Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss strategies for outperformance amid market convulsions and downturn. </li>
<li>In particular, we highlight six reasons why it may be a wise move to position one's portfolio more defensively (at least for the next several months).</li>
<li>Warren Buffett slashed nearly half of his holdings in Apple, which was probably one of the main triggers of the tremendous market sell off in Asian markets on Monday.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss strategies for outperformance amid market convulsions and downturn. 
In particular, we highlight six reasons why it may be a wise move to position one's portfolio more defensively (at least for the next several months).
Warren Buffett slashed nearly half of his holdings in Apple, which was probably one of the main triggers of the tremendous market sell off in Asian markets on Monday.


6 Major Signs of Market Downturn and Strategy for Outperformance Amid Market Convulsions

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technology-select-sector-spdr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27543:1" rel="noopener">Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US)</a> ETF tracks the Technology Select Sector Index and has an AUM of over US$65bn.</li>
<li>The recent drop in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> has taken its market cap and free float market cap lower than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microsoft-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15273:1" rel="noopener">Microsoft Corp (MSFT US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a>. </li>
<li>If that continues to be the case on 13 September, there will be huge outflows for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA (NVDA)</a> and huge inflows for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL)</a> at the close on 20 September.</li>
</ul>


The Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK US) ETF tracks the Technology Select Sector Index and has an AUM of over US$65bn.
The recent drop in NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) has taken its market cap and free float market cap lower than Microsoft Corp (MSFT US) and Apple (AAPL US). 
If that continues to be the case on 13 September, there will be huge outflows for NVIDIA (NVDA) and huge inflows for Apple (AAPL) at the close on 20 September.


Technology Select Sector Index (XLK US): Reversing the Huge Flows from June

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tough Start to the Week -- Negative News for Nvidia and Apple Supply Chains</li>
<li>Key Events: Asustek &amp; Novatek Results; Mediatek &amp; TSMC July Sales Data</li>
<li>UMC Signals Non-AI Industry Inventory Correction Through 2024E; Why Intel Is Increasingly Important </li>
</ul>


Tough Start to the Week -- Negative News for Nvidia and Apple Supply Chains
Key Events: Asustek &amp; Novatek Results; Mediatek &amp; TSMC July Sales Data
UMC Signals Non-AI Industry Inventory Correction Through 2024E; Why Intel Is Increasingly Important 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Tough Start for Nvidia and Apple Supply Chains; Asustek, Novatek Results Ahead

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarizes the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>
 Macro data points: Chinese PMI, South Korean exports and inflation data.</li>
<li>
 Companies mentioned:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-douyin-information-service-co-ltd-bytedance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27936:1" rel="noopener">ByteDance (1439927D CH)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarizes the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.

 Macro data points: Chinese PMI, South Korean exports and inflation data.

 Companies mentioned:Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK), Tencent (700 HK), ByteDance (1439927D CH)



GEMWeekly (2 Aug 2024): Alibaba Fee Change; China, South Korea Macro; Tencent, ByteDance

AI and Global Deep Tech, Mint Finance

Uttkarsh Kohli

AI and Global Deep Tech

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>Amazon anticipates a 13% YoY rise in Q2 2024 revenue to $148.67 billion and a 58% YoY jump in EPS to $1.03, highlighting robust earnings.</li>
<li>AWS is expected to see a $1 billion increase in quarterly revenue, reflecting an 18% year-over-year growth, driven by custom AI chips and model training services.</li>
<li>Analysts have reaffirmed buy ratings for Amazon, with an average target price of $228, reflecting strong confidence in the company's growth prospects.</li>
</ul>


Amazon anticipates a 13% YoY rise in Q2 2024 revenue to $148.67 billion and a 58% YoY jump in EPS to $1.03, highlighting robust earnings.
AWS is expected to see a $1 billion increase in quarterly revenue, reflecting an 18% year-over-year growth, driven by custom AI chips and model training services.
Analysts have reaffirmed buy ratings for Amazon, with an average target price of $228, reflecting strong confidence in the company's growth prospects.


Amazon Q2 Earnings: Eyes on AWS Margins, Website Traffic, and Advancements in Chips

United States

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related accessories. The Company also offers payment, digital content, cloud and advertising services. Apple Inc.'s customers are primarily in consumer, small & mid-sized business, education, enterprise and government markets worldwide.

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Apple (AAPL US)

6 Major Signs of Market Downturn and Strategy for Outperformance Amid Market Convulsions

In this insight, we discuss strategies for outperformance amid market convulsions and downturn. We highlight six reasons why it may be a wise move...

Douglas Kim

Technology Select Sector Index (XLK US): Reversing the Huge Flows from June

NVIDIA has dropped relative to MSFT and AAPL in the last 6 weeks. That could lead to big selling in NVDA and big buying in AAPL from the XLK ETF in...

Brian Freitas

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Tough Start for Nvidia and Apple Supply Chains; Asustek, Novatek Results Ahead

Nvidia and Apple negative news sets the Taiwan Tech universe off to a tough start of the week. This week look for Asustek, Novatek, Himax results...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

GEMWeekly (2 Aug 2024): Alibaba Fee Change; China, South Korea Macro; Tencent, ByteDance

The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarizes the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global...

Wium Malan, CFA

Amazon Q2 Earnings: Eyes on AWS Margins, Website Traffic, and Advancements in Chips

Amazon's Q2 2024 earnings report, due 1/Aug, is expected to show 58.5% YoY growth in EPS driven by AWS expansion, e-commerce performance, and...

Mint Finance

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