Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Last month, a Cheng family vehicle with 24.06% of <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giordano-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13899:1" rel="noopener">Giordano (709 HK)</a></strong>, requisitioned an SGM to remove CEO Peter Lau, and install Colin Currie as CEO, plus three other NEDs/INEDs.</li>
<li>That SGM will be held on the 3rd April. The director resolutions - both the removal and appointments - are "ordinary", requiring a simple majority vote. </li>
<li>The outcome will likely pivot off how the shareholders under Halcyon Securities will vote. So I dug a little deeper as to who these shareholders are, with some surprising results.  </li>
</ul>


Last month, a Cheng family vehicle with 24.06% of Giordano (709 HK), requisitioned an SGM to remove CEO Peter Lau, and install Colin Currie as CEO, plus three other NEDs/INEDs.
That SGM will be held on the 3rd April. The director resolutions - both the removal and appointments - are "ordinary", requiring a simple majority vote. 
The outcome will likely pivot off how the shareholders under Halcyon Securities will vote. So I dug a little deeper as to who these shareholders are, with some surprising results.  


Giordano (709 HK): A Closer Look At The Shareholder Register Ahead Of The SGM

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>RTHK just reporting that HK Finance Secretary Paul Chan has said in his budget speech that HK will remove all property cooling measures in place, with immediate effect. </li>
<li>That would be That is Special Stamp Duty, Buyer's Stamp Duty, New Residential Stamp Duty. "Measures no longer necessary given the current economic and market conditions."</li>
<li>This should cause people to get excited short-term about property developers.</li>
</ul>


RTHK just reporting that HK Finance Secretary Paul Chan has said in his budget speech that HK will remove all property cooling measures in place, with immediate effect. 
That would be That is Special Stamp Duty, Buyer's Stamp Duty, New Residential Stamp Duty. "Measures no longer necessary given the current economic and market conditions."
This should cause people to get excited short-term about property developers.


Hong Kong To Scrap All "Spicy Measures" (Property Cooling Measures)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Post market close on Friday, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> that will be implemented at the close on 6 December.</li>
<li>With no increase in the number of index constituents this calendar year, there could be inclusions in December. The process of getting to 100 index constituents could drag into 2026.</li>
<li>Short interest is especially large in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotruk-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19764:1" rel="noopener">Sinotruk</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giant-biogene-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35950:1" rel="noopener">Giant Biogene</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuaishou-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASMPT</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener">JD Logistics</a> and inclusion could set off some short covering.</li>
</ul>


Post market close on Friday, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) that will be implemented at the close on 6 December.
With no increase in the number of index constituents this calendar year, there could be inclusions in December. The process of getting to 100 index constituents could drag into 2026.
Short interest is especially large in Sinotruk, Giant Biogene, Kuaishou Technology, ASMPT and JD Logistics and inclusion could set off some short covering.


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for December

Listed Real Estate Asia, KT Capital Group

Jacob Cheng

Listed Real Estate Asia

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Next week is going to be huge due to US election taking place on November 5 and China’s NPC standing committee meeting from Nov 4- Nov 8</li>
<li>This will have huge implications on the global financial markets access all asset classes</li>
<li>We think Hong Kong and China property will benefit from these events and the risk reward profile is attractive</li>
</ul>


Next week is going to be huge due to US election taking place on November 5 and China’s NPC standing committee meeting from Nov 4- Nov 8
This will have huge implications on the global financial markets access all asset classes
We think Hong Kong and China property will benefit from these events and the risk reward profile is attractive


Short Note: Position for Trump Trade and China Stimulus – Buckle up for Next Week

<ul>
<li>After Fed initiated a rate cut cycle in September, we expect the Fed will cut another 25bps in November meeting</li>
<li>Hong Kong CE John Lee delivered his policy address, and the pro-growth measures will support property market recovery</li>
<li>Industry fundamentals are improving and real estate stocks remain attractive in terms of valuation</li>
</ul>


After Fed initiated a rate cut cycle in September, we expect the Fed will cut another 25bps in November meeting
Hong Kong CE John Lee delivered his policy address, and the pro-growth measures will support property market recovery
Industry fundamentals are improving and real estate stocks remain attractive in terms of valuation


HK Property Update:  The Fed, the Policy Address and the Physical Market

Hong Kong

New World Development Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and invests in properties, provides contracting services, property management, and transportation services.  The Company also operates infrastructure business, telecommunication services, department stores, hotels and restaurants, and media and technology business.

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New World Development (17 HK)

Giordano (709 HK): A Closer Look At The Shareholder Register Ahead Of The SGM

Spilling the board will likely pivot off how the shareholders under Halcyon Securities will vote. So I dug a little deeper as to who these...

David Blennerhassett

Hong Kong To Scrap All "Spicy Measures" (Property Cooling Measures)

HK Finance Secretary has introduced the 2024-2025 Budget. All "spicy measures" (property cooling measures) are now lifted. This should push the...

Travis Lundy

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for December

We highlight 10 potential inclusions for the HSI in Dec. The number of constituents has not increased this year and the target to reach 100 members...

Brian Freitas

Short Note: Position for Trump Trade and China Stimulus – Buckle up for Next Week

Next week is going to be huge with US Presidential election and China's NPC standing committee meeting taking place, both of which will have...

Jacob Cheng

HK Property Update: The Fed, the Policy Address and the Physical Market

On the back of 1) Fed's rate cut cycle, 2) HK Policy Address, and 3) improving industry fundamentals, we remain positive for HK property stocks,...

Jacob Cheng

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