Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zto-express" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23628:1" rel="noopener">ZTO Express (ZTO US)</a> parcel volume increased by 20.5% Y/Y in Q1, better than market growth</li>
<li>Unit prices fell by 3.7%, slightly worse than peers in Q1 2023, and Revenue missed consensus</li>
<li>EPS beat expectations on lower unit costs, and management raised full-year volume target</li>
</ul>



ZTO Express (ZTO US) parcel volume increased by 20.5% Y/Y in Q1, better than market growth
Unit prices fell by 3.7%, slightly worse than peers in Q1 2023, and Revenue missed consensus
EPS beat expectations on lower unit costs, and management raised full-year volume target


ZTO Express Q1 Results Surprise: Despite Lower Pricing, Margins Up Y/Y | Mgmt Raises Volume Guidance

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-dmall-e-commerce-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36623:1" rel="noopener">Dmall Inc (1751691D CH)</a> is looking to raise around US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Dmall provides cloud-based, end-to-end SaaS platform purpose-built for the Chinese retail industry.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Dmall Inc (1751691D CH) is looking to raise around US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
Dmall provides cloud-based, end-to-end SaaS platform purpose-built for the Chinese retail industry.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Dmall Pre-IPO - The Positives - Ambitions of Aiding the Retail Digitization Journey for Retailers

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>With a low base, YoY growth in online physical goods GMV in April jumped to 20.8% (March: 10.9%), but the two-year CAGR of 7.0% only demonstrated a slight improvement from 6.8% in March, indicating a mild and gradual sequential recovery trend.</li><li>Looking ahead, robust consumption data from Brand and Quality shopping festival and Labour Day (LD) holiday likely heralds a constant mild recovery for online retail sales in May.</li><li>The beat on JD’s 1Q23 earnings likely indicates a better than feared evolvement of competitive landscape for e-commerce industry in the near term, although industry competition remains fierce. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

With a low base, YoY growth in online physical goods GMV in April jumped to 20.8% (March: 10.9%), but the two-year CAGR of 7.0% only demonstrated a slight improvement from 6.8% in March, indicating a mild and gradual sequential recovery trend.Looking ahead, robust consumption data from Brand and Quality shopping festival and Labour Day (LD) holiday likely heralds a constant mild recovery for online retail sales in May.The beat on JD’s 1Q23 earnings likely indicates a better than feared evolvement of competitive landscape for e-commerce industry in the near term, although industry competition remains fierce. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Internet – April online retail sales recap

Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe BABA’s upcoming 4QFY23 results will surprise the market to the upside by a wide margin in terms of recovery in bottomline, catalyzing trading opportunity for short-term investors.</li>
<li>We also expect that the results will usher in a period of sustained re-rating for the stock due to China’s continued yet slow consumption recovery and Alibaba’s well-executed restructuring plan.</li>
<li>Geo-Political risks will not go away, but have been very much reflected in current pricing in our view. Buy ahead of results on Thursday.</li>
</ul>


We believe BABA’s upcoming 4QFY23 results will surprise the market to the upside by a wide margin in terms of recovery in bottomline, catalyzing trading opportunity for short-term investors.
We also expect that the results will usher in a period of sustained re-rating for the stock due to China’s continued yet slow consumption recovery and Alibaba’s well-executed restructuring plan.
Geo-Political risks will not go away, but have been very much reflected in current pricing in our view. Buy ahead of results on Thursday.


Alibaba (BABA US): Buy Ahead of March Quarter Results This Thursday

Ethan Aw

Growatt Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/growatt-new-energy-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36103:1" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology (1833969D CH)</a> is looking to raise about US$400m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO, after downsizing from an earlier US$1bn float in Nov 2022.</li>
<li>Growatt Technology is a global distributed energy solution provider, specializing in sustainable energy generation, storage and consumption, as well as energy digitalization. </li>
<li>Previously, we looked at the company’s past performance, peer comparison and shared our earlier thoughts on valuation. In this note, we will provide our latest thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Growatt Technology (1833969D CH) is looking to raise about US$400m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO, after downsizing from an earlier US$1bn float in Nov 2022.
Growatt Technology is a global distributed energy solution provider, specializing in sustainable energy generation, storage and consumption, as well as energy digitalization. 
Previously, we looked at the company’s past performance, peer comparison and shared our earlier thoughts on valuation. In this note, we will provide our latest thoughts on valuation.


Growatt Technology Pre-IPO - Latest Thoughts on Valuation

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US)

ZTO Express Q1 Results Surprise: Despite Lower Pricing, Margins Up Y/Y | Mgmt Raises Volume Guidance

ZTO's Q1 results showed strong volume growth, but also weaker unit pricing and a lack of control over SG&A expenses. We retain our negative view on...

Tracking Traffic

Dmall Pre-IPO - The Positives - Ambitions of Aiding the Retail Digitization Journey for Retailers

Dmall Inc (1751691D CH) is looking to raise around US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of...

Clarence Chu

China Internet – April online retail sales recap

Looking ahead, robust consumption data from Brand and Quality shopping festival and Labour Day (LD) holiday likely heralds a constant mild recovery...

CMB International

Alibaba (BABA US): Buy Ahead of March Quarter Results This Thursday

We believe BABA's upcoming 4QFY23 results will surprise the market to the upside by a wide margin in terms of recovery in bottomline. Buy ahead of...

Eric Chen

Growatt Technology Pre-IPO - Latest Thoughts on Valuation

Growatt Technology (1833969D CH) is looking to raise about US$400m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will provide our latest thoughts...

Ethan Aw

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