Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Post market close on Friday, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> that will be implemented at the close on 6 September.</li>
<li>With no constituent changes in March and 1 add/1 delete in June, there could be more changes in September with Health Care stocks among the potential inclusions.</li>
<li>Changes to the Hang Seng Industry Classification System (HSICS) will be implemented from the September rebalance and that will alter industry coverage.</li>
</ul>


Post market close on Friday, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) that will be implemented at the close on 6 September.
With no constituent changes in March and 1 add/1 delete in June, there could be more changes in September with Health Care stocks among the potential inclusions.
Changes to the Hang Seng Industry Classification System (HSICS) will be implemented from the September rebalance and that will alter industry coverage.


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for September

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The retail deliveries of NEV (new energy vehicle) increased by 37% YoY in July.</li>
<li>One of Alibaba’s supermarket chains, Freshippo, will sell its OEM goods, on Lazada.</li>
<li>Tencent will formally start the game, Arena Breakout: Infinite, in August.</li>
</ul>


The retail deliveries of NEV (new energy vehicle) increased by 37% YoY in July.
One of Alibaba’s supermarket chains, Freshippo, will sell its OEM goods, on Lazada.
Tencent will formally start the game, Arena Breakout: Infinite, in August.


China Consumption Weekly (12 Aug 2024): Geely, Li Auto, JD.com, Alibaba, Tencent, DDL

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe revenue will increase by 8% YoY in 1Q25, as most business lines have been growing.</li>
<li>We believe the operating margin will be stable, as cost cut plans came to an end.</li>
<li>We set an upside of 94% for March 2025, as we believe the stock is overly impacted.</li>
</ul>


We believe revenue will increase by 8% YoY in 1Q25, as most business lines have been growing.
We believe the operating margin will be stable, as cost cut plans came to an end.
We set an upside of 94% for March 2025, as we believe the stock is overly impacted.


Alibaba (BABA US): 1Q25 Preview, Stable Growth and Margin, But Overly Impacted

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Andy Fu

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>On August 7th, Meituan's on-demand order volume reached a historical high of 98mn on surging orders from street drinks. Meituan has connected to the backend systems of street drink vendors;</li>
<li>Delivery order is a double-edged sword. It boosts volume at the expense of margin. Further, the ownership of the volume is questionable;</li>
<li>With Pin-hao-fan, Meituan already atomized the small restaurants. Now Meituan is playing the same trick with street drinks. The result will be more dramatic to the benefit of Meituan.</li>
</ul>


On August 7th, Meituan's on-demand order volume reached a historical high of 98mn on surging orders from street drinks. Meituan has connected to the backend systems of street drink vendors;
Delivery order is a double-edged sword. It boosts volume at the expense of margin. Further, the ownership of the volume is questionable;
With Pin-hao-fan, Meituan already atomized the small restaurants. Now Meituan is playing the same trick with street drinks. The result will be more dramatic to the benefit of Meituan.


O2O Playing a More Prominent Role in China Street Drinks

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BABA US/PDD US/JD US: Douyin launches new merchant tool designed to avoid low-price competition (+/+/+)</li>
<li>BABA US/JD US: JD strategy change to focus on beauty products (-/+)</li>
<li>BABA US: Freshippo launches self-branded products on the Lazada. (/)</li>
</ul>


BABA US/PDD US/JD US: Douyin launches new merchant tool designed to avoid low-price competition (+/+/+)
BABA US/JD US: JD strategy change to focus on beauty products (-/+)
BABA US: Freshippo launches self-branded products on the Lazada. (/)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/PDD US/JD US/3690 HK/700 HK/BILI US

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US)

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for September

Announcement on Friday post market close. Health Care industry still underweight. Index committee has a lot of discretion in stock selection. We...

Brian Freitas

China Consumption Weekly (12 Aug 2024): Geely, Li Auto, JD.com, Alibaba, Tencent, DDL

The retail deliveries of NEV increased by 37% YoY in July. Freshippo will sell its OEM goods on Lazada. Tencent will formally start the game...

Ming Lu

Alibaba (BABA US): 1Q25 Preview, Stable Growth and Margin, But Overly Impacted

We believe revenue will increase by 8% YoY in 1Q25, as most business lines have been growing. We believe the operating margin will be stable, as...

Ming Lu

O2O Playing a More Prominent Role in China Street Drinks

Meituan benefits from surge in delivery orders for street drinks, reaching record high order volume on August 7. Street drink brands are more rely...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/PDD US/JD US/3690 HK/700 HK/BILI US

Chinese e-commerce giants are implementing new strategies to combat low-price competition and focus on beauty products, with Freshippo launching...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for September

Announcement on Friday post market close. Health Care industry still underweight. Index committee has a lot of discretion in stock selection. We...

Brian Freitas

China Consumption Weekly (12 Aug 2024): Geely, Li Auto, JD.com, Alibaba, Tencent, DDL

The retail deliveries of NEV increased by 37% YoY in July. Freshippo will sell its OEM goods on Lazada. Tencent will formally start the game...

Ming Lu

Alibaba (BABA US): 1Q25 Preview, Stable Growth and Margin, But Overly Impacted

We believe revenue will increase by 8% YoY in 1Q25, as most business lines have been growing. We believe the operating margin will be stable, as...

Ming Lu

O2O Playing a More Prominent Role in China Street Drinks

​Meituan benefits from surge in delivery orders for street drinks, reaching record high order volume on August 7. Street drink brands are more rely...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:BABA US/PDD US/JD US/3690 HK/700 HK/BILI US

​Chinese e-commerce giants are implementing new strategies to combat low-price competition and focus on beauty products, with Freshippo launching...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Meituan benefits from surge in delivery orders for street drinks, reaching record high order volume on August 7. Street drink brands are more rely...

Chinese e-commerce giants are implementing new strategies to combat low-price competition and focus on beauty products, with Freshippo launching...