House of Market Insights, Market Radar

Market Radar

House of Market Insights

Quick market updates and lot of ideas for your investments from a multi-asset portfolio manager working for a family office.

Quick Market Updates

Technical Analysis

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Nasdaq 100 is trading below the 200-day MA since mid-January. Now the index is trying to go back above the MA for the second time in a couple of months.</li>
<li>Russell 2000 index did nothing in the last 15 months. For one year it traded in a rectangle, than it broke to the downside, a clear bearish signal.</li>
<li>Semis is one of the hottest sector of the moment, as the chip demand increased heavily in the last two years.</li>
</ul>


Nasdaq 100 is trading below the 200-day MA since mid-January. Now the index is trying to go back above the MA for the second time in a couple of months.
Russell 2000 index did nothing in the last 15 months. For one year it traded in a rectangle, than it broke to the downside, a clear bearish signal.
Semis is one of the hottest sector of the moment, as the chip demand increased heavily in the last two years.


Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>It will be difficult to reach a valuation consensus in the short term, suggesting the likelihood of substantially higher price volatility after listing. The IPO valuation itself is quite excessive.</li>
<li>There are not enough stories to instill growth expectations in investors. Expectations for regulatory benefits are uncertain. The inclusion to K-New Deal and WISE Media Contents are worth a look.</li>
<li>In conclusion, I do not recommend an aggressive approach to this IPO. Similar to SK Shieldus, we even need to consider a post-listing entry.</li>
</ul>


It will be difficult to reach a valuation consensus in the short term, suggesting the likelihood of substantially higher price volatility after listing. The IPO valuation itself is quite excessive.
There are not enough stories to instill growth expectations in investors. Expectations for regulatory benefits are uncertain. The inclusion to K-New Deal and WISE Media Contents are worth a look.
In conclusion, I do not recommend an aggressive approach to this IPO. Similar to SK Shieldus, we even need to consider a post-listing entry.


ONE Store IPO: Offering Details & Valuation Issues

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>All of the Hon Hai's 4 product-lines were growing double digits in March. </li>
<li>In 1Q22, Hon Hai's revenue was NT$1,408.2bn, which was -25.5% QoQ and 4.83% YoY respectively. The 1Q22 revenue was a bit better than the original expectation.</li>
<li>Although Hon Hai is confident, we think the visibility is still a bit of ambiguous in 2Q22.</li>
</ul>


All of the Hon Hai's 4 product-lines were growing double digits in March. 
In 1Q22, Hon Hai's revenue was NT$1,408.2bn, which was -25.5% QoQ and 4.83% YoY respectively. The 1Q22 revenue was a bit better than the original expectation.
Although Hon Hai is confident, we think the visibility is still a bit of ambiguous in 2Q22.


Hon Hai (2317.TT): March Revenue Was Highest at the Same Period of Record.

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>OneStore is getting ready to complete its IPO in May with IPO price range of 34,300 won to 41,700 won. It is one of the largest app operators in Korea.</li>
<li>The IPO base deal size is from $187 million to $227 million. The expected market cap after the IPO is from 0.9 trillion won to 1.1 trillion won. </li>
<li>OneStore generated sales of 214.2 billion won (up 38% YoY), operating loss of 5.8 billion won, and EBITDA of 8 billion won in 2021. </li>
</ul>


OneStore is getting ready to complete its IPO in May with IPO price range of 34,300 won to 41,700 won. It is one of the largest app operators in Korea.
The IPO base deal size is from $187 million to $227 million. The expected market cap after the IPO is from 0.9 trillion won to 1.1 trillion won. 
OneStore generated sales of 214.2 billion won (up 38% YoY), operating loss of 5.8 billion won, and EBITDA of 8 billion won in 2021. 


Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss about the major Taiwanese players in the electronics supply chain that could be impacted by the the slowing demand for consumer electronics, especially in China.</li>
<li>When TSMC's Chairman mentions that the demand for consumer electronics is slowing down, especially in China, this is a time for a pause and really ponder on this.</li>
<li>We believe that there is an increasing risk of the average sales growth of the 13 major Taiwanese tech/consumer electronics stocks being lowered further in the coming months.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss about the major Taiwanese players in the electronics supply chain that could be impacted by the the slowing demand for consumer electronics, especially in China.
When TSMC's Chairman mentions that the demand for consumer electronics is slowing down, especially in China, this is a time for a pause and really ponder on this.
We believe that there is an increasing risk of the average sales growth of the 13 major Taiwanese tech/consumer electronics stocks being lowered further in the coming months.


Major Taiwanese Players in the Electronics Supply Chain: Slowing Demand for Consumer Electronics

United States

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related accessories. The Company also offers payment, digital content, cloud and advertising services. Apple Inc.'s customers are primarily in consumer, small & mid-sized business, education, enterprise and government markets worldwide.

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Apple (AAPL US)

Charts to Watch.

Nasdaq 100 is trading below the 200-day MA since mid-January. Now the index is trying to go back above the MA for the second time in a couple of...

Market Radar

ONE Store IPO: Offering Details & Valuation Issues

This post details the terms of the ONE store IPO and discusses the valuation/growth issues that will likely keep investors away from this IPO.

Sanghyun Park

Hon Hai (2317.TT): March Revenue Was Highest at the Same Period of Record.

All of the Hon Hai's 4 product-lines were growing double digits in March. In 1Q22, Hon Hai's revenue was NT$1,408.2bn, which was -25.5% QoQ and...

Patrick Liao

OneStore IPO Preview

OneStore is getting ready to complete its IPO in May with IPO price range of 34,300 won to 41,700 won. It is one of the largest app operators in...

Douglas Kim

Major Taiwanese Players in the Electronics Supply Chain: Slowing Demand for Consumer Electronics

In this insight, we discuss about the major Taiwanese players in the electronics supply chain that could be impacted by the the slowing demand for...

Douglas Kim

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