Semiconductor Analysis & Research, Ingenuity

Semicon Alpha

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>NVIDIA yesterday reported Q4 2022 revenues of $6.05 billion, in line with their forecast, down 21% from a year ago and up 2% sequentially.</li><li>Interestingly, NVIDIA’s current downturn is playing out almost exactly like their previous downturn back in 2019 as can clearly be seen in the above chart.</li><li>We expect to see this same recovery pattern continue throughout the remainder of 2023.</li></ul>

NVIDIA yesterday reported Q4 2022 revenues of $6.05 billion, in line with their forecast, down 21% from a year ago and up 2% sequentially.Interestingly, NVIDIA’s current downturn is playing out almost exactly like their previous downturn back in 2019 as can clearly be seen in the above chart.We expect to see this same recovery pattern continue throughout the remainder of 2023.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The three companies Nvidia, TSMC, and ASML are all key global leaders in the AI industry chain.</li>
<li>Nvidia's latest results indicate that the company could be returning to a period of multi-year growth and an inflection point for AI demand.</li>
<li>One can consider going Long a basket of Nvidia, ASML, and TSMC based on a structural growth thesis for AI demand.</li>
</ul>


The three companies Nvidia, TSMC, and ASML are all key global leaders in the AI industry chain.
Nvidia's latest results indicate that the company could be returning to a period of multi-year growth and an inflection point for AI demand.
One can consider going Long a basket of Nvidia, ASML, and TSMC based on a structural growth thesis for AI demand.


AI Leaders Monitor: Nvidia, TSMC, ASML Trading Monitor - Nvidia Results Key Take-Aways

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>India's stock market dropped $386 billion after election results showed a narrower-than-expected lead for Modi</li>
<li>Intel's CEO introduced new AI products at Computex, challenging Nvidia's market dominance</li>
<li>Chinese companies rush to raise funds amid a stock market rebound, driven by investor optimism and future uncertainty</li>
</ul>


India's stock market dropped $386 billion after election results showed a narrower-than-expected lead for Modi
Intel's CEO introduced new AI products at Computex, challenging Nvidia's market dominance
Chinese companies rush to raise funds amid a stock market rebound, driven by investor optimism and future uncertainty


#11Business Buzz: India's Stock Market Plunge, Intel Vs. Nvidia, and China's Fundraising Frenzy

<ul>
<li>Berkshire's TSMC U-Turn. Berkshire's TSMC stake was sold down by 86.2% just months after acquiring it. One had to wonder what the about-face on the investment was based on.</li>
<li>Applied Materials results well received by the market, however provided some caveates in terms of how fast the Memory chip industry recovery will come. (Readthrough: Nanya Tech, Micron, SK hynix)</li>
<li>TSMC believes that the automotive chip crunch is now easing, which should be good news for the auto industry, especially EV.</li>
</ul>


Berkshire's TSMC U-Turn. Berkshire's TSMC stake was sold down by 86.2% just months after acquiring it. One had to wonder what the about-face on the investment was based on.
Applied Materials results well received by the market, however provided some caveates in terms of how fast the Memory chip industry recovery will come. (Readthrough: Nanya Tech, Micron, SK hynix)
TSMC believes that the automotive chip crunch is now easing, which should be good news for the auto industry, especially EV.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: AMAT Results Imply Longer Memory Weakness, Berkshire's U-Turn on TSMC

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>This week we digest key takeaways from some of the latest key industry results that came out (ASE Technologies (TW), Novatek (TW), and Tokyo Electron (JP)).</li>
<li>ASE and Tokyo Electron exhibited their insulated positions during the current inventory corrections happening, delivering decent margins and beating expectations. Novatek also beat expectations.</li>
<li>Forward expectations are generally for a worse 1Q23E ahead followed by the beginning of a recovery in 2Q23E. Is this becoming simply the consensus view, however?</li>
</ul>


This week we digest key takeaways from some of the latest key industry results that came out (ASE Technologies (TW), Novatek (TW), and Tokyo Electron (JP)).
ASE and Tokyo Electron exhibited their insulated positions during the current inventory corrections happening, delivering decent margins and beating expectations. Novatek also beat expectations.
Forward expectations are generally for a worse 1Q23E ahead followed by the beginning of a recovery in 2Q23E. Is this becoming simply the consensus view, however?


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Latest Key Results Add More Expectations for a 2H23E Turnaround

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

NVIDIA Rebounds On ChatGPT Surge

NVIDIA yesterday reported Q4 2022 revenues of $6.05 billion, in line with their forecast, down 21% from a year ago and up 2% sequentially.

Semicon Alpha

AI Leaders Monitor: Nvidia, TSMC, ASML Trading Monitor - Nvidia Results Key Take-Aways

One can consider going Long a basket of Nvidia, ASML, and TSMC based on a structural growth thesis for AI demand. All three names hold important...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

#11Business Buzz: India's Stock Market Plunge, Intel Vs. Nvidia, and China's Fundraising Frenzy

India's stock market falls as Modi's lead narrows, Intel challenges Nvidia with new AI products, Chinese companies raise funds amidst market...

Nimish Maheshwari

Taiwan Tech Weekly: AMAT Results Imply Longer Memory Weakness, Berkshire's U-Turn on TSMC

Applied Materials results well received by the market, however provided some caveates in terms of how fast the Memory chip industry recovery will...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Latest Key Results Add More Expectations for a 2H23E Turnaround

Forward expectations are generally for a worse 1Q23E ahead followed by the beginning of a recovery in 2Q23E. Is this becoming simply the consensus...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NVIDIA Rebounds On ChatGPT Surge

NVIDIA yesterday reported Q4 2022 revenues of $6.05 billion, in line with their forecast, down 21% from a year ago and up 2% sequentially.

Semicon Alpha

AI Leaders Monitor: Nvidia, TSMC, ASML Trading Monitor - Nvidia Results Key Take-Aways

One can consider going Long a basket of Nvidia, ASML, and TSMC based on a structural growth thesis for AI demand. All three names hold important...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

#11Business Buzz: India's Stock Market Plunge, Intel Vs. Nvidia, and China's Fundraising Frenzy

​India's stock market falls as Modi's lead narrows, Intel challenges Nvidia with new AI products, Chinese companies raise funds amidst market...

Nimish Maheshwari

Taiwan Tech Weekly: AMAT Results Imply Longer Memory Weakness, Berkshire's U-Turn on TSMC

Applied Materials results well received by the market, however provided some caveates in terms of how fast the Memory chip industry recovery will...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Latest Key Results Add More Expectations for a 2H23E Turnaround

Forward expectations are generally for a worse 1Q23E ahead followed by the beginning of a recovery in 2Q23E. Is this becoming simply the consensus...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

India's stock market falls as Modi's lead narrows, Intel challenges Nvidia with new AI products, Chinese companies raise funds amidst market...