Hwa Hong, AKM, Irongate)...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Hutch Tel, SenseTime, Giordano, DTAC/True, Toyo Const., ResApp

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Toshiba, Uniden, Giordano, ResApp, Infomedia, SPH REIT, Toyo

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

True/DTAC: Merger Support After Court Ruling

Reportedly a Thai Court rejected a petition giving the NBTC more teeth; and that the DTAC/True would not cause unrecoverable damage to the telecom...

David Blennerhassett

DTAC/True Merger: Administrative Court Ruling a Positive

With the Court ruling increasing the probability of a successful merger, it is attractive to buy the current share price ratio of 9.698x vs the...

Arun George

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52-week Range

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P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Weekly Deals Digest (26 Jun) - ThaiBev's BeerCo, Thai Life, Tianqi Lithium, Giordano, DTAC/True

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (DTAC/True merger, Giordano, Link Net, Infomedia, ResApp, AOF, Hwa Hong, AKM, Irongate)...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Hutch Tel, SenseTime, Giordano, DTAC/True, Toyo Const., ResApp

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Toshiba, Uniden, Giordano, ResApp, Infomedia, SPH REIT, Toyo

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

True/​​DTAC: Merger Support After Court Ruling

Reportedly a Thai Court rejected a petition giving the NBTC more teeth; and that the DTAC/True would not cause unrecoverable damage to the telecom...

David Blennerhassett

DTAC/True Merger: Administrative Court Ruling a Positive

With the Court ruling increasing the probability of a successful merger, it is attractive to buy the current share price ratio of 9.698x vs the...

Arun George

True/DTAC: Merger Support After Court Ruling