Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>To MID migrants: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amorepacific-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12179:1" rel="noopener">Amorepacific Group (002790 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/e-mart-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6993:1" rel="noopener">E Mart (139480 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iljin-materials-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7709:1" rel="noopener">Iljin Materials (020150 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hanjin-kal-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19086:1" rel="noopener">Hanjin KAL (180640 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oci-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1904:1" rel="noopener">OCI (010060 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lx-semicon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20670:1" rel="noopener">LX Semicon (108320 KS)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socar-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29693:1" rel="noopener">SOCAR (403550 KS)</a>
</li>
<li>To LARGE migrants: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-rotem-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1554:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Rotem (064350 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hotel-shilla-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:107:1" rel="noopener">Hotel Shilla (008770 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gs-retail-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3867:1" rel="noopener">GS Retail (007070 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cs-wind-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4883:1" rel="noopener">CS Wind (112610 KS)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-international-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5954:1" rel="noopener">Posco International (047050 KS)</a> </li>
<li>This time, the degree of predictability is high as the MC gap widened from an early point. So, we should consider building our position in phases from early next month.</li>
</ul>


To MID migrants: Amorepacific Group (002790 KS), E Mart (139480 KS), Iljin Materials (020150 KS), Hanjin KAL (180640 KS), OCI (010060 KS), LX Semicon (108320 KS), and SOCAR (403550 KS)

To LARGE migrants: Hyundai Rotem (064350 KS), Hotel Shilla (008770 KS), GS Retail (007070 KS), CS Wind (112610 KS), and Posco International (047050 KS) 
This time, the degree of predictability is high as the MC gap widened from an early point. So, we should consider building our position in phases from early next month.


KOSPI Size Index: Early Preview at One Fourth into Screening Period

<ul>
<li>The Korea FSC finalized the additional investor protection measures: 1. stricter disclosure rules, 2. tighter listing requirements, and 3. mandatory appraisal rights.</li>
<li>The retroactive application period is five years. Companies that have been split off five years ago from the effective date are also subject to these new rules.</li>
<li>We can play LONG/SHORT aimed at staggered spreads, considering that the pricing period is 2M VWAP and that a downward price revision intensifies towards the announcement with mandatory appraisal rights.</li>
</ul>


The Korea FSC finalized the additional investor protection measures: 1. stricter disclosure rules, 2. tighter listing requirements, and 3. mandatory appraisal rights.
The retroactive application period is five years. Companies that have been split off five years ago from the effective date are also subject to these new rules.
We can play LONG/SHORT aimed at staggered spreads, considering that the pricing period is 2M VWAP and that a downward price revision intensifies towards the announcement with mandatory appraisal rights.


New Regulations on Split-Off Listing in Korea: Complete Details & Trading Implications

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between E Mart Inc (long) and Coupang (short). At current valuations and business outlook, we like the risk/reward of this pair trade.</li>
<li>The end of the mandatory shut down rules on major hypermarkets is likely to have a major positive impact on Emart and negative impact on Coupang and Kurly.</li>
<li>Although this has not been made into law, we think there is relatively high probability that this will eventually be made into law sometime this year. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss a pair trade between E Mart Inc (long) and Coupang (short). At current valuations and business outlook, we like the risk/reward of this pair trade.
The end of the mandatory shut down rules on major hypermarkets is likely to have a major positive impact on Emart and negative impact on Coupang and Kurly.
Although this has not been made into law, we think there is relatively high probability that this will eventually be made into law sometime this year. 


A Pair Trade Between Emart & Coupang (Potential End of Mandatory Shut Down Rules for Hypermarkets)

<ul>
<li>Uni President Enterprises and President Chain Store Corp (an affiliate of Uni-President Group) have agreed to acquire a controlling 60% stake ownership of Carrefour Taiwan from Carrefour SA (CA FP).</li>
<li>We believe the acquisition of the additional 49.5% stake in Carrefour Taiwan is likely to have a positive impact on Uni President Enterprises (1216 TT).</li>
<li>Uni President Enterprises is trading at P/S multiple of 0.77x so the acquisition multiple of 0.6x would be slightly lower than Uni President Enterprises' current valuation multiple. </li>
</ul>


Uni President Enterprises and President Chain Store Corp (an affiliate of Uni-President Group) have agreed to acquire a controlling 60% stake ownership of Carrefour Taiwan from Carrefour SA (CA FP).
We believe the acquisition of the additional 49.5% stake in Carrefour Taiwan is likely to have a positive impact on Uni President Enterprises (1216 TT).
Uni President Enterprises is trading at P/S multiple of 0.77x so the acquisition multiple of 0.6x would be slightly lower than Uni President Enterprises' current valuation multiple. 


Uni President Enterprises: Positive Catalyst from Additional Stake Purchase of Carrefour Taiwan

Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
SSG.com is getting ready for an IPO in 2H 2022/1H 2023. Local media have mentioned that SSG.com is targeting a valuation of 10 trillion won for the company.</li>
<li>We believe SSG.com would need to cut the valuation by at least 50% (5 trillion won) in order to complete its IPO. </li>
<li>We believe valuation levels of 11st would need to come down significantly in the 2 trillion won to 3 trillion won range in order for an IPO to be completed. </li>
</ul>



SSG.com is getting ready for an IPO in 2H 2022/1H 2023. Local media have mentioned that SSG.com is targeting a valuation of 10 trillion won for the company.
We believe SSG.com would need to cut the valuation by at least 50% (5 trillion won) in order to complete its IPO. 
We believe valuation levels of 11st would need to come down significantly in the 2 trillion won to 3 trillion won range in order for an IPO to be completed. 


SSG.Com & 11st: Need to Drastically Cut Their Valuations to Complete Their IPOs in 2022/2023

South Korea

E-MART Inc. operates E-Mart discount stores. The Company retails food, clothing, household goods, electronics, and other items through several branch stores.

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E Mart Inc (139480 KS)

KOSPI Size Index: Early Preview at One Fourth into Screening Period

This post screens migrant candidates of the KOSPI Size Index Series, scheduled for rebalancing in March, as we are one-fourth into the screening...

Sanghyun Park

New Regulations on Split-Off Listing in Korea: Complete Details & Trading Implications

This post details the new rules applicable to the split-off listings in Korea, which the Korea FSC finalized yesterday and will be effective as...

Sanghyun Park

A Pair Trade Between Emart & Coupang (Potential End of Mandatory Shut Down Rules for Hypermarkets)

The end of the mandatory shut down rules on major hypermarkets is likely to have a major positive impact on Emart and negative impact on Coupang...

Douglas Kim

Uni President Enterprises: Positive Catalyst from Additional Stake Purchase of Carrefour Taiwan

We believe the acquisition of the additional 49.5% stake in Carrefour Taiwan is likely to have a positive impact on Uni President Enterprises (1216...

Douglas Kim

SSG.Com & 11st: Need to Drastically Cut Their Valuations to Complete Their IPOs in 2022/2023

SSG.com and 11st are getting ready to complete their IPOs in 2H 2022/2023. Both companies would need to significantly reduce their valuation...

Douglas Kim

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