Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Discounts likely set for a re-rating as market continues to overreact to appointment of CEO amid good set of results.</li>
<li>The discounts of both Naspers and Prosus have continued to widen since the appointment of Fabricio Bloisi to Group CEO was announced in May (effective 10 July).</li>
<li>At the end of June, the group released its strongest set of results in years, delivering on consolidated ecommerce profitability ahead of target.</li>
</ul>


Discounts likely set for a re-rating as market continues to overreact to appointment of CEO amid good set of results.
The discounts of both Naspers and Prosus have continued to widen since the appointment of Fabricio Bloisi to Group CEO was announced in May (effective 10 July).
At the end of June, the group released its strongest set of results in years, delivering on consolidated ecommerce profitability ahead of target.


The Naspers/Tencent & Prosus/Tencent Stub: Entry Levels so Attractive It Looks Too Good to Be True

<ul>
<li>Naspers and Prosus outperformed the benchmark by a large margin, ending the quarter up 7.3% and 6.7%, respectively. The Capped SWIX finished the quarter down 2.3%.</li>
<li>Tencent was up 3.5% in HKD and 6.5% in ZAR.</li>
<li>Tencent currently makes up 74% of Prosus’ NAV, down 1 percentage point from 75% at the start of the year.</li>
</ul>


Naspers and Prosus outperformed the benchmark by a large margin, ending the quarter up 7.3% and 6.7%, respectively. The Capped SWIX finished the quarter down 2.3%.
Tencent was up 3.5% in HKD and 6.5% in ZAR.
Tencent currently makes up 74% of Prosus’ NAV, down 1 percentage point from 75% at the start of the year.


Naspers (NPN) X Prosus (PRX): Performance for Q1 2024, Gains Driven by Tencent, NAV Growth

<ul>
<li>In yesterday’s trading session, Naspers and Prosus followed the market lower leading up to and after the US CPI print (headline worse than expected, core inline). </li>
<li>Naspers and Prosus closed 1.4% and 1.9% lower, reducing Naspers’ discount to Prosus’ market value to its narrowest level since Prosus listed. The discount closed at 10.4% (currently 10.9%).</li>
<li>Naspers has outperformed Prosus by 2.2% during the last 3 trading days. </li>
</ul>


In yesterday’s trading session, Naspers and Prosus followed the market lower leading up to and after the US CPI print (headline worse than expected, core inline). 
Naspers and Prosus closed 1.4% and 1.9% lower, reducing Naspers’ discount to Prosus’ market value to its narrowest level since Prosus listed. The discount closed at 10.4% (currently 10.9%).
Naspers has outperformed Prosus by 2.2% during the last 3 trading days. 


Naspers: Discount to Prosus Market Value Reaches Narrowest Level Since Prosus Listing

<ul>
<li>Naspers and Prosus continue to come under pressure relative to their underlying holdings.</li>
<li>Since our last update on the 1st of March, Naspers’ look through discount has widened by 1.6 percentage points to 42%. </li>
<li>Naspers' discount to Prosus’ market value has widened notably by 2.1 percentage points to 11.3%. Prosus’ discount is only 30bps wider and is trading at 35.4%.</li>
</ul>


Naspers and Prosus continue to come under pressure relative to their underlying holdings.
Since our last update on the 1st of March, Naspers’ look through discount has widened by 1.6 percentage points to 42%. 
Naspers' discount to Prosus’ market value has widened notably by 2.1 percentage points to 11.3%. Prosus’ discount is only 30bps wider and is trading at 35.4%.


NPN X PRX: Discounts Continue to Come Under Pressure

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<div>
<p>This week in StubWorld ...</p>
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<div class="content-highlight">
<p>Cashed-up <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)</a> is in the market every day as its shares trade around all-time lows on an implied stub and simple ratio basis.</p>
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<div>
<p>Preceding my comments on CKH are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent - of at least 20%.</p>
</div>


This week in StubWorld ...




Cashed-up CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK) is in the market every day as its shares trade around all-time lows on an implied stub and simple ratio basis.




Preceding my comments on CKH are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.


These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity threshold of US$1mn on a 90-day moving average, and a % market capitalisation threshold - the $ value of the holding/opco held, over the parent’s market capitalisation, expressed in percent - of at least 20%.


South Africa

Naspers Limited operates in the technology industry. The Company invests in global internet companies across the world.

Woolworths Holdings Limited is a South African-based retail group. The Group, operates a chain of retail stores offering a selected range of clothing, food, homeware, beauty and financial services under its own brand name. The Company also owns a clothing and homeware retailer and has stores in selected African countries and the Middle East.

The Foschini Group Ltd. is an investment holding company for a group of companies which operate chain stores that retail clothing, cosmetics, jewelry, accessories and sporting goods throughout southern Africa.

Mr. Price Group Limited operates chains of retailers throughout South Africa. The Group retails clothing, accessories, homewares and jewelery.

Truworths International Limited is a retailer of apparel and jewelry.  The Group operates in southern Africa through the branded outlets: "Truworths Man", "Truworths Ladies", "Daniel Hechter", "Inwear", and "LTD".

Lewis Group Limited retails furniture, household, and electrical goods mainly on credit. The Company trades under the Lewis brand in furniture stores, the Best Electric, brand in specialist electrical stores, and Lifestyle Living brand in upmarket furniture and electronic goods stores. Lewis provides credit facilities to the majority of its customers and offers insurance products.

Famous Brands Limited is a food and beverage company.  The Company offers franchising of trademarks, manufacture and supply of product to these franchisees and the retail trade. Famous Brands provides its services with a wide range of meat, sauces, bakery, ice cream, and fruit juice products.

Metair Investments Limited is a holding company for a group of companies which manufactures and supplies motor vehicle components.  Products include batteries, hydraulics, spring systems, radiators, air conditioners, heaters, headlights, wiring harnesses and other items.

City Lodge Hotels Limited operates hotels targeted primarily towards the business community.  The Company operates "The Courtyard", "City Lodge", "Town Lodge" and "Road Lodge" hotels.

Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA, through subsidiaries, manufactures and retails luxury goods. The Company produces jewelry, watches, leather goods, writing instruments, and men's and women's wear. Compagnie Financiere Richemont serves customers worldwide.

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

Dollar General Corporation operates a chain of discount retail stores located primarily in the southern, southwestern, midwestern, and eastern United States. The Company offer a broad selection of merchandise, including consumable products such as food, paper and cleaning products, health, beauty, pet supplies, and non-consumables such as seasonal merchandise.

Trent Limited operates a chain of retail stores that sell fashion apparel, cosmetics, perfumery products and toiletry items. The Company sells apparel for men, women and children. Trent sells its cosmetics products under the "Westside" and "Trent" brand names.

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates a discount variety store chain in the United States. The Company sells an assortment of everyday general merchandise at the $1.00 price point.

Pan Pacific International Holdings Corporation operates discount stores which sell consumer electronics, daily necessities, groceries, watches, and sporting goods. The Company mostly operates small scale stores based in Tokyo.

Pan Pacific International Holdings (7532 JP)

Next Plc conducts retailing, home shopping, and customer services management operations.  The Company's retail stores sell ladies wear, mens wear, childrens wear, and housewares.

Avenue Supermarts Ltd. (ASL) owns and operates hypermarkets and supermarkets. The Company offers products such as garments, footwears, toys and games, bed and bath linen, stationery, grocery, household, and electronic products. ASL operates throughout India.

Canadian Tire Corporation Limited is a family of businesses that includes a retail segment, a financial services division and CT REIT. The Company's retail business provides Canadians with products for life in Canada across its living, playing, fixing, automotive and seasonal categories. Canadian Tire Corporation's  retail products include casual, industrial and active wear.

Dollarama Inc. operates as an online marketplace. The Company offers cleaning, school, office, home, kitchen, food, health, beauty, hardware, electronics, toys, and pets products, as well as provides delivery services. Dollarama serves customers in Canada.

El Puerto de Liverpool SAB de CV owns and operates retail stores and shopping centers located throughout the major cities of Mexico. The Company's stores sell apparel, novelties, and home items. El Puerto de Liverpool also leases retail space in shopping malls in Mexico.

El Puerto de Liverpool SAB de (LIVEPOLC MM)

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Naspers (NPN SJ)

The Naspers/Tencent & Prosus/Tencent Stub: Entry Levels so Attractive It Looks Too Good to Be True

Since the appointment of Fabricio Bloisi to Group CEO was announced in May, the discounts have widened notably. This, despite a very good set of...

DMA

Naspers (NPN) X Prosus (PRX): Performance for Q1 2024, Gains Driven by Tencent, NAV Growth

A look into the performance of Naspers and Prosus for the first quarter of 2024. Gains were driven by Tencent and a weaker Rand (NAV growth) as...

DMA

Naspers: Discount to Prosus Market Value Reaches Narrowest Level Since Prosus Listing

Recap on how the Naspers and Prosus discounts traded last week. Naspers’ discount to Prosus’ market value reached an all time low. Could see...

DMA

NPN X PRX: Discounts Continue to Come Under Pressure

The discounts continue to come under pressure after a salient narrowing from mid-February through to mid-March. Naspers has underperformed Prosus...

DMA

StubWorld: CK Hutch's Ongoing Buybacks

CKH looks cheap here priced at 6.8x/0.4x forward PE/PBR, together with a 50% discount to NAV. Expect buybacks to continue. Recommend an outright...

David Blennerhassett

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