Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coupang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28425:1" rel="noopener">Coupang (CPNG US)</a>, the largest e-commerce company in South Korea with US$ 12.0bn in annual revenue, filed for an NYSE IPO under the ticker “CPNG” with a placeholder value of US$ 1.0bn.According to various new reports, the Softbank Group- backed company Coupang is expected to command a valuation of nearly US$50.0bn, which is 456% more than its last private market valuation in 2018. Other investors of Coupang include BlackRock, Sequoia Capital, Altos Ventures, Maverick Ventures, and billionaire investor Bill Ackman.The IPO is underwritten by Goldman Sachs, Allen &amp; Company LLC, J.P. Morgan, BofA, Citigroup, HSBC, Deutsche Bank, UBS, Mizuho Securities, and CLSA Limited.

Coupang (CPNG US), the largest e-commerce company in South Korea with US$ 12.0bn in annual revenue, filed for an NYSE IPO under the ticker “CPNG” with a placeholder value of US$ 1.0bn.According to various new reports, the Softbank Group- backed company Coupang is expected to command a valuation of nearly US$50.0bn, which is 456% more than its last private market valuation in 2018. Other investors of Coupang include BlackRock, Sequoia Capital, Altos Ventures, Maverick Ventures, and billionaire investor Bill Ackman.The IPO is underwritten by Goldman Sachs, Allen &amp; Company LLC, J.P. Morgan, BofA, Citigroup, HSBC, Deutsche Bank, UBS, Mizuho Securities, and CLSA Limited.

Coupang IPO: Not Worth Subscribing at Rumoured 50.0bn Valuation

IPO and L/S equity, 2015 Starmine top stock picker, Global Equity Research Ltd

Rickin Thakrar

IPO and L/S equity, 2015 Starmine top stock picker

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

We have dug into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> consensus forecasts and believe that estimates may be too optimistic in relation to operating profit due to a number of factors. More details can be found below the fold.

We have dug into Alibaba Group (9988 HK) consensus forecasts and believe that estimates may be too optimistic in relation to operating profit due to a number of factors. More details can be found below the fold. 

Alibaba – Potential Flaws in Consensus Forecasts?

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<div class="content-highlight">
In this insight, we provide our earnings estimates and key assumptions of Coupang from 2021 to 2025. 
We forecast the company to generate net revenue of $16.5 billion in 2021 (up 38% YoY) and $19.9 billion in 2022 (up 20.8% YoY). We have assumed the company's sales growth rate to decline gradually in the ensuing years and we estimate Coupang to generate sales of $28.5 billion in 2025. From 2020 to 2025, we have assumed the company's sales to increase by 18.9% CAGR. 
We also estimate the company's operating margin to improve from -4.4% in 2020 to -2.6% in 2021 and 4.7% in 2025, driven by lower operating expenses and cost of sales as a percentage of sales. We estimate Coupang to have an operating profit of $1.3 billion and a net profit of $1.4 billion in 2025. 
</div>


In this insight, we provide our earnings estimates and key assumptions of Coupang from 2021 to 2025. 
We forecast the company to generate net revenue of $16.5 billion in 2021 (up 38% YoY) and $19.9 billion in 2022 (up 20.8% YoY). We have assumed the company's sales growth rate to decline gradually in the ensuing years and we estimate Coupang to generate sales of $28.5 billion in 2025. From 2020 to 2025, we have assumed the company's sales to increase by 18.9% CAGR. 
We also estimate the company's operating margin to improve from -4.4% in 2020 to -2.6% in 2021 and 4.7% in 2025, driven by lower operating expenses and cost of sales as a percentage of sales. We estimate Coupang to have an operating profit of $1.3 billion and a net profit of $1.4 billion in 2025. 


Coupang IPO - Key Assumptions & Earnings Estimates

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Baidu (BIDU), iQiyi (IQ), Trip.com (TCOM), and Autohome (ATHM) got negative industry data for the whole year of 2020.</li>
<li>A Meituan delivery worker appeared in a Freshippo store, but Meituan should be a major competitor of Freshippo’s related party, Ele.me.</li>
</ul>


Baidu (BIDU), iQiyi (IQ), Trip.com (TCOM), and Autohome (ATHM) got negative industry data for the whole year of 2020.
A Meituan delivery worker appeared in a Freshippo store, but Meituan should be a major competitor of Freshippo’s related party, Ele.me.


China Internet Weekly (15Feb2021): Meituan Employee Showed up in Freshippo, Bad Data for Four Apps

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coupang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28425:1" rel="noopener">Coupang (CPNG KS)</a> is the largest e-commerce platform in South Korea, according to Euromonitor. Coupang is best known for Rocket Delivery, which provides free, next-day delivery for orders placed any time of the day. It also offers the Rocket WOW membership program, a grocery offering (Rocket Fresh), a logistics food delivery offering (Coupang Eats) and digital financial services (Coupang Pay). Coupang, which is backed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a>, has filed for an NYSE IPO to raise up to $2 billion, according to press reports.<div class="content-highlight">Coupang was a beneficiary of the COVID-19 pandemic resulting in a strong 2020. It is likely that the COVID-19 pandemic has a shifted some customer behaviour permanently in favour of Coupang’ business. Coupang's fundamentals tick all the right boxes and worth a look, in our view.</div>

Coupang (CPNG KS) is the largest e-commerce platform in South Korea, according to Euromonitor. Coupang is best known for Rocket Delivery, which provides free, next-day delivery for orders placed any time of the day. It also offers the Rocket WOW membership program, a grocery offering (Rocket Fresh), a logistics food delivery offering (Coupang Eats) and digital financial services (Coupang Pay). Coupang, which is backed by Softbank Group (9984 JP), has filed for an NYSE IPO to raise up to $2 billion, according to press reports.Coupang was a beneficiary of the COVID-19 pandemic resulting in a strong 2020. It is likely that the COVID-19 pandemic has a shifted some customer behaviour permanently in favour of Coupang’ business. Coupang's fundamentals tick all the right boxes and worth a look, in our view.

Coupang IPO Initiation: Delivering the Goods

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US)

Coupang IPO: Not Worth Subscribing at Rumoured 50.0bn Valuation

Coupang’s active user count is just 7.5%, 3.4%, 2.0% and 2.0% of Shopee’s JD.com’s, Pinduoduo’s, and Alibaba’s respectively. However, Coupang’s...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Alibaba – Potential Flaws in Consensus Forecasts?

We have dug into Alibaba Group (9988 HK) consensus forecasts and believe that estimates may be too optimistic in relation to operating profit due...

Rickin Thakrar

Coupang IPO - Key Assumptions & Earnings Estimates

In this insight, we provide our earnings estimates and key assumptions of Coupang from 2021 to 2025. We forecast the company to generate net...

Douglas Kim

China Internet Weekly (15Feb2021): Meituan Employee Showed up in Freshippo, Bad Data for Four Apps

Baidu , iQiyi, Trip.com, and Autohome got negative industry data.A Meituan delivery worker showed up in a Freshippo store.

Ming Lu

Coupang IPO Initiation: Delivering the Goods

Coupang, which is backed by Softbank, has filed for an NYSE IPO to raise up to $2 billion, according to press reports. Coupang's fundamentals tick...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)